PHI
@
6:45p
WSH
Stadium Conditions
Nationals Park
First pitch 6:45p
· roof open
Park 0.99×
Wind 4 mph in
84°F
open
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
6:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.09
84°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 77 | 🟡 B | · | · | 1 | 0.252 | 95.8 | 14.7% | 34.9% vs RHP | 408 | 26.2% | 25.0% | 35.5% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Curtis Mead | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 14 | 0.235 | 88.6 | 9.9% | 25.0% vs RHP | 399 | 20.0% | 30.0% | 30.3% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Cj Abrams | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 27 | 0.236 | 90.1 | 9.6% | 29.2% vs RHP | 389 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 32.4% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Keibert Ruiz | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 83 | 0.196 | 89.3 | 7.1% | 11.1% vs RHP | 378 | 15.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Jacob Young | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 136 | 0.148 | 89.2 | 7.5% | 20.6% vs RHP | 391 | 9.4% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Daylen Lile | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 137 | 0.155 | 87.5 | 8.0% | 11.5% vs RHP | 403 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Nasim Nunez | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 249 | 0.044 | 84.6 | · | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 27 |
WSH Bullpen Proxy
1.42 HR/9
· FIP-xFIP +0.00
·
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Bryce Harper | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 9 | 0.251 | 90.4 | 12.3% | 25.4% | 401 | 20.3% | 25.0% | 30.4% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 72 | 0.173 | 90.1 | 8.5% | 16.9% | 392 | 12.7% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Edmundo Sosa | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 106 | 0.149 | 87.1 | 8.2% | 15.4% | 400 | 10.5% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 21 |
| 4 |
|
Bryson Stott | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 128 | 0.152 | 89.3 | 7.1% | 7.9% | 393 | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Alec Bohm | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 162 | 0.135 | 89.7 | 4.2% | 12.5% | 385 | 11.1% | 18.2% | 8.6% | 40 |
| 6 |
|
Trea Turner | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 207 | 0.104 | 88.8 | 4.6% | 9.1% | 394 | 9.6% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Justin Crawford | 25 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 235 | 0.099 | 86.9 | 1.2% | 5.4% | 382 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 20 |