AZ Bullpen Proxy
AZ
1
HRs Allowed
6.2%
HR Rate (Pool)
13.6%
Overall HR/FB
4.6
FIP
4.6
xFIP
+0.00
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
13.6%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
61th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
92.9%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.6
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
69th pctile
4.6
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.00
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
50th pctile
6.2%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
16
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
6.2%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6.2% | 0.5 | 99.4mph | 99.8mph | 28.0° | 387ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 15 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6.2% | 0.5 | 99.4mph | 99.8mph | 28.0° | 387ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6.2% | 0.5 | 99.4mph | 99.8mph | 28.0° | 387ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
99.4
Avg Max EV
107.2
Max EV Allowed
13
Hard-Hit Proxy · 92.9%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
99.8
Avg HR EV
28.0°
Avg HR Launch
387
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Jordan Walker | 107.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Lars Nootbaar | 105.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | José Fermín | 99.8mph | 99.8mph | 28° | 387ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | Byron Buxton | 107.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Kody Clemens | 105.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Luke Keaschall | 102.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Ryan Kreidler | 100.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Trevor Larnach | 100.0mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | José Fermín | #248 | 17 | Busch Stadium | 99.8mph | 28.0° | 387ft |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
92.9%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | José Fermín | #248 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-24 | Pedro Pagés | #214 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Bryan Torres | #179 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | JJ Wetherholt | #160 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Iván Herrera | #131 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Lars Nootbaar | #130 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Nelson Velázquez | #41 | 59 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Jordan Walker | #26 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Alex Jackson | #231 | 20 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Luke Keaschall | #216 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Trevor Larnach | #133 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Brooks Lee | #96 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Ryan Kreidler | #80 | 53 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Royce Lewis | #49 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Kody Clemens | #25 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Byron Buxton | #1 | 86 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |