Edward Cabrera
RHP
CHC
16
HRs Allowed
13.1%
HR Rate (Pool)
19.6%
Overall HR/FB
4.34
FIP
3.98
xFIP
+0.36
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.14
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
19.6%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
88th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
75.5%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.34
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
62th pctile
3.98
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.36
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
68th pctile
13.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
122
Pool Matchups
16
HRs Allowed (Pool)
12
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
13.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25.0% | 2.0 | 98.2mph | 103.8mph | 24.5° | 396ft | Up +11.9pp |
| Last 15 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 16.7% | 1.33 | 97.9mph | 101.8mph | 27.2° | 391ft | Up +3.6pp |
| Last 30 | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21.9% | 1.75 | 99.2mph | 103.1mph | 30.3° | 401ft | Up +8.8pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
99.6
Avg Max EV
115.4
Max EV Allowed
77
Hard-Hit Proxy · 75.5%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.5
Avg HR EV
30.3°
Avg HR Launch
392
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Francisco Alvarez | 105.2mph | 105.2mph | 26° | 403ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | Bo Bichette | 104.7mph | 102.5mph | 23° | 388ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | MJ Melendez | 101.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Jared Young | 100.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Willi Castro | 107.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Jake McCarthy | 104.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-16 | TJ Rumfield | 96.0mph | 96.0mph | 36° | 385ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-11 | Willi Castro | 108.3mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Francisco Alvarez | #95 | 49 | Citi Field | 105.2mph | 26.0° | 403ft |
| 2026-06-23 | Bo Bichette | #105 | 46 | Citi Field | 102.5mph | 23.0° | 388ft |
| 2026-06-16 | TJ Rumfield | #98 | 49 | Wrigley Field | 96.0mph | 36.0° | 385ft |
| 2026-06-11 | Brett Sullivan | #71 | 44 | Coors Field | 103.7mph | 24.0° | 388ft |
| 2026-06-05 | Casey Schmitt | #8 | 75 | Wrigley Field | 101.9mph | 37.0° | 424ft |
| 2026-06-05 | Willy Adames | #33 | 63 | Wrigley Field | 102.5mph | 40.0° | 388ft |
| 2026-06-05 | Matt Chapman | #119 | 44 | Wrigley Field | 109.6mph | 26.0° | 432ft |
| 2026-05-15 | Colson Montgomery | #21 | 75 | Rate Field | 104.0mph | 33.0° | 381.0ft |
| 2026-05-15 | Miguel Vargas | #24 | 72 | Rate Field | 101.8mph | 26.0° | 348.0ft |
| 2026-05-15 | Jarred Kelenic | #118 | 47 | Rate Field | 106.8mph | 29.0° | 446.0ft |
| 2026-05-09 | Josh Jung | #68 | 36 | Globe Life Field | 101.8mph | 25.0° | 389.0ft |
| 2026-05-09 | Jake Burger | #143 | 26 | Globe Life Field | 107.0mph | 28.0° | 420.0ft |
| 2026-05-04 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | #59 | 39 | Wrigley Field | 103.5mph | 22.0° | 366.0ft |
| 2026-04-28 | Xander Bogaerts | #171 | 30 | Petco Park | 108.3mph | 40.0° | 389.0ft |
| 2026-04-23 | Brandon Marsh | #40 | 48 | Wrigley Field | 98.3mph | 39.0° | 339.0ft |
| 2026-03-30 | Yoan Moncada | #54 | 48 | Wrigley Field | 103.3mph | 31.0° | 379.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 383 | 30.3% | +0.1 | 84.1 | -0.9° | 2 |
| Sinker | 275 | 21.8% | +0.2 | 87.6 | 18.0° | 3 |
| Curveball | 243 | 19.2% | -0.1 | 82.8 | -0.6° | 4 |
| Fastball | 216 | 17.1% | +3.4 | 88.0 | 32.2° | 6 |
| Slider | 146 | 11.6% | -1.1 | 79.9 | 18.9° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
75.5%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Brett Baty | #160 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Marcus Semien | #110 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Bo Bichette | #105 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-23 | Francisco Alvarez | #95 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-23 | Carson Benge | #88 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | MJ Melendez | #68 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Jared Young | #56 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Juan Soto | #5 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Troy Johnston | #157 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Willi Castro | #146 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Edouard Julien | #126 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Ezequiel Tovar | #102 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | TJ Rumfield | #98 | 49 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-16 | Jake McCarthy | #94 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Brett Sullivan | #9 | 74 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Hunter Goodman | #1 | 86 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Sterlin Thompson | #100 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Willi Castro | #80 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Brett Sullivan | #71 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-11 | Edouard Julien | #47 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-11 | TJ Rumfield | #43 | 52 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Troy Johnston | #42 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Ezequiel Tovar | #19 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Hunter Goodman | #1 | 93 | 🔥 A+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Daniel Susac | #180 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Drew Gilbert | #138 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Matt Chapman | #119 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Jung Hoo Lee | #106 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Rafael Devers | #51 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Bryce Eldridge | #34 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Willy Adames | #33 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Casey Schmitt | #8 | 75 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-20 | David Hamilton | #257 | 14 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Joey Ortiz | #246 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Sal Frelick | #231 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Luis Rengifo | #211 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | William Contreras | #137 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Brice Turang | #74 | 53 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Garrett Mitchell | #62 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Gary Sánchez | #53 | 58 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Jake Bauers | #26 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Tristan Peters | #233 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Chase Meidroth | #199 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Andrew Benintendi | #143 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Sam Antonacci | #134 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Jarred Kelenic | #118 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-15 | Miguel Vargas | #24 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-15 | Colson Montgomery | #21 | 75 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-15 | Drew Romo | #13 | 80 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Munetaka Murakami | #6 | 88 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Josh Smith | #257 | 6 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Evan Carter | #209 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Wyatt Langford | #182 | 21 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Danny Jansen | #154 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Jake Burger | #143 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-09 | Joc Pederson | #124 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Brandon Nimmo | #123 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Corey Seager | #96 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Josh Jung | #68 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-04 | Eugenio Suárez | #92 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Matt McLain | #91 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Tyler Stephenson | #90 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | TJ Friedl | #70 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | #59 | 39 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-05-04 | Spencer Steer | #28 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Sal Stewart | #14 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Elly De La Cruz | #9 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Nathaniel Lowe | #8 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Freddy Fermin | #220 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Miguel Andujar | #218 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Jake Cronenworth | #217 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Manny Machado | #176 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Xander Bogaerts | #171 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-28 | Jackson Merrill | #160 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #159 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Gavin Sheets | #121 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Ramón Laureano | #100 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Felix Reyes | #121 | 25 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Bryson Stott | #99 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Alec Bohm | #79 | 39 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Justin Crawford | #73 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Trea Turner | #45 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Brandon Marsh | #40 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-23 | Garrett Stubbs | #19 | 57 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Bryce Harper | #9 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Kyle Schwarber | #3 | 78 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | MJ Melendez | #260 | · | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Bo Bichette | #213 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Tyrone Taylor | #204 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Marcus Semien | #192 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Brett Baty | #173 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Francisco Lindor | #163 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Luis Robert Jr. | #158 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Carson Benge | #148 | 37 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Francisco Alvarez | #29 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Nick Gonzales | #204 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Jared Triolo | #189 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Henry Davis | #183 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Joey Bart | #150 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Spencer Horwitz | #130 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Tommy Pham | #121 | 33 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Andrew McCutchen | #80 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Bryan Reynolds | #42 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Oneil Cruz | #27 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Brayan Rocchio | #183 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Steven Kwan | #177 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Nolan Jones | #171 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Angel Martinez | #144 | 30 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Bo Naylor | #105 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Daniel Schneemann | #89 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Jose Ramirez | #86 | 43 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Gabriel Arias | #80 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Kyle Manzardo | #44 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Nolan Schanuel | #136 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Luis Rengifo | #130 | 29 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Jorge Soler | #60 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Yoan Moncada | #54 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-30 | Logan O'Hoppe | #53 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Zach Neto | #40 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Taylor Ward | #37 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Mike Trout | #21 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Jo Adell | #19 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |