Shane Baz
RHP
BAL
11
HRs Allowed
8.2%
HR Rate (Pool)
12.9%
Overall HR/FB
3.91
FIP
4.27
xFIP
-0.37
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.69
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
12.9%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
54th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
73.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.91
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
46th pctile
4.27
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.37
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
29th pctile
8.2%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
134
Pool Matchups
11
HRs Allowed (Pool)
16
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
8.2%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 7.7% | 0.5 | 92.0mph | 98.0mph | 34.0° | 382ft | Flat -0.5pp |
| Last 15 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 5.3% | 0.33 | 95.5mph | 98.0mph | 34.0° | 382ft | Down -2.9pp |
| Last 30 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 4.5% | 0.33 | 97.9mph | 100.5mph | 31.5° | 385ft | Down -3.7pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.0
Avg Max EV
116.9
Max EV Allowed
89
Hard-Hit Proxy · 73.0%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
102.9
Avg HR EV
27.8°
Avg HR Launch
386
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Zach Neto | 108.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Jo Adell | 107.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Vaughn Grissom | 102.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Nolan Schanuel | 102.2mph | 98.0mph | 34° | 382ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-18 | Colt Emerson | 106.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Mitch Garver | 101.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Manny Machado | 109.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Xander Bogaerts | 108.5mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Nolan Schanuel | #183 | 34 | Angel Stadium | 98.0mph | 34.0° | 382ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Brandon Valenzuela | #56 | 55 | Rogers Centre | 103.0mph | 29.0° | 388ft |
| 2026-05-20 | Hunter Feduccia | #256 | 14 | Tropicana Field | 107.2mph | 23.0° | 421.0ft |
| 2026-05-15 | Daylen Lile | #105 | 48 | Nationals Park | 103.2mph | 35.0° | 379.0ft |
| 2026-05-09 | Brent Rooker | #50 | 40 | Camden Yards | 98.6mph | 32.0° | 365.0ft |
| 2026-05-04 | Aaron Judge | #1 | 61 | Yankee Stadium | 110.6mph | 27.0° | 416.0ft |
| 2026-04-21 | Jonathan India | #143 | 33 | Kauffman Stadium | 103.8mph | 21.0° | 366.0ft |
| 2026-04-16 | José Ramírez | #44 | 55 | Progressive Field | 103.9mph | 25.0° | 388.0ft |
| 2026-04-10 | Willy Adames | #50 | 51 | Camden Yards | 103.8mph | 29.0° | 402.0ft |
| 2026-04-10 | Jung Hoo Lee | #173 | 36 | Camden Yards | 102.1mph | 24.0° | 361.0ft |
| 2026-03-29 | Royce Lewis | #44 | 44 | Camden Yards | 98.2mph | 27.0° | 377.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 541 | 33.7% | +0.7 | 82.7 | 32.1° | 3 |
| Knuckle Curve | 532 | 33.1% | +0.2 | 85.4 | 2.3° | 2 |
| Cutter | 288 | 17.9% | -1.2 | 83.4 | 17.2° | 3 |
| Changeup | 126 | 7.8% | +0.9 | 77.6 | 12.7° | 1 |
| Sinker | 120 | 7.5% | -1.9 | 82.9 | 11.7° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
73.0%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Nolan Schanuel | #183 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-23 | Jo Adell | #141 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Vaughn Grissom | #135 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Oswald Peraza | #131 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Logan O'Hoppe | #126 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Jorge Soler | #40 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Zach Neto | #26 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Josh Naylor | #114 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Cole Young | #99 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Mitch Garver | #85 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Cal Raleigh | #75 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Colt Emerson | #25 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Dominic Canzone | #14 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Freddy Fermin | #106 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Xander Bogaerts | #97 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Jackson Merrill | #80 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Manny Machado | #68 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Ty France | #63 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Gavin Sheets | #47 | 59 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Myles Straw | #209 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Andrés Giménez | #157 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | George Springer | #108 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Ernie Clement | #92 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Brandon Valenzuela | #56 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Jesús Sánchez | #48 | 58 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Kazuma Okamoto | #34 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Mickey Gasper | #233 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Marcelo Mayer | #230 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | #202 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Caleb Durbin | #198 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Wilyer Abreu | #145 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Masataka Yoshida | #124 | 43 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #100 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Willson Contreras | #81 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jarren Duran | #45 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Chandler Simpson | #219 | 27 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Cedric Mullins | #206 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Richie Palacios | #196 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Taylor Walls | #166 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Hunter Feduccia | #89 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Victor Mesa Jr. | #75 | 49 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Jonathan Aranda | #31 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Yandy Díaz | #20 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Junior Caminero | #12 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Hunter Feduccia | #256 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-20 | Cedric Mullins | #253 | 16 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Taylor Walls | #251 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Chandler Simpson | #250 | 19 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Richie Palacios | #227 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Jonny DeLuca | #206 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Ryan Vilade | #108 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Jonathan Aranda | #72 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Junior Caminero | #27 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Jorbit Vivas | #256 | 8 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Jacob Young | #231 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Drew Millas | #182 | 35 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Luis García Jr. | #148 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Brady House | #110 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Daylen Lile | #105 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-15 | Curtis Mead | #84 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | CJ Abrams | #65 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | James Wood | #19 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Jeff McNeil | #86 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Jacob Wilson | #70 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Brent Rooker | #50 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-09 | Nick Kurtz | #37 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Lawrence Butler | #34 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Max Muncy | #29 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Tyler Soderstrom | #14 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Carlos Cortes | #12 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Shea Langeliers | #5 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | José Caballero | #69 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Ryan McMahon | #65 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Austin Wells | #40 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | #27 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Trent Grisham | #24 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Cody Bellinger | #23 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Giancarlo Stanton | #4 | 54 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Ben Rice | #2 | 59 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Aaron Judge | #1 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-28 | Joey Loperfido | #93 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Christian Vázquez | #84 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Jose Altuve | #71 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Carlos Correa | #67 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Isaac Paredes | #63 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Yainer Diaz | #57 | 56 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Cam Smith | #38 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Christian Walker | #13 | 74 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Yordan Alvarez | #1 | 88 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Kyle Isbel | #184 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Isaac Collins | #169 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #149 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Jonathan India | #143 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-21 | Salvador Perez | #142 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #138 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Maikel Garcia | #117 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Jac Caglianone | #62 | 50 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Carter Jensen | #41 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Steven Kwan | #113 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Juan Brito | #111 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Brayan Rocchio | #102 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Austin Hedges | #101 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Angel Martínez | #77 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Kyle Manzardo | #62 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | José Ramírez | #44 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-16 | George Valera | #25 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Chase DeLauter | #6 | 75 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Luis Arraez | #197 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Patrick Bailey | #189 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Jung Hoo Lee | #173 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-10 | Heliot Ramos | #107 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Casey Schmitt | #87 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Harrison Bader | #70 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Matt Chapman | #51 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Willy Adames | #50 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-10 | Rafael Devers | #10 | 59 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Nick Gonzales | #195 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Jared Triolo | #187 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Joey Bart | #184 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Henry Davis | #178 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Spencer Horwitz | #162 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Andrew McCutchen | #160 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Tommy Pham | #154 | 26 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Bryan Reynolds | #129 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Oneil Cruz | #96 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Luke Keaschall | #78 | 39 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Royce Lewis | #44 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-29 | Tristan Gray | #35 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Victor Caratini | #30 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Trevor Larnach | #22 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Josh Bell | #8 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Kody Clemens | #4 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Matt Wallner | #2 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Byron Buxton | #1 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |