2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Tyler Holton
Tyler Holton LHP TEX
9 matchups scored · 1 game days
0 HRs Allowed
0.0% HR Rate (Pool)
33.3% Overall HR/FB
5.82 FIP
4.81 xFIP
+1.01 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
33.3%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
99th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
83.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.82
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
91th pctile
4.81
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.01
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
89th pctile
0.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
9
Pool Matchups
0
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
0.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 9 1 0 0.0% 0.0 99.9mph · · · Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 9 1 0 0.0% 0.0 99.9mph · · · Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 9 1 0 0.0% 0.0 99.9mph · · · Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
6 tracked BBE from 9 pool matchups
99.9
108.7
5
0
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-05-03 Jake Burger 108.7mph · · · ·
2026-05-03 Corey Seager 103.9mph · · · ·
2026-05-03 Brandon Nimmo 101.7mph · · · ·
2026-05-03 Josh Smith 101.6mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
1 days · 0 total HRs
HRs Allowed
0 home runs against scored batters
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Cutter 185 30.5% -0.5 84.9 13.0° 2
Sinker 118 19.5% +1.5 86.1 9.5° 0
Sweeper 106 17.5% -1.2 76.8 21.6° 0
Changeup 92 15.2% +1.0 78.1 -0.8° 2
Fastball 76 12.5% +1.7 84.2 32.6° 0
Curveball 29 4.8% +3.2 76.9 -9.8° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
83.3%
83.3%
All Scored Matchups
9 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-05-03 Josh Smith #232 12 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-03 Jake Burger #208 16 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-03 Evan Carter #199 18 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Danny Jansen #187 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-03 Wyatt Langford #185 21 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Joc Pederson #135 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Corey Seager #134 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-03 Brandon Nimmo #127 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Josh Jung #66 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
Six home runs to freedom

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