LongDong™ — CHC @ NYM

CHC

@ 7:10p

NYM

Citi Field · 34 ranked batters

Stadium Conditions

Citi Field

First pitch 7:10p · roof open

Park 0.98× Wind 12 mph slight_out 83°F open

-2

3 mph · cross

73°F

7:10p

Neutral for HR environment

-2

3 mph · cross

73°F

8:10p

Neutral for HR environment

-2

3 mph · cross

73°F

9:10p

Neutral for HR environment

-2

3 mph · cross

73°F

10:10p

Neutral for HR environment

-2

3 mph · cross

73°F

11:10p

Neutral for HR environment

⚪ Boost · Combined 1.18

83°F, wind 12 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Shota Imanaga LHP

1.68 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.58 ·

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Juan Soto	72	🟡 B	·	🌧️ COOL	7	0.266	93.3	12.3%	16.0% vs LHP	399	20.6%	23.1%	27.7%	36
2	Mark Vientos	55	🟠 C	+625	🌧️ COOL	53	0.179	89.5	10.2%	20.0% vs LHP	410	12.1%	25.0%	20.9%	14
3	Francisco Alvarez	54	🟠 C	+900	·	68	0.132	90.7	13.0%	14.3% vs LHP	405	3.4%	50.0%	13.2%	26
4	Carson Benge	47	⚪ D	·	·	103	0.143	90.1	9.8%	25.0% vs LHP	399	9.5%	15.4%	12.0%	36
5	Bo Bichette	45	⚪ D	+950	🌧️ COOL	115	0.119	90.5	8.8%	25.0% vs LHP	382	9.2%	23.1%	16.2%	41
6	Marcus Semien	43	⚪ D	+950	❄ COLD	135	0.132	86.1	9.3%	6.2% vs LHP	391	10.5%	7.7%	7.5%	28
7	Brett Baty	35	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	197	0.088	88.8	8.6%	0.0% vs LHP	415	4.2%	0.0%	6.7%	19
8	A.J. Ewing	33	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	205	0.113	·	7.0%	0.0% vs LHP	·	0.0%	0.0%	6.7%	29
9	Luis Torrens	31	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	213	0.089	88.3	6.4%	0.0% vs LHP	413	4.3%	0.0%	6.6%	18

Sean Manaea LHP

0.99 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.09 ·

8 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Pete Crow-Armstrong	65	🔵 C+	·	🌧️ COOL	21	0.229	91.5	9.8%	22.2% vs LHP	393	20.5%	46.2%	30.1%	35
2	Ian Happ	61	🔵 C+	·	❄ COLD	33	0.243	90.0	10.5%	17.4% vs LHP	403	22.1%	15.4%	18.0%	33
3	Seiya Suzuki	46	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	111	0.176	89.5	8.4%	25.0% vs LHP	409	10.5%	8.3%	11.6%	23
4	Michael Busch	44	⚪ D	+950	·	125	0.154	88.3	9.5%	10.5% vs LHP	400	10.1%	7.7%	10.3%	33
5	Dansby Swanson	42	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	143	0.134	89.2	7.4%	22.2% vs LHP	394	11.8%	15.4%	13.4%	26
6	Carson Kelly	37	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	179	0.109	88.5	7.5%	17.6% vs LHP	421	5.9%	16.7%	13.4%	17
7	Alex Bregman	36	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	192	0.132	87.8	6.3%	7.7% vs LHP	395	6.5%	7.7%	6.9%	35
8	Nico Hoerner	25	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	234	0.093	85.9	3.0%	12.5% vs LHP	383	5.2%	0.0%	7.4%	38

Nolan McLean RHP

0.87 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.11 ·

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Pete Crow-Armstrong	61	🔵 C+	·	🌧️ COOL	30	0.229	91.5	8.3%	21.1% vs RHP	393	20.5%	46.2%	25.3%	35
2	Ian Happ	58	🟠 C	·	❄ COLD	48	0.243	90.0	8.8%	28.3% vs RHP	403	22.1%	15.4%	21.1%	33
3	Michael Conforto	52	🟠 C	·	❄ COLD	74	0.241	93.3	9.0%	16.0% vs RHP	405	4.3%	0.0%	18.5%	4
4	Miguel Amaya	44	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	124	0.207	86.4	6.7%	25.0% vs RHP	384	8.3%	0.0%	15.7%	9
5	Seiya Suzuki	43	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	130	0.176	89.5	7.1%	24.2% vs RHP	409	10.5%	8.3%	13.2%	23
6	Michael Busch	41	⚪ D	+950	·	150	0.154	88.3	8.0%	13.0% vs RHP	400	10.1%	7.7%	9.1%	33
7	Dansby Swanson	39	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	166	0.134	89.2	6.2%	9.8% vs RHP	394	11.8%	15.4%	12.9%	26
8	Pedro Ramirez	35	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	193	0.154	91.3	5.9%	0.0% vs RHP	414	0.0%	0.0%	12.1%	12
9	Nico Hoerner	23	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	237	0.093	85.9	2.5%	4.8% vs RHP	383	5.2%	0.0%	7.5%	38

Javier Assad RHP

1.16 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.04 ·

8 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Jared Young	48	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	96	0.166	90.7	8.9%	23.5% vs RHP	401	11.1%	11.1%	12.5%	27
2	Francisco Alvarez	48	⚪ D	+900	·	100	0.132	90.7	9.9%	18.2% vs RHP	405	3.4%	50.0%	9.8%	26
3	Mj Melendez	43	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	129	0.169	94.0	8.6%	11.1% vs RHP	379	0.0%	0.0%	10.8%	10
4	Carson Benge	43	⚪ D	·	·	132	0.143	90.1	7.5%	15.2% vs RHP	399	9.5%	15.4%	10.9%	36
5	Bo Bichette	41	⚪ D	+950	🌧️ COOL	149	0.119	90.5	6.7%	8.3% vs RHP	382	9.2%	23.1%	9.2%	41
6	Marcus Semien	39	⚪ D	+950	❄ COLD	170	0.132	86.1	7.1%	16.7% vs RHP	391	10.5%	7.7%	6.2%	28
7	Brett Baty	31	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	211	0.088	88.8	6.6%	9.1% vs RHP	415	4.2%	0.0%	8.1%	19
8	Luis Torrens	28	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	228	0.089	88.3	4.9%	7.1% vs RHP	413	4.3%	0.0%	5.3%	18

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Citi Field

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