2026
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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Rhett Lowder
Rhett Lowder RHP CIN
103 matchups scored · 12 game days
8 HRs Allowed
7.8% HR Rate (Pool)
7.4% Overall HR/FB
3.53 FIP
4.55 xFIP
-1.02 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot ?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards. Pool + today context
0.67
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
7.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
10th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
73.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.53
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
32th pctile
4.55
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-1.02
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
6th pctile
7.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
103
Pool Matchups
8
HRs Allowed (Pool)
9
Top-15 Matchups
3
HRs to Top-15
7.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 15 2 3 20.0% 1.5 99.9mph 107.5mph 26.0° 420ft Up +12.2pp
Last 15 24 3 4 16.7% 1.33 98.9mph 108.6mph 25.2° 423ft Up +8.9pp
Last 30 31 4 5 16.1% 1.25 99.1mph 107.1mph 25.4° 412ft Up +8.3pp
Batted-Ball Damage
89 tracked BBE from 103 pool matchups
98.0
Avg Max EV
112.8
Max EV Allowed
65
Hard-Hit Proxy · 73.0%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.5
Avg HR EV
26.5°
Avg HR Launch
407
Avg HR Distance
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-24 Jake Bauers 109.8mph 109.8mph 26° 428ft Yes
2026-06-24 Jackson Chourio 107.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 William Contreras 103.7mph 103.6mph 26° 399ft Yes
2026-06-24 Brice Turang 103.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Christian Yelich 102.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Garrett Mitchell 100.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Ben Rice 109.1mph 109.1mph 26° 433ft Yes
2026-06-19 Jasson Domínguez 108.1mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
12 days · 8 total HRs
HRs Allowed
8 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-24 Jake Bauers #14 67 Great American Ball Park 109.8mph 26.0° 428ft
2026-06-24 William Contreras #123 45 Great American Ball Park 103.6mph 26.0° 399ft
2026-06-19 Ben Rice #6 76 Yankee Stadium 109.1mph 26.0° 433ft
2026-06-13 Corbin Carroll #11 75 Great American Ball Park 111.8mph 23.0° 433ft
2026-06-07 Bryan Torres #216 23 Busch Stadium 101.4mph 26.0° 368ft
2026-04-26 Spencer Torkelson #22 69 Great American Ball Park 107.3mph 30.0° 421.0ft
2026-04-26 Gleyber Torres #153 40 Great American Ball Park 103.1mph 26.0° 388.0ft
2026-03-29 Wilyer Abreu #16 52 Great American Ball Park 98.0mph 29.0° 385.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Sinker 285 29.8% -1.7 86.5 18.5° 0
Slider 236 24.7% +2.2 85.2 9.4° 3
Fastball 231 24.1% -0.3 84.8 35.2° 1
Changeup 205 21.4% +0.6 84.7 9.1° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
73.0%
73.0%
All Scored Matchups
103 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-24 Sal Frelick #220 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-24 David Hamilton #201 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Christian Yelich #137 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 William Contreras #123 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-24 Garrett Mitchell #67 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Brice Turang #63 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-24 Jackson Chourio #15 67 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Jake Bauers #14 67 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-19 Anthony Volpe #112 47 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-19 Cody Bellinger #49 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Ryan McMahon #44 59 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Paul Goldschmidt #20 67 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Spencer Jones #13 74 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Jasson Domínguez #10 75 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Ben Rice #6 76 🟡 B 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-13 Pavin Smith #195 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Geraldo Perdomo #179 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Ryan Waldschmidt #156 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Tommy Troy #150 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Adrian Del Castillo #132 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Nolan Arenado #94 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Ketel Marte #51 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Gabriel Moreno #44 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Corbin Carroll #11 75 🟡 B 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-07 José Fermín #222 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 Bryan Torres #216 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-07 Nolan Gorman #155 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 JJ Wetherholt #150 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Iván Herrera #143 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-07 Alec Burleson #140 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 Jordan Walker #60 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-07 Carson Kelly #94 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-07 Nico Hoerner #84 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-07 Matt Shaw #79 33 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-07 Alex Bregman #72 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 Michael Busch #57 37 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-07 Dansby Swanson #40 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-07 Pete Crow-Armstrong #28 42 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-07 Ian Happ #21 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 Moisés Ballesteros #20 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Nick Gonzales #261 · ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Konnor Griffin #246 9 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Marcell Ozuna #238 10 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 Nick Yorke #231 12 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 Bryan Reynolds #230 12 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Spencer Horwitz #209 16 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 Ryan O'Hearn #208 16 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Oneil Cruz #169 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Brandon Lowe #157 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-26 Gleyber Torres #153 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-26 Matt Vierling #106 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-26 Colt Keith #99 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-26 Wenceel Pérez #88 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Kevin McGonigle #41 64 🔵 C+ · — ·
2026-04-26 Jake Rogers #23 69 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Spencer Torkelson #22 69 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-26 Riley Greene #21 69 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-26 Kerry Carpenter #16 72 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-20 Chandler Simpson #165 16 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-20 Ben Williamson #162 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-20 Nick Fortes #148 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-20 Jonny DeLuca #122 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-20 Yandy Díaz #118 33 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-20 Cedric Mullins #110 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-20 Jake Fraley #102 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-20 Jonathan Aranda #85 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-20 Junior Caminero #76 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-15 Drew Gilbert #99 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-15 Luis Arraez #90 25 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-15 Jung Hoo Lee #88 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-15 Daniel Susac #63 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-15 Casey Schmitt #52 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-15 Matt Chapman #43 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-15 Will Brennan #37 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-15 Willy Adames #36 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-15 Rafael Devers #21 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-09 Xavier Edwards #76 21 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-09 Dane Myers #60 32 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-09 Javier Sanoja #59 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-09 Otto Lopez #55 34 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-09 Eric Wagaman #50 35 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-09 Connor Norby #49 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-09 Liam Hicks #37 29 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-09 Agustin Ramirez #30 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-09 Kyle Stowers #10 58 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-04 Josh Smith #155 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-04 Marcus Semien #143 26 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-04 Jonah Heim #138 24 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-04 Josh Jung #113 28 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-04 Kyle Higashioka #111 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 Adolis Garcia #110 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 Jake Burger #90 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 Wyatt Langford #81 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-04 Corey Seager #42 41 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-29 Connor Wong #176 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-29 Caleb Durbin #98 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Jarren Duran #76 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Masataka Yoshida #55 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-29 Marcelo Mayer #23 45 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-29 Roman Anthony #18 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Wilyer Abreu #16 52 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-03-29 Willson Contreras #15 50 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-29 Trevor Story #14 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
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