2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
AZ Bullpen Proxy AZ
16 matchups scored · 2 game days
1 HRs Allowed
6.2% HR Rate (Pool)
13.6% Overall HR/FB
4.6 FIP
4.6 xFIP
+0.00 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
13.6%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
61th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
92.9%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.6
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
69th pctile
4.6
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.00
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
50th pctile
6.2%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
16
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
6.2%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 16 2 1 6.2% 0.5 99.4mph 99.8mph 28.0° 387ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 16 2 1 6.2% 0.5 99.4mph 99.8mph 28.0° 387ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 16 2 1 6.2% 0.5 99.4mph 99.8mph 28.0° 387ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
14 tracked BBE from 16 pool matchups
99.4
107.2
13
0
99.8
28.0°
387
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-24 Jordan Walker 107.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Lars Nootbaar 105.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 José Fermín 99.8mph 99.8mph 28° 387ft Yes
2026-06-21 Byron Buxton 107.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Kody Clemens 105.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Luke Keaschall 102.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Ryan Kreidler 100.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Trevor Larnach 100.0mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
2 days · 1 total HRs
HRs Allowed
1 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-24 José Fermín #248 17 Busch Stadium 99.8mph 28.0° 387ft
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
92.9%
92.9%
All Scored Matchups
16 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-24 José Fermín #248 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-24 Pedro Pagés #214 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Bryan Torres #179 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 JJ Wetherholt #160 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Iván Herrera #131 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Lars Nootbaar #130 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-24 Nelson Velázquez #41 59 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-24 Jordan Walker #26 62 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Alex Jackson #231 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-21 Luke Keaschall #216 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Trevor Larnach #133 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Brooks Lee #96 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Ryan Kreidler #80 53 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-21 Royce Lewis #49 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Kody Clemens #25 66 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Byron Buxton #1 86 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
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