Sean Manaea
LHP
NYM
3
HRs Allowed
12.5%
HR Rate (Pool)
19.2%
Overall HR/FB
3.93
FIP
3.96
xFIP
-0.04
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
19.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
88th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
78.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.93
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
47th pctile
3.96
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.04
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
47th pctile
12.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
24
Pool Matchups
3
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
12.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12.5% | 1.0 | 100.0mph | 105.7mph | 30.0° | 408ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 15 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 12.5% | 1.0 | 97.8mph | 106.0mph | 27.7° | 402ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 12.5% | 1.0 | 97.8mph | 106.0mph | 27.7° | 402ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.8
Avg Max EV
108.2
Max EV Allowed
18
Hard-Hit Proxy · 78.3%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
106.0
Avg HR EV
27.7°
Avg HR Launch
402
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Michael Busch | 108.2mph | 108.2mph | 25° | 398ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | Ian Happ | 106.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Dansby Swanson | 105.1mph | 103.1mph | 35° | 418ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 103.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Carson Kelly | 102.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Nico Hoerner | 100.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Kyle Schwarber | 104.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Bryce Harper | 101.5mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Michael Busch | #129 | 44 | Citi Field | 108.2mph | 25.0° | 398ft |
| 2026-06-24 | Dansby Swanson | #149 | 41 | Citi Field | 103.1mph | 35.0° | 418ft |
| 2026-06-13 | Eli White | #124 | 44 | Citi Field | 106.6mph | 23.0° | 390ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 339 | 35.8% | -0.2 | 83.0 | 27.8° | 3 |
| Sweeper | 309 | 32.6% | +1.1 | 74.2 | 12.6° | 2 |
| Sinker | 187 | 19.7% | -0.6 | 82.1 | 6.7° | 0 |
| Cutter | 71 | 7.5% | +2.7 | 77.7 | 23.9° | 1 |
| Changeup | 41 | 4.3% | -1.4 | 81.2 | 10.8° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
78.3%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Nico Hoerner | #232 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Alex Bregman | #196 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Carson Kelly | #178 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Dansby Swanson | #149 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-24 | Michael Busch | #129 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-24 | Seiya Suzuki | #114 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Ian Happ | #32 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #20 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Trea Turner | #113 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Edmundo Sosa | #71 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Bryson Stott | #59 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Derek Hill | #47 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Alec Bohm | #35 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Bryce Harper | #27 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Brandon Marsh | #23 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Kyle Schwarber | #5 | 78 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Sandy León | #230 | 11 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Ha-Seong Kim | #229 | 11 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Ozzie Albies | #134 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Eli White | #124 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-13 | Austin Riley | #107 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Mauricio Dubón | #84 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Jorge Mateo | #41 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Matt Olson | #7 | 76 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |