Kyle Backhus
LHP
PHI
1
HRs Allowed
11.1%
HR Rate (Pool)
100.0%
Overall HR/FB
4.79
FIP
2.13
xFIP
+2.66
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
100.0%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
100th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.4%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.79
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
74th pctile
2.13
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+2.66
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
99th pctile
11.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
9
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
11.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 99.6mph | 100.8mph | 34.0° | 375ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 15 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 99.6mph | 100.8mph | 34.0° | 375ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 99.6mph | 100.8mph | 34.0° | 375ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
99.6
Avg Max EV
108.8
Max EV Allowed
5
Hard-Hit Proxy · 71.4%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
100.8
Avg HR EV
34.0°
Avg HR Launch
375
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 108.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Nico Hoerner | 101.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Alex Bregman | 101.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Moisés Ballesteros | 101.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Michael Busch | 100.8mph | 100.8mph | 34° | 375ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Michael Busch | #198 | 25 | Wrigley Field | 100.8mph | 34.0° | 375.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 105 | 59.0% | +0.6 | 84.8 | 14.9° | 1 |
| Sweeper | 58 | 32.6% | -1.5 | 75.6 | 20.2° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.4%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Michael Busch | #198 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-22 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #157 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Alex Bregman | #153 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Nico Hoerner | #152 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Matt Shaw | #98 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Carson Kelly | #50 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Dansby Swanson | #47 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Moisés Ballesteros | #10 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Ian Happ | #8 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |