TOR Bullpen Proxy
HOU
3
HRs Allowed
37.5%
HR Rate (Pool)
13.7%
Overall HR/FB
4.03
FIP
4.03
xFIP
+0.00
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
3.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
13.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
62th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
87.5%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.03
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
50th pctile
4.03
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.00
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
50th pctile
37.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
8
Pool Matchups
3
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
37.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 37.5% | 3.0 | 101.0mph | 107.1mph | 28.3° | 416ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 15 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 37.5% | 3.0 | 101.0mph | 107.1mph | 28.3° | 416ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 37.5% | 3.0 | 101.0mph | 107.1mph | 28.3° | 416ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
101.0
Avg Max EV
108.3
Max EV Allowed
7
Hard-Hit Proxy · 87.5%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
107.1
Avg HR EV
28.3°
Avg HR Launch
416
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Taylor Trammell | 108.3mph | 108.3mph | 35° | 421ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | Cam Smith | 106.7mph | 106.7mph | 25° | 436ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | Yainer Diaz | 106.3mph | 106.3mph | 25° | 391ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | Yordan Alvarez | 105.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Christian Walker | 101.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Isaac Paredes | 101.5mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Cam Smith | #71 | 53 | Rogers Centre | 106.7mph | 25.0° | 436ft |
| 2026-06-23 | Taylor Trammell | #169 | 36 | Rogers Centre | 108.3mph | 35.0° | 421ft |
| 2026-06-23 | Yainer Diaz | #181 | 34 | Rogers Centre | 106.3mph | 25.0° | 391ft |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
87.5%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Yainer Diaz | #181 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-23 | Taylor Trammell | #169 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-23 | Jose Altuve | #96 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Isaac Paredes | #94 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Cam Smith | #71 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-23 | Brice Matthews | #65 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Christian Walker | #12 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Yordan Alvarez | #1 | 87 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |