2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs
PHI
@ 6:45p
WSH
Nationals Park · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Nationals Park

First pitch 6:45p · roof open
Park 0.99× Wind 4 mph in 84°F open
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
6:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.09

84°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.85 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.01 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 77 🟡 B · · 1 0.252 95.8 14.7% 34.9% vs RHP 408 26.2% 25.0% 35.5% 34
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 70 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 14 0.235 88.6 9.9% 25.0% vs RHP 399 20.0% 30.0% 30.3% 29
3 Cj Abrams Cj Abrams 62 🔵 C+ · · 27 0.236 90.1 9.6% 29.2% vs RHP 389 50.0% 0.0% 32.4% 32
4 Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 83 0.196 89.3 7.1% 11.1% vs RHP 378 15.4% 11.1% 12.8% 29
5 Jacob Young Jacob Young 43 ⚪ D · · 136 0.148 89.2 7.5% 20.6% vs RHP 391 9.4% 0.0% 10.8% 24
6 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 43 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 137 0.155 87.5 8.0% 11.5% vs RHP 403 8.5% 0.0% 10.2% 35
7 Nasim Nunez Nasim Nunez 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 249 0.044 84.6 · 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 27
WSH Bullpen Proxy
1.42 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.00 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 71 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 9 0.251 90.4 12.3% 25.4% 401 20.3% 25.0% 30.4% 36
2 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 72 0.173 90.1 8.5% 16.9% 392 12.7% 25.0% 19.5% 33
3 Edmundo Sosa Edmundo Sosa 47 ⚪ D · · 106 0.149 87.1 8.2% 15.4% 400 10.5% 14.3% 16.4% 21
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 128 0.152 89.3 7.1% 7.9% 393 10.1% 8.3% 8.9% 37
5 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 162 0.135 89.7 4.2% 12.5% 385 11.1% 18.2% 8.6% 40
6 Trea Turner Trea Turner 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 207 0.104 88.8 4.6% 9.1% 394 9.6% 0.0% 7.8% 30
7 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 235 0.099 86.9 1.2% 5.4% 382 3.8% 0.0% 7.3% 20
🏟️
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