2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs
TOR Bullpen Proxy HOU
8 matchups scored · 1 game days
3 HRs Allowed
37.5% HR Rate (Pool)
13.7% Overall HR/FB
4.03 FIP
4.03 xFIP
+0.00 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
3.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
13.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
62th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
87.5%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.03
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
50th pctile
4.03
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.00
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
50th pctile
37.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
8
Pool Matchups
3
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
37.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 8 1 3 37.5% 3.0 101.0mph 107.1mph 28.3° 416ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 8 1 3 37.5% 3.0 101.0mph 107.1mph 28.3° 416ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 8 1 3 37.5% 3.0 101.0mph 107.1mph 28.3° 416ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
8 tracked BBE from 8 pool matchups
101.0
108.3
7
0
107.1
28.3°
416
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-23 Taylor Trammell 108.3mph 108.3mph 35° 421ft Yes
2026-06-23 Cam Smith 106.7mph 106.7mph 25° 436ft Yes
2026-06-23 Yainer Diaz 106.3mph 106.3mph 25° 391ft Yes
2026-06-23 Yordan Alvarez 105.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Christian Walker 101.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Isaac Paredes 101.5mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
1 days · 3 total HRs
HRs Allowed
3 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-23 Cam Smith #71 53 Rogers Centre 106.7mph 25.0° 436ft
2026-06-23 Taylor Trammell #169 36 Rogers Centre 108.3mph 35.0° 421ft
2026-06-23 Yainer Diaz #181 34 Rogers Centre 106.3mph 25.0° 391ft
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
87.5%
87.5%
All Scored Matchups
8 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-23 Yainer Diaz #181 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-23 Taylor Trammell #169 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-23 Jose Altuve #96 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Isaac Paredes #94 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-23 Cam Smith #71 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-23 Brice Matthews #65 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Christian Walker #12 70 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Yordan Alvarez #1 87 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
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