2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs
Sean Sullivan
Sean Sullivan LHP BOS
8 matchups scored · 1 game days
1 HRs Allowed
12.5% HR Rate (Pool)
9.4% Overall HR/FB
7.01 FIP
7.53 xFIP
-0.52 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
9.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
20th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
80.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
7.01
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
98th pctile
7.53
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.52
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
22th pctile
12.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
8
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
12.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 8 1 1 12.5% 1.0 95.7mph 103.0mph 34.0° 443ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 8 1 1 12.5% 1.0 95.7mph 103.0mph 34.0° 443ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 8 1 1 12.5% 1.0 95.7mph 103.0mph 34.0° 443ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
5 tracked BBE from 8 pool matchups
95.7
105.6
4
0
103.0
34.0°
443
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-23 Wilyer Abreu 105.6mph 103.0mph 34° 443ft Yes
2026-06-23 Caleb Durbin 104.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Willson Contreras 100.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Ceddanne Rafaela 100.1mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
1 days · 1 total HRs
HRs Allowed
1 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-23 Wilyer Abreu #41 60 Coors Field 103.0mph 34.0° 443ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 118 52.4% +1.9 80.3 35.8° 1
Sweeper 44 19.6% +3.9 75.2 32.5° 1
Cutter 31 13.8% +0.1 77.5 4.3° 0
Changeup 29 12.9% +0.3 81.9 39.0° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
80.0%
80.0%
All Scored Matchups
8 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-23 Masataka Yoshida #186 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Marcelo Mayer #157 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Carlos Narváez #154 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Caleb Durbin #113 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Ceddanne Rafaela #76 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Wilyer Abreu #41 60 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-23 Jarren Duran #35 62 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Willson Contreras #7 75 🟡 B ❄ COLD ·
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