Javier Assad
RHP
CHC
7
HRs Allowed
17.1%
HR Rate (Pool)
11.9%
Overall HR/FB
4.61
FIP
4.44
xFIP
+0.17
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.4
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
11.9%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
45th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.61
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
69th pctile
4.44
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.17
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
58th pctile
17.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
41
Pool Matchups
7
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
17.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 37.5% | 3.0 | 99.6mph | 105.6mph | 29.3° | 418ft | Up +20.4pp |
| Last 15 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 26.1% | 2.0 | 97.7mph | 104.1mph | 28.0° | 412ft | Up +9.0pp |
| Last 30 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 26.1% | 2.0 | 97.7mph | 104.1mph | 28.0° | 412ft | Up +9.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.5
Avg Max EV
111.5
Max EV Allowed
28
Hard-Hit Proxy · 71.8%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.5
Avg HR EV
29.0°
Avg HR Launch
408
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Bo Bichette | 108.3mph | 106.3mph | 31° | 411ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | Francisco Alvarez | 106.5mph | 106.5mph | 34° | 437ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | Carson Benge | 104.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Jared Young | 103.9mph | 103.9mph | 23° | 405ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | Marcus Semien | 102.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | MJ Melendez | 101.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Hunter Goodman | 107.7mph | 107.7mph | 22° | 417ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | Sterlin Thompson | 102.6mph | 99.7mph | 29° | 406ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Jared Young | #96 | 48 | Citi Field | 103.9mph | 23.0° | 405ft |
| 2026-06-24 | Francisco Alvarez | #100 | 48 | Citi Field | 106.5mph | 34.0° | 437ft |
| 2026-06-24 | Bo Bichette | #152 | 41 | Citi Field | 106.3mph | 31.0° | 411ft |
| 2026-06-17 | Hunter Goodman | #23 | 69 | Wrigley Field | 107.7mph | 22.0° | 417ft |
| 2026-06-17 | Kyle Karros | #167 | 36 | Wrigley Field | 100.3mph | 29.0° | 393ft |
| 2026-06-17 | Sterlin Thompson | #230 | 17 | Wrigley Field | 99.7mph | 29.0° | 406ft |
| 2026-04-19 | MJ Melendez | #230 | 23 | Wrigley Field | 99.9mph | 35.0° | 387.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 269 | 39.2% | -0.8 | 86.5 | 17.0° | 1 |
| Fastball | 114 | 16.6% | -0.7 | 81.9 | 28.9° | 2 |
| Cutter | 113 | 16.4% | -0.3 | 82.0 | 18.0° | 1 |
| Sweeper | 56 | 8.2% | -1.2 | 75.9 | 6.4° | 0 |
| Changeup | 52 | 7.6% | +1.7 | 82.7 | 0.5° | 2 |
| Curveball | 51 | 7.4% | -0.4 | 80.5 | 20.8° | 0 |
| Slider | 32 | 4.7% | -4.6 | 85.1 | 17.0° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.8%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Luis Torrens | #226 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Brett Baty | #212 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Marcus Semien | #171 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Bo Bichette | #152 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-24 | Carson Benge | #134 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | MJ Melendez | #105 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Francisco Alvarez | #100 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-24 | Jared Young | #96 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-17 | Sterlin Thompson | #230 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-17 | Tyler Freeman | #178 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Jake McCarthy | #176 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Edouard Julien | #172 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Kyle Karros | #167 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ezequiel Tovar | #153 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | TJ Rumfield | #116 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Hunter Goodman | #23 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-12 | Luis Arráez | #211 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Jung Hoo Lee | #185 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Drew Gilbert | #163 | 38 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Rafael Devers | #120 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Matt Chapman | #100 | 47 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Casey Schmitt | #90 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Willy Adames | #84 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | MJ Melendez | #230 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-19 | Luis Torrens | #192 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Bo Bichette | #187 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Marcus Semien | #156 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Brett Baty | #144 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Mark Vientos | #129 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Luis Robert Jr. | #122 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Carson Benge | #121 | 46 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Francisco Lindor | #98 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Chandler Simpson | #243 | 11 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Jake Mangum | #232 | 18 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Taylor Walls | #220 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Josh Lowe | #156 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Christopher Morel | #97 | 36 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Yandy Diaz | #89 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Jonathan Aranda | #57 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Junior Caminero | #31 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Brandon Lowe | #15 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |