MIL
@
7:10p
CIN
Stadium Conditions
Great American Ball Park
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 1.06×
Wind 3 mph out
82°F
open
+5
3 mph · out
70°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
+5
3 mph · out
70°F
8:10p
Boost for HR environment
+5
3 mph · out
70°F
9:10p
Boost for HR environment
+5
3 mph · out
70°F
10:10p
Boost for HR environment
+5
3 mph · out
70°F
11:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.17
82°F, wind 3 mph SE (out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 16 | 0.260 | 92.6 | 10.2% | 35.9% vs RHP | 399 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 23.3% | 17 |
| 2 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 17 | 0.239 | 92.3 | 10.4% | 20.0% vs RHP | 395 | 18.4% | 27.3% | 21.2% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Turang | 54 | 🟠 C | +1000 | · | 64 | 0.196 | 91.0 | 8.6% | 28.9% vs RHP | 406 | 10.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 69 | 0.156 | 92.3 | 10.3% | 25.0% vs RHP | 422 | 7.1% | 20.0% | 16.8% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 45 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 120 | 0.143 | 90.5 | 7.7% | 16.7% vs RHP | 418 | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Yelich | 43 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 134 | 0.138 | 88.2 | 7.3% | 15.8% vs RHP | 399 | 7.3% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
David Hamilton | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 201 | 0.100 | 86.3 | 5.8% | 7.5% vs RHP | 383 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Sal Frelick | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 217 | 0.090 | 85.9 | 4.0% | 6.7% vs RHP | 402 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 23 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 59 | 🟠 C | +800 | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.237 | 94.2 | 10.9% | 35.3% vs LHP | 394 | 15.8% | 0.0% | 18.2% | 1 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Steer | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.194 | 89.5 | 10.4% | 28.6% vs LHP | 394 | 12.3% | 30.0% | 25.6% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 54 | 🟠 C | +950 | · | 63 | 0.197 | 90.8 | 10.8% | 35.7% vs LHP | 395 | 9.5% | 8.3% | 16.4% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Noelvi Marte | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 77 | 0.186 | 88.3 | 6.7% | 20.0% vs LHP | 429 | 11.1% | 30.0% | 22.3% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 45 | ⚪ D | +800 | · | 119 | 0.142 | 90.7 | 9.2% | 8.3% vs LHP | 384 | 8.1% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Matt Mclain | 41 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🔥 HOT | 145 | 0.156 | 88.8 | 8.9% | 26.7% vs LHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 39 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 163 | 0.148 | 87.1 | 7.9% | 20.0% vs LHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.8% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Dane Myers | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 174 | 0.121 | 90.0 | 8.1% | 13.3% vs LHP | 378 | 7.4% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 8 |
| 9 |
|
Blake Dunn | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 216 | 0.106 | 89.0 | 4.8% | 6.7% | 381 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 30 |