2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Kyle Backhus
Kyle Backhus LHP PHI
9 matchups scored · 1 game days
1 HRs Allowed
11.1% HR Rate (Pool)
100.0% Overall HR/FB
4.79 FIP
2.13 xFIP
+2.66 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
100.0%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
100th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.4%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.79
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
74th pctile
2.13
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+2.66
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
99th pctile
11.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
9
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
11.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 9 1 1 11.1% 1.0 99.6mph 100.8mph 34.0° 375ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 9 1 1 11.1% 1.0 99.6mph 100.8mph 34.0° 375ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 9 1 1 11.1% 1.0 99.6mph 100.8mph 34.0° 375ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
7 tracked BBE from 9 pool matchups
99.6
108.8
5
0
100.8
34.0°
375
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-04-22 Pete Crow-Armstrong 108.8mph · · · ·
2026-04-22 Nico Hoerner 101.7mph · · · ·
2026-04-22 Alex Bregman 101.5mph · · · ·
2026-04-22 Moisés Ballesteros 101.3mph · · · ·
2026-04-22 Michael Busch 100.8mph 100.8mph 34° 375ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
1 days · 1 total HRs
HRs Allowed
1 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-04-22 Michael Busch #198 25 Wrigley Field 100.8mph 34.0° 375.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Sinker 105 59.0% +0.6 84.8 14.9° 1
Sweeper 58 32.6% -1.5 75.6 20.2° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.4%
71.4%
All Scored Matchups
9 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-04-22 Michael Busch #198 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-22 Pete Crow-Armstrong #157 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Alex Bregman #153 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-22 Nico Hoerner #152 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Matt Shaw #98 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Carson Kelly #50 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Dansby Swanson #47 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Moisés Ballesteros #10 70 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Ian Happ #8 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
Six home runs to freedom

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