2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Edward Cabrera
Edward Cabrera RHP CHC
122 matchups scored · 14 game days
16 HRs Allowed
13.1% HR Rate (Pool)
19.6% Overall HR/FB
4.34 FIP
3.98 xFIP
+0.36 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.14
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
19.6%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
88th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
75.5%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.34
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
62th pctile
3.98
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.36
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
68th pctile
13.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
122
Pool Matchups
16
HRs Allowed (Pool)
12
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
13.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 8 1 2 25.0% 2.0 98.2mph 103.8mph 24.5° 396ft Up +11.9pp
Last 15 24 3 4 16.7% 1.33 97.9mph 101.8mph 27.2° 391ft Up +3.6pp
Last 30 32 4 7 21.9% 1.75 99.2mph 103.1mph 30.3° 401ft Up +8.8pp
Batted-Ball Damage
102 tracked BBE from 122 pool matchups
99.6
115.4
77
0
103.5
30.3°
392
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-23 Francisco Alvarez 105.2mph 105.2mph 26° 403ft Yes
2026-06-23 Bo Bichette 104.7mph 102.5mph 23° 388ft Yes
2026-06-23 MJ Melendez 101.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Jared Young 100.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 Willi Castro 107.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 Jake McCarthy 104.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 TJ Rumfield 96.0mph 96.0mph 36° 385ft Yes
2026-06-11 Willi Castro 108.3mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
14 days · 16 total HRs
HRs Allowed
16 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-23 Francisco Alvarez #95 49 Citi Field 105.2mph 26.0° 403ft
2026-06-23 Bo Bichette #105 46 Citi Field 102.5mph 23.0° 388ft
2026-06-16 TJ Rumfield #98 49 Wrigley Field 96.0mph 36.0° 385ft
2026-06-11 Brett Sullivan #71 44 Coors Field 103.7mph 24.0° 388ft
2026-06-05 Casey Schmitt #8 75 Wrigley Field 101.9mph 37.0° 424ft
2026-06-05 Willy Adames #33 63 Wrigley Field 102.5mph 40.0° 388ft
2026-06-05 Matt Chapman #119 44 Wrigley Field 109.6mph 26.0° 432ft
2026-05-15 Colson Montgomery #21 75 Rate Field 104.0mph 33.0° 381.0ft
2026-05-15 Miguel Vargas #24 72 Rate Field 101.8mph 26.0° 348.0ft
2026-05-15 Jarred Kelenic #118 47 Rate Field 106.8mph 29.0° 446.0ft
2026-05-09 Josh Jung #68 36 Globe Life Field 101.8mph 25.0° 389.0ft
2026-05-09 Jake Burger #143 26 Globe Life Field 107.0mph 28.0° 420.0ft
2026-05-04 Ke'Bryan Hayes #59 39 Wrigley Field 103.5mph 22.0° 366.0ft
2026-04-28 Xander Bogaerts #171 30 Petco Park 108.3mph 40.0° 389.0ft
2026-04-23 Brandon Marsh #40 48 Wrigley Field 98.3mph 39.0° 339.0ft
2026-03-30 Yoan Moncada #54 48 Wrigley Field 103.3mph 31.0° 379.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Changeup 383 30.3% +0.1 84.1 -0.9° 2
Sinker 275 21.8% +0.2 87.6 18.0° 3
Curveball 243 19.2% -0.1 82.8 -0.6° 4
Fastball 216 17.1% +3.4 88.0 32.2° 6
Slider 146 11.6% -1.1 79.9 18.9° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
75.5%
75.5%
All Scored Matchups
122 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-23 Brett Baty #160 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Marcus Semien #110 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Bo Bichette #105 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-23 Francisco Alvarez #95 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-23 Carson Benge #88 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 MJ Melendez #68 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Jared Young #56 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Juan Soto #5 76 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Troy Johnston #157 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Willi Castro #146 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Edouard Julien #126 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 Ezequiel Tovar #102 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-16 TJ Rumfield #98 49 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-16 Jake McCarthy #94 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 Brett Sullivan #9 74 🟡 B 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-16 Hunter Goodman #1 86 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 Sterlin Thompson #100 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 Willi Castro #80 41 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-11 Brett Sullivan #71 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-11 Edouard Julien #47 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 TJ Rumfield #43 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-11 Troy Johnston #42 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 Ezequiel Tovar #19 62 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 Hunter Goodman #1 93 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Daniel Susac #180 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Drew Gilbert #138 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-05 Matt Chapman #119 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-05 Jung Hoo Lee #106 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Rafael Devers #51 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Bryce Eldridge #34 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Willy Adames #33 63 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-05 Casey Schmitt #8 75 🟡 B ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-20 David Hamilton #257 14 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-20 Joey Ortiz #246 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-20 Sal Frelick #231 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-20 Luis Rengifo #211 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-20 William Contreras #137 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-20 Brice Turang #74 53 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-20 Garrett Mitchell #62 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-20 Gary Sánchez #53 58 