SEA
@
6:40p
PIT
Stadium Conditions
PNC Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 0.80×
Wind 6 mph out
77°F
open
-9
3 mph · in
67°F
6:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
3 mph · in
67°F
7:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
3 mph · in
67°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
3 mph · in
67°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
3 mph · in
67°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.80
77°F, wind 6 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Colt Emerson | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 46 | 0.272 | 85.9 | 5.6% | 55.6% vs RHP | 370 | 20.0% | 40.0% | 29.7% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Luke Raley | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 48 | 0.255 | 90.7 | 10.2% | 37.8% vs RHP | 385 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 22.3% | 14 |
| 3 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 123 | 0.187 | 90.0 | 7.7% | 20.0% vs RHP | 410 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 147 | 0.162 | 91.7 | 6.9% | 20.7% vs RHP | 385 | 9.0% | 20.0% | 13.1% | 12 |
| 5 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 173 | 0.143 | 87.3 | 8.6% | 13.6% vs RHP | 390 | 12.7% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 11 |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 192 | 0.127 | 88.1 | 5.7% | 10.9% vs RHP | 385 | 8.1% | 16.7% | 6.1% | 43 |
| 7 |
|
Josh Naylor | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 203 | 0.117 | 88.0 | 5.7% | 17.1% vs RHP | 390 | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Victor Robles | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 224 | 0.091 | 83.5 | 5.0% | 16.7% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 26 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 57 | 0.260 | 90.4 | 8.6% | 25.9% vs RHP | 392 | 16.9% | 25.0% | 22.1% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 100 | 0.195 | 91.4 | 8.1% | 16.7% vs RHP | 410 | 14.1% | 33.3% | 15.8% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Endy Rodríguez | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 103 | 0.176 | 92.4 | 8.8% | 23.1% vs RHP | 394 | 18.2% | 25.0% | 15.4% | 19 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 132 | 0.187 | 86.7 | 7.3% | 18.5% vs RHP | 395 | 12.5% | 18.2% | 10.6% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 148 | 0.170 | 89.7 | 6.2% | 20.5% vs RHP | 378 | 17.0% | 18.2% | 10.2% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 190 | 0.112 | 89.4 | 7.2% | 14.8% vs RHP | 414 | 8.1% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 10 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 225 | 0.083 | 86.1 | 4.5% | 10.0% vs RHP | 403 | 4.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Jake Mangum | 12 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 232 | 0.059 | 83.4 | 2.1% | 9.1% vs RHP | 410 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Jared Triolo | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 233 | 0.056 | 87.6 | 2.5% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 26 |