Results · 2026-06-24

Showing the latest published results while today's slate is prepared.

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Results · 2026-06-24

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-06-25. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.2% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	·James Wood (L) ²	77	·	Aaron Nola (RHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%14.7% Avg EV95.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.3×	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.17 FIP3.77 IP697.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind4 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +1
2	·Kazuma Okamoto (R) ³	76	+4.6	Mike Burrows (RHP) HOU @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.29 FIP4.78 IP716.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
3	·Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁴	76	+3.5	Joe Ryan (RHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/91.08 FIP4.27 IP723.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+50 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.2°F Wind5.0 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
4	·Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	73	·	Ryan Weathers (LHP) NYY @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.91 FIP3.62 IP699.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-10 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.6°F Wind6.7 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 7 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
5	·Willson Contreras (R) ⁵	72	·	Kyle Freeland (LHP) BOS @ COL · Coors Field	1:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.37 FIP4.80 IP703.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.9°F Wind2.0 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 2 mph NW (in) — modifier: +1
6	·Yordan Alvarez (L) ³	72	+2.3	Trey Yesavage (RHP) HOU @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.12 FIP4.01 IP705.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
7	·Juan Soto (L) ³	72	·	Shota Imanaga (LHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.5% HR/91.52 FIP4.70 IP702.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-13 Weather · Citi Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82.8°F Wind12.0 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note83°F, wind 12 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2
8	·Byron Buxton (R) ²	71	+2.0	Shohei Ohtani (RHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.06 FIP3.71 IP682.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+53 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.2°F Wind5.0 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+53 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
9	·Bryce Harper (L)	71	·	WSH Bullpen Proxy PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.42 FIP4.77 IP737.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+17 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind4 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +1
10	·Hunter Goodman (R) ⁴	70	·	Ranger Suarez (LHP) BOS @ COL · Coors Field	1:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.7×	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.18 FIP4.13 IP684.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.9°F Wind2.0 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 2 mph NW (in) — modifier: +1
11	Max Muncy (S)	70	+1.1	Joe Ryan (RHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🟡 B	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls49 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/91.08 FIP4.27 IP723.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+52 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.2°F Wind5.0 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+52 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph W (out) — modifier: +0	Max Muncy — Home Run OffDylan Smith Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle27.0° Distance416 ft StadiumTarget Field
12	·Colson Montgomery (L) ³	70	·	Tanner Bibee (RHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.0×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.00 IP720.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
13	·Ben Rice (L) ³	70	·	Tarik Skubal (LHP) NYY @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/90.99 FIP3.94 IP712.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-18 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.6°F Wind6.7 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 7 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
14	Curtis Mead (R) ³	70	·	Aaron Nola (RHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.17 FIP3.77 IP697.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+16 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind4 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +1	Curtis Mead — Home Run OffJonathan Bowlan Exit Velo102.8 mph Angle31.0° Distance394 ft StadiumNationals Park
15	·Nick Kurtz (L) ⁴	68	-6.3	Tyler Mahle (RHP) ATH @ SF · Oracle Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.5×	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.03 FIP4.24 IP683.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+59 Weather · Oracle Park mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65.4°F Wind10 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+59 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 10 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
16	Jake Bauers (L) ³	67	+5.1	Rhett Lowder (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.39 FIP5.02 IP693.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-10 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82.0°F Wind3 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 3 mph SE (out) — modifier: +1	Jake Bauers — Home Run OffRhett Lowder Exit Velo109.8 mph Angle26.0° Distance428 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park
17	·Jackson Chourio (R) ⁴	67	+3.9	Rhett Lowder (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.5×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.39 FIP5.02 IP693.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-12 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82.0°F Wind3 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 3 mph SE (out) — modifier: +1
18	·Jac Caglianone (L) ²	66	·	Griffin Jax (RHP) KC @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.12 FIP4.08 IP707.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
19	·Drake Baldwin (L)	66	·	SD Bullpen Proxy ATL @ SD · Petco Park	5:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls12 BBE Barrel%17.8% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7.5×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.08 FIP4.13 IP701.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-52 Weather · Petco Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.2°F Wind7 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-52 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph W (in) — modifier: -1
20	·Denzer Guzman (R)	66	·	Trey Gibson (RHP) BAL @ LAA · Angel Stadium	1:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	3	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.08 FIP4.17 IP711.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-65 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.7°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-65 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 7 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +0
21	·Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ⁵	65	·	Sean Manaea (LHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP3.92 IP663.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Citi Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82.8°F Wind12.0 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note83°F, wind 12 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2
22	·Pete Alonso (R)	65	·	José Soriano (RHP) BAL @ LAA · Angel Stadium	1:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.11 FIP4.51 IP724.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-65 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.7°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-65 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 7 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +0
23	Jorge Soler (R) ⁵	65	·	Trey Gibson (RHP) BAL @ LAA · Angel Stadium	1:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	11	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls4 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV88.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.08 FIP4.17 IP711.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-65 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.7°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-65 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 7 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +0	Jorge Soler — Home Run OffTrey Gibson Exit Velo95.6 mph Angle28.0° Distance366 ft StadiumAngel Stadium
24	·Matt Olson (L)	65	-4.0	SD Bullpen Proxy ATL @ SD · Petco Park	5:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.0×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.08 FIP4.13 IP701.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-52 Weather · Petco Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.2°F Wind7 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-52 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph W (in) — modifier: -1
25	·Griffin Conine (L) ³	64	·	Jacob deGrom (RHP) TEX @ MIA · loanDepot Park	12:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	2	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls4 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV85.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.21 FIP4.16 IP704.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · loanDepot Park neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
26	·Shea Langeliers (R) ³	63	-7.7	Tyler Mahle (RHP) ATH @ SF · Oracle Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.2×	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.03 FIP4.24 IP683.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+50 Weather · Oracle Park mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65.4°F Wind10 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 10 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
27	·Cj Abrams (L) ³	62	·	Aaron Nola (RHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.17 FIP3.77 IP697.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind4 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +1
28	·Jordan Walker (R)	62	+1.8	AZ Bullpen Proxy AZ @ STL · Busch Stadium	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.7×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.30 FIP4.60 IP705.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.7°F Wind2.0 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 2 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +1
29	·Ryan Ward (L) ²	61	+3.2	Joe Ryan (RHP) LAD @ MIN · Target Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	3	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/91.08 FIP4.27 IP723.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+50 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.2°F Wind5.0 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
30	·Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ⁵	61	·	Nolan McLean (RHP) CHC @ NYM · Citi Field	1:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP3.92 IP663.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Citi Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82.8°F Wind12.0 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note83°F, wind 12 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.9%

▼ -6.0 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 20.9% prior 15d

Results · 2026-06-24

31 HRs

25%

8 caught / 31 HRs

in top 50

#10 Max Muncy

32.3%

🟡

#14 Jake Bauers

23.3%

🔵

#22 Jorge Soler

23.2%

🔵

#24 Curtis Mead

30.3%

🔵

#46 Spencer Steer

25.6%

🟠

#48 Joc Pederson

17.2%

🟠

#49 Paul Goldschmidt

28.5%

🟠

#50 Wyatt Langford

23.6%

🟠

Missed

Mark Vientos Samuel Basallo Ketel Marte Jared Young Francisco Alvarez +18 more

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.4%

B 19.7%

C+ 15.9%

C 13.0%

D 8.5%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Results · 2026-06-24

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