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-20 Jake Bauers #26 69 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Tristan Peters #233 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Chase Meidroth #199 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Andrew Benintendi #143 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Sam Antonacci #134 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Jarred Kelenic #118 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-15 Miguel Vargas #24 72 🟡 B 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-15 Colson Montgomery #21 75 🟡 B ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-15 Drew Romo #13 80 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Munetaka Murakami #6 88 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Josh Smith #257 6 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-09 Evan Carter #209 18 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Wyatt Langford #182 21 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-09 Danny Jansen #154 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Jake Burger #143 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-09 Joc Pederson #124 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Brandon Nimmo #123 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Corey Seager #96 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Josh Jung #68 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-04 Eugenio Suárez #92 33 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-04 Matt McLain #91 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-04 Tyler Stephenson #90 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-04 TJ Friedl #70 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-04 Ke'Bryan Hayes #59 39 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-05-04 Spencer Steer #28 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-04 Sal Stewart #14 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-04 Elly De La Cruz #9 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-04 Nathaniel Lowe #8 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 Freddy Fermin #220 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-28 Miguel Andujar #218 14 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-28 Jake Cronenworth #217 16 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-28 Manny Machado #176 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 Xander Bogaerts #171 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-28 Jackson Merrill #160 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-28 Fernando Tatis Jr. #159 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-28 Gavin Sheets #121 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-28 Ramón Laureano #100 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Felix Reyes #121 25 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-23 Bryson Stott #99 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-23 Alec Bohm #79 39 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-23 Justin Crawford #73 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Trea Turner #45 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Brandon Marsh #40 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-23 Garrett Stubbs #19 57 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-23 Bryce Harper #9 66 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Kyle Schwarber #3 78 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 MJ Melendez #260 · ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 Bo Bichette #213 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Tyrone Taylor #204 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 Marcus Semien #192 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 Brett Baty #173 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Francisco Lindor #163 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Luis Robert Jr. #158 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 Carson Benge #148 37 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-17 Francisco Alvarez #29 67 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 Nick Gonzales #204 28 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 Jared Triolo #189 33 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-11 Henry Davis #183 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-11 Joey Bart #150 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-11 Spencer Horwitz #130 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-11 Tommy Pham #121 33 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-11 Andrew McCutchen #80 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 Bryan Reynolds #42 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-11 Oneil Cruz #27 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-05 Brayan Rocchio #183 27 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-05 Steven Kwan #177 24 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-05 Nolan Jones #171 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-05 Angel Martinez #144 30 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-05 Bo Naylor #105 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-05 Daniel Schneemann #89 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-05 Jose Ramirez #86 43 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-05 Gabriel Arias #80 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-05 Kyle Manzardo #44 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 Nolan Schanuel #136 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 Luis Rengifo #130 29 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-30 Jorge Soler #60 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 Yoan Moncada #54 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-03-30 Logan O'Hoppe #53 42 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-30 Zach Neto #40 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-30 Taylor Ward #37 52 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-30 Mike Trout #21 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 Jo Adell #19 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
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