MIL
@
7:10p
CIN
Stadium Conditions
Great American Ball Park
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 1.07×
Wind 4 mph in
79°F
open
+5
3 mph · out
70°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
+5
3 mph · out
70°F
8:10p
Boost for HR environment
+5
3 mph · out
70°F
9:10p
Boost for HR environment
+5
3 mph · out
70°F
10:10p
Boost for HR environment
+5
3 mph · out
70°F
11:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.18
79°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 77 | 🟡 B | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 3 | 0.243 | 92.2 | 11.2% | 60.0% vs LHP | 395 | 18.9% | 36.4% | 45.4% | 41 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Bauers | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 9 | 0.262 | 92.7 | 10.9% | 16.7% vs LHP | 399 | 19.2% | 11.1% | 19.5% | 17 |
| 3 |
|
Gary Sanchez | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 41 | 0.227 | 88.5 | 9.6% | 33.3% vs LHP | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29.8% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Brice Turang | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 43 | 0.195 | 91.0 | 9.3% | 12.5% vs LHP | 406 | 11.0% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 86 | 0.144 | 90.4 | 8.2% | 10.5% vs LHP | 418 | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Andrew Vaughn | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 94 | 0.186 | 89.6 | 5.5% | 20.0% vs LHP | 412 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 14.7% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Blake Perkins | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.095 | 86.3 | 6.7% | 14.3% vs LHP | 399 | 9.1% | 25.0% | 16.3% | 9 |
| 8 |
|
Joey Ortiz | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 196 | 0.049 | 87.6 | 5.3% | 0.0% vs LHP | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 22 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jj Bleday | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 20 | 0.292 | 89.8 | 9.6% | 32.3% vs RHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 35.0% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +850 | · | 22 | 0.237 | 94.2 | 11.3% | 19.4% vs RHP | 394 | 16.1% | 0.0% | 22.3% | 0 |
| 3 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 27 | 0.221 | 88.6 | 10.0% | 32.1% vs RHP | 398 | 15.9% | 0.0% | 18.7% | 19 |
| 4 |
|
Sal Stewart | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +950 | · | 30 | 0.200 | 90.8 | 11.2% | 18.8% vs RHP | 395 | 9.7% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Noelvi Marte | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 36 | 0.193 | 88.3 | 7.0% | 37.5% vs RHP | 429 | 11.5% | 33.3% | 32.5% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 99 | 0.149 | 87.0 | 8.2% | 23.8% vs RHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.0% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Blake Dunn | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 156 | 0.109 | 88.9 | 5.0% | 10.0% vs RHP | 381 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Jose Trevino | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 176 | 0.080 | 84.3 | 4.5% | 14.3% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 11 |