Shane Drohan
LHP
MIL
7
HRs Allowed
14.0%
HR Rate (Pool)
8.7%
Overall HR/FB
2.81
FIP
3.53
xFIP
-0.72
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.17
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
8.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
15th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.1%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
2.81
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
12th pctile
3.53
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.72
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
14th pctile
14.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
50
Pool Matchups
7
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
14.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 25.0% | 2.0 | 99.7mph | 102.7mph | 28.2° | 387ft | Up +11.0pp |
| Last 15 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 20.8% | 1.67 | 99.9mph | 102.0mph | 27.4° | 385ft | Up +6.8pp |
| Last 30 | 41 | 5 | 7 | 17.1% | 1.4 | 98.9mph | 101.7mph | 27.4° | 391ft | Up +3.1pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.5
Avg Max EV
112.8
Max EV Allowed
32
Hard-Hit Proxy · 71.1%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
101.7
Avg HR EV
27.4°
Avg HR Launch
391
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Noelvi Marte | 112.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Elly De La Cruz | 111.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Dane Myers | 104.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Spencer Steer | 103.5mph | 103.5mph | 27° | 400ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-18 | Travis Bazzana | 106.2mph | 106.2mph | 25° | 398ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-18 | Kyle Manzardo | 100.8mph | 100.8mph | 27° | 370ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-18 | David Fry | 100.2mph | 100.2mph | 34° | 380ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-13 | Alec Bohm | 106.4mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Spencer Steer | #46 | 58 | Great American Ball Park | 103.5mph | 27.0° | 400ft |
| 2026-06-18 | Kyle Manzardo | #74 | 43 | American Family Field | 100.8mph | 27.0° | 370ft |
| 2026-06-18 | Travis Bazzana | #82 | 40 | American Family Field | 106.2mph | 25.0° | 398ft |
| 2026-06-18 | David Fry | #88 | 39 | American Family Field | 100.2mph | 34.0° | 380ft |
| 2026-06-13 | Edmundo Sosa | #154 | 37 | American Family Field | 99.5mph | 24.0° | 375ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Hunter Goodman | #3 | 78 | Coors Field | 99.9mph | 26.0° | 424ft |
| 2026-06-01 | Matt Chapman | #140 | 23 | American Family Field | 101.8mph | 29.0° | 391ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 212 | 28.6% | -0.8 | 81.3 | 33.6° | 1 |
| Sinker | 156 | 21.0% | +0.5 | 86.4 | 3.9° | 2 |
| Slider | 146 | 19.7% | -1.2 | 78.3 | 5.7° | 0 |
| Curveball | 100 | 13.5% | -1.8 | 76.3 | 1.2° | 0 |
| Cutter | 98 | 13.2% | +0.6 | 81.9 | 14.0° | 1 |
| Changeup | 30 | 4.0% | -0.1 | 74.6 | 2.4° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.1%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Blake Dunn | #219 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Dane Myers | #175 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Matt McLain | #127 | 44 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Tyler Stephenson | #122 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Eugenio Suárez | #117 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Noelvi Marte | #76 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Sal Stewart | #62 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Spencer Steer | #46 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-24 | Elly De La Cruz | #44 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Austin Hedges | #112 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Brayan Rocchio | #106 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | David Fry | #88 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-18 | Travis Bazzana | #82 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-18 | Kyle Manzardo | #74 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-18 | Rhys Hoskins | #61 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Gabriel Arias | #52 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Trea Turner | #201 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Edmundo Sosa | #154 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-13 | Bryson Stott | #135 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Alec Bohm | #113 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Derek Hill | #100 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Brandon Marsh | #98 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Bryce Harper | #27 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Kyle Schwarber | #18 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Chad Stevens | #218 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Willi Castro | #163 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | TJ Rumfield | #146 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Troy Johnston | #136 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Ezequiel Tovar | #107 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Jake McCarthy | #104 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Kyle Karros | #72 | 51 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Hunter Goodman | #3 | 78 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-01 | Luis Arraez | #143 | 22 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Matt Chapman | #140 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-01 | Jonah Cox | #133 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Jung Hoo Lee | #112 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Bryce Eldridge | #61 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Rafael Devers | #52 | 49 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Willy Adames | #38 | 54 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Eric Haase | #27 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Casey Schmitt | #19 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Abraham Toro | #193 | 24 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #184 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Jarren Duran | #171 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Romy Gonzalez | #153 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Alex Bregman | #146 | 32 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Roman Anthony | #145 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Carlos Narvaez | #144 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Trevor Story | #143 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Wilyer Abreu | #36 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |