Trey Gibson
RHP
BAL
7
HRs Allowed
18.9%
HR Rate (Pool)
20.8%
Overall HR/FB
6.28
FIP
5.13
xFIP
+1.15
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.4
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
20.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
90th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
84.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
6.28
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
94th pctile
5.13
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.15
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
92th pctile
18.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
37
Pool Matchups
7
HRs Allowed (Pool)
10
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
18.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 20.0% | 1.5 | 100.1mph | 99.4mph | 32.0° | 390ft | Flat +1.1pp |
| Last 15 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 30.0% | 2.0 | 98.9mph | 100.1mph | 31.2° | 388ft | Up +11.1pp |
| Last 30 | 37 | 5 | 7 | 18.9% | 1.4 | 99.9mph | 99.0mph | 31.1° | 383ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
99.9
Avg Max EV
111.8
Max EV Allowed
28
Hard-Hit Proxy · 84.8%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
99.0
Avg HR EV
31.1°
Avg HR Launch
383
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Josh Lowe | 105.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Nolan Schanuel | 103.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Tyler Heineman | 103.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Jorge Soler | 95.6mph | 95.6mph | 28° | 366ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | Max Muncy | 109.5mph | 101.8mph | 30° | 426ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | Alex Freeland | 104.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Andy Pages | 103.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Mookie Betts | 100.7mph | 100.7mph | 38° | 378ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Jorge Soler | #22 | 65 | Angel Stadium | 95.6mph | 28.0° | 366ft |
| 2026-06-19 | Max Muncy | #8 | 75 | Dodger Stadium | 101.8mph | 30.0° | 426ft |
| 2026-06-19 | Mookie Betts | #52 | 57 | Dodger Stadium | 100.7mph | 38.0° | 378ft |
| 2026-06-13 | Gavin Sheets | #24 | 66 | Camden Yards | 97.3mph | 35.0° | 355ft |
| 2026-06-13 | Manny Machado | #34 | 62 | Camden Yards | 106.2mph | 22.0° | 429ft |
| 2026-06-13 | Jackson Merrill | #60 | 55 | Camden Yards | 99.0mph | 34.0° | 372ft |
| 2026-06-08 | Josh Naylor | #73 | 44 | Camden Yards | 92.3mph | 31.0° | 358ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 124 | 26.4% | -1.4 | 83.9 | 10.4° | 0 |
| Slider | 97 | 20.6% | -1.1 | 86.7 | -0.5° | 1 |
| Cutter | 95 | 20.2% | +1.6 | 85.6 | 22.4° | 0 |
| Fastball | 77 | 16.4% | +1.7 | 82.1 | 32.8° | 0 |
| Curveball | 67 | 14.3% | +3.6 | 91.3 | 2.8° | 2 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
84.8%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Tyler Heineman | #224 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Nolan Schanuel | #159 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Wade Meckler | #144 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Josh Lowe | #135 | 43 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Oswald Peraza | #106 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Donovan Walton | #37 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Jorge Soler | #22 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-06-24 | Denzer Guzman | #18 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Alex Freeland | #117 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Kyle Tucker | #98 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Mookie Betts | #52 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-19 | Andy Pages | #24 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Freddie Freeman | #12 | 74 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Max Muncy | #8 | 75 | 🟡 B | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-19 | Shohei Ohtani | #1 | 90 | 🔥 A+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Freddy Fermin | #69 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Jackson Merrill | #60 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-13 | Xander Bogaerts | #56 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Manny Machado | #34 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gavin Sheets | #24 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-08 | Cole Young | #75 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Josh Naylor | #73 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-08 | Jhonny Pereda | #56 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Randy Arozarena | #26 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Julio Rodríguez | #7 | 75 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Colt Emerson | #4 | 81 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Luke Raley | #3 | 86 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Dominic Canzone | #1 | 91 | 🔥 A+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Chandler Simpson | #197 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Cedric Mullins | #163 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Richie Palacios | #152 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Ryan Vilade | #115 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Hunter Feduccia | #80 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Carson Williams | #75 | 53 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Jonathan Aranda | #15 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Yandy Díaz | #9 | 76 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Junior Caminero | #2 | 82 | 🟢 A | 🔥 HOT | · |