2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Trey Gibson
Trey Gibson RHP BAL
37 matchups scored · 5 game days
7 HRs Allowed
18.9% HR Rate (Pool)
20.8% Overall HR/FB
6.28 FIP
5.13 xFIP
+1.15 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.4
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
20.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
90th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
84.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
6.28
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
94th pctile
5.13
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.15
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
92th pctile
18.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
37
Pool Matchups
7
HRs Allowed (Pool)
10
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
18.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 15 2 3 20.0% 1.5 100.1mph 99.4mph 32.0° 390ft Flat +1.1pp
Last 15 20 3 6 30.0% 2.0 98.9mph 100.1mph 31.2° 388ft Up +11.1pp
Last 30 37 5 7 18.9% 1.4 99.9mph 99.0mph 31.1° 383ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
33 tracked BBE from 37 pool matchups
99.9
111.8
28
0
99.0
31.1°
383
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-24 Josh Lowe 105.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Nolan Schanuel 103.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Tyler Heineman 103.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Jorge Soler 95.6mph 95.6mph 28° 366ft Yes
2026-06-19 Max Muncy 109.5mph 101.8mph 30° 426ft Yes
2026-06-19 Alex Freeland 104.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Andy Pages 103.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Mookie Betts 100.7mph 100.7mph 38° 378ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
5 days · 7 total HRs
HRs Allowed
7 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-24 Jorge Soler #22 65 Angel Stadium 95.6mph 28.0° 366ft
2026-06-19 Max Muncy #8 75 Dodger Stadium 101.8mph 30.0° 426ft
2026-06-19 Mookie Betts #52 57 Dodger Stadium 100.7mph 38.0° 378ft
2026-06-13 Gavin Sheets #24 66 Camden Yards 97.3mph 35.0° 355ft
2026-06-13 Manny Machado #34 62 Camden Yards 106.2mph 22.0° 429ft
2026-06-13 Jackson Merrill #60 55 Camden Yards 99.0mph 34.0° 372ft
2026-06-08 Josh Naylor #73 44 Camden Yards 92.3mph 31.0° 358ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Sinker 124 26.4% -1.4 83.9 10.4° 0
Slider 97 20.6% -1.1 86.7 -0.5° 1
Cutter 95 20.2% +1.6 85.6 22.4° 0
Fastball 77 16.4% +1.7 82.1 32.8° 0
Curveball 67 14.3% +3.6 91.3 2.8° 2
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
84.8%
84.8%
All Scored Matchups
37 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-24 Tyler Heineman #224 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-24 Nolan Schanuel #159 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Wade Meckler #144 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Josh Lowe #135 43 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-06-24 Oswald Peraza #106 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Donovan Walton #37 60 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-24 Jorge Soler #22 65 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-06-24 Denzer Guzman #18 66 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Alex Freeland #117 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Kyle Tucker #98 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Mookie Betts #52 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-19 Andy Pages #24 66 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Freddie Freeman #12 74 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Max Muncy #8 75 🟡 B ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-19 Shohei Ohtani #1 90 🔥 A+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-13 Freddy Fermin #69 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Jackson Merrill #60 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-13 Xander Bogaerts #56 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Manny Machado #34 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-13 Gavin Sheets #24 66 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-08 Cole Young #75 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-08 Josh Naylor #73 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-08 Jhonny Pereda #56 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-08 Randy Arozarena #26 61 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-08 Julio Rodríguez #7 75 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-08 Colt Emerson #4 81 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-08 Luke Raley #3 86 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-08 Dominic Canzone #1 91 🔥 A+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-27 Chandler Simpson #197 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-27 Cedric Mullins #163 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Richie Palacios #152 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-27 Ryan Vilade #115 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Hunter Feduccia #80 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-27 Carson Williams #75 53 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-27 Jonathan Aranda #15 72 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-27 Yandy Díaz #9 76 🟡 B 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-27 Junior Caminero #2 82 🟢 A 🔥 HOT ·
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