Results · 2026-06-23

Showing the latest published results while today's slate is prepared.

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Results · 2026-06-23

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#3 Jackson Chourio vs Nick Lodolo FIP 6.25 HR/FB 24.2% #5 Juan Soto vs Edward Cabrera FIP 5.68 HR/FB 28.1% #9 Pete Alonso vs Ryan Johnson FIP 7.08 HR/FB 23.1% #11 Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Kodai Senga FIP 6.91 HR/FB 27.3%

📦 STACK TOR Bullpen Proxy FIP 4.03 HR/FB 13.7% → #1 Yordan Alvarez, #12 Christian Walker

📦 STACK Nick Lodolo FIP 6.25 HR/FB 24.2% → #3 Jackson Chourio, #10 Jake Bauers

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-06-25. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.2% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	·Yordan Alvarez (L)	87	·	TOR Bullpen Proxy HOU @ TOR · Rogers Centre	4:07p	🟢 A	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%18.8% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.15 FIP4.03 IP690.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
2	·Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	82	·	PJ Poulin (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟢 A	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%15.3% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.42 FIP4.80 IP729.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+5 Weather · Nationals Park mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69.7°F Wind3 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 3 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0
3	·Jackson Chourio (R) ⁴	77	+9.1	Nick Lodolo (LHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.5×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.6% HR/91.41 FIP5.06 IP683.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-29 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1
4	·Juan Soto (L) ⁴	76	·	Edward Cabrera (RHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.5% HR/91.52 FIP4.70 IP702.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Citi Field mild air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.3°F Wind39.0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 39 mph N (cross) — modifier: +1
5	·Hunter Goodman (R) ³	75	-5.2	Sonny Gray (RHP) BOS @ COL · Coors Field	6:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.7×	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.17 IP677.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+38 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.2°F Wind3 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
6	·Willson Contreras (R) ³	75	-3.3	Sean Sullivan (LHP) BOS @ COL · Coors Field	6:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%13.0% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.39 FIP4.80 IP694.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+38 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.2°F Wind3 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
7	·Byron Buxton (R) ²	75	-6.7	Justin Wrobleski (LHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.05 FIP3.70 IP679.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-32 Weather · Target Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.0°F Wind4 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-32 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
8	·Pete Alonso (R) ⁴	72	-9.2	Ryan Johnson (RHP) BAL @ LAA · Angel Stadium	6:38p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.10 FIP4.52 IP714.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-45 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.7°F Wind5.0 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-45 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1
9	·Jake Bauers (L) ⁴	72	·	Nick Lodolo (LHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.6% HR/91.41 FIP5.06 IP683.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-32 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-32 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1
10	·Nick Kurtz (L) ³	72	-3.3	Robbie Ray (LHP) ATH @ SF · Oracle Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.5×	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.03 FIP4.24 IP683.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+51 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.4°F Wind9.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+51 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note64°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +1
11	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ⁴	70	+1.7	Kodai Senga (RHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP3.92 IP662.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Citi Field mild air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.3°F Wind39.0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 39 mph N (cross) — modifier: +1	Pete Crow-Armstrong — Home Run OffKodai Senga Exit Velo101.9 mph Angle27.0° Distance409 ft StadiumCiti Field
12	·Christian Walker (R)	70	·	TOR Bullpen Proxy HOU @ TOR · Rogers Centre	4:07p	🟡 B	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.3×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.15 FIP4.03 IP690.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
13	·Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁴	70	-4.8	Kendry Rojas (LHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.26 IP714.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-27 Weather · Target Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.0°F Wind4 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
14	·Matt Olson (L)	69	-8.5	SD Bullpen Proxy ATL @ SD · Petco Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.0×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.09 FIP4.16 IP692.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-44 Weather · Petco Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.5°F Wind6.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph W (in) — modifier: +0
15	·Mickey Moniak (L) ⁵	69	-3.8	Sonny Gray (RHP) BOS @ COL · Coors Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls1 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.5×	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.17 IP677.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.2°F Wind3 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
16	·Ian Happ (S) ³	69	+3.7	Kodai Senga (RHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.0×	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP3.92 IP662.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-3 Weather · Citi Field mild air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.3°F Wind39.0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 39 mph N (cross) — modifier: +1
17	·Bryce Harper (L) ²	68	·	PJ Poulin (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.42 FIP4.80 IP729.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+5 Weather · Nationals Park mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69.7°F Wind3 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 3 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0
18	·Ben Rice (L) ²	68	·	Casey Mize (RHP) NYY @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.99 FIP3.95 IP702.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+11 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.4°F Wind3 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph SE (in) — modifier: +0
19	·Kazuma Okamoto (R)	68	·	Peter Lambert (RHP) HOU @ TOR · Rogers Centre	4:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.29 FIP4.78 IP704.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
20	·Jj Bleday (L) ⁵	67	+5.1	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/90.94 FIP3.56 IP686.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-32 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-32 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1
21	·Drake Baldwin (L)	67	-4.4	SD Bullpen Proxy ATL @ SD · Petco Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls11 BBE Barrel%17.9% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7.5×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.09 FIP4.16 IP692.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-44 Weather · Petco Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.5°F Wind6.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph W (in) — modifier: +0
22	·Elly De La Cruz ²	67	+5.1	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	12	— Form · — SignalUNKNOWN Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.8×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/90.94 FIP3.56 IP686.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-31 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-31 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1
23	·James Wood (L) ³	66	·	Jesús Luzardo (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV95.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.3×	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.17 FIP3.77 IP686.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · Nationals Park mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69.7°F Wind3 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 3 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0
24	·Max Muncy (S) ⁴	66	+2.0	Kendry Rojas (LHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls48 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.26 IP714.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-30 Weather · Target Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.0°F Wind4 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-30 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
25	·Shea Langeliers (R) ³	66	-7.9	Robbie Ray (LHP) ATH @ SF · Oracle Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.2×	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.03 FIP4.24 IP683.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.4°F Wind9.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note64°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +1
26	·Dillon Dingler (R) ³	65	·	Carlos Rodón (LHP) NYY @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.91 FIP3.62 IP691.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+3 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.4°F Wind3 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph SE (in) — modifier: +0
27	·Nathaniel Lowe (L) ⁵	65	·	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	9	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4.2×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/90.94 FIP3.56 IP686.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-32 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-32 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1
28	·Zach Neto (R) ³	64	-8.4	Shane Baz (RHP) BAL @ LAA · Angel Stadium	6:38p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.08 FIP4.19 IP702.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-45 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.7°F Wind5.0 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-45 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1
29	·Corbin Carroll (L) ⁴	63	+5.0	Kyle Leahy (RHP) AZ @ STL · Busch Stadium	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.8×	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.15 FIP4.34 IP671.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82.3°F Wind4.7 mph E Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 5 mph E (out) — modifier: +1
30	·Sal Stewart (R) ³	63	+5.0	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/90.94 FIP3.56 IP686.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-29 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.1°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1

🔥

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.9%

▼ -6.0 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 20.9% prior 15d

Results · 2026-06-23

31 HRs

12%

4 caught / 31 HRs

in top 50

#11 Pete Crow-Armstrong

28.1%

🟡

#41 Wilyer Abreu

10.7%

🔵

#49 Owen Caissie

18.2%

🟠

#50 Jac Caglianone

17.2%

🟠

Missed

Junior Caminero Cam Smith Miguel Vargas Daulton Varsho Brandon Marsh +22 more

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.4%

B 19.7%

C+ 15.9%

C 13.0%

D 8.5%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Results · 2026-06-23

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