2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs
SEA
@ 6:40p
PIT
PNC Park · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

PNC Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 0.79× Wind 1 mph slight_out 78°F open
-9
3 mph · in
68°F
6:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
3 mph · in
68°F
7:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
3 mph · in
68°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
3 mph · in
68°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
3 mph · in
68°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.79

78°F, wind 1 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft RHP
0.80 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.25 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 61 🔵 C+ · · 31 0.288 92.9 9.1% 32.4% vs RHP 396 16.7% 36.4% 24.6% 29
2 Colt Emerson Colt Emerson 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 73 0.272 86.0 5.0% 55.6% vs RHP 370 18.8% 33.3% 29.4% 21
3 Luke Raley Luke Raley 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 75 0.255 90.9 9.5% 37.8% vs RHP 385 18.2% 10.0% 17.2% 18
4 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 158 0.187 90.0 7.1% 20.0% vs RHP 410 18.6% 9.1% 8.7% 32
5 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 36 ⚪ D · · 186 0.143 87.4 7.9% 13.6% vs RHP 391 14.3% 14.3% 9.9% 14
6 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 209 0.162 91.6 6.3% 20.7% vs RHP 385 8.8% 0.0% 7.6% 8
7 Cole Young Cole Young 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 215 0.127 88.1 5.2% 10.9% vs RHP 385 9.3% 25.0% 8.7% 42
8 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 233 0.117 88.0 5.2% 17.1% vs RHP 390 10.2% 8.3% 6.6% 35
Bryan Woo
Bryan Woo RHP
0.86 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.58 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 52 0.260 90.6 9.6% 25.9% vs RHP 392 16.7% 25.0% 21.6% 36
2 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 46 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 109 0.195 91.3 9.1% 16.7% vs RHP 410 13.9% 25.0% 15.4% 37
3 Endy Rodríguez Endy Rodríguez 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 110 0.176 92.4 10.3% 23.1% vs RHP 394 16.7% 20.0% 15.1% 21
4 Tyler Callihan Tyler Callihan 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 138 0.244 84.6 9.0% 14.3% vs RHP 411 0.0% 0.0% 18.7% 20
5 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 156 0.187 86.8 8.1% 18.5% vs RHP 395 12.3% 16.7% 9.6% 38
6 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 182 0.170 89.6 6.8% 20.5% vs RHP 378 16.7% 9.1% 8.4% 37
7 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 20 ⚪ D · · 244 0.083 86.1 4.9% 10.0% vs RHP 403 4.3% 8.3% 5.5% 37
8 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 253 0.059 83.4 2.3% 9.1% vs RHP 410 2.9% 0.0% 5.5% 38
9 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 254 0.056 87.2 2.8% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 26
🏟️
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