2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom RHP TEX
123 matchups scored · 14 game days
18 HRs Allowed
14.6% HR Rate (Pool)
20.8% Overall HR/FB
3.51 FIP
3.02 xFIP
+0.50 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.29
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
20.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
90th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
64.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.51
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
31th pctile
3.02
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.50
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
74th pctile
14.6%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
123
Pool Matchups
18
HRs Allowed (Pool)
6
Top-15 Matchups
2
HRs to Top-15
14.6%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 15 2 3 20.0% 1.5 96.2mph 105.6mph 28.7° 409ft Up +5.4pp
Last 15 24 3 4 16.7% 1.33 97.0mph 104.8mph 29.8° 407ft Up +2.1pp
Last 30 51 6 6 11.8% 1.0 96.2mph 104.9mph 28.7° 410ft Down -2.8pp
Batted-Ball Damage
108 tracked BBE from 123 pool matchups
96.2
114.9
70
0
104.6
30.7°
398
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-24 Otto Lopez 106.2mph 106.2mph 23° 427ft Yes
2026-06-24 Owen Caissie 105.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Kyle Stowers 105.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Griffin Conine 103.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Gavin Sheets 106.5mph 106.5mph 31° 391ft Yes
2026-06-19 Ty France 104.1mph 104.1mph 32° 409ft Yes
2026-06-13 Willson Contreras 104.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-13 Jarren Duran 102.5mph 102.5mph 33° 400ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
14 days · 18 total HRs
HRs Allowed
18 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-24 Otto Lopez #185 36 loanDepot Park 106.2mph 23.0° 427ft
2026-06-19 Gavin Sheets #116 45 Globe Life Field 106.5mph 31.0° 391ft
2026-06-19 Ty France #130 42 Globe Life Field 104.1mph 32.0° 409ft
2026-06-13 Jarren Duran #93 49 Fenway Park 102.5mph 33.0° 400ft
2026-06-01 Masyn Winn #138 24 Busch Stadium 99.9mph 26.0° 384ft
2026-05-27 Yordan Álvarez #8 76 Globe Life Field 110.0mph 27.0° 448.0ft
2026-05-22 Zach Neto #56 52 Angel Stadium 108.6mph 35.0° 398.0ft
2026-05-22 Oswald Peraza #119 41 Angel Stadium · · ·
2026-05-16 Yordan Alvarez #11 82 Minute Maid Park 97.8mph 30.0° 362.0ft
2026-05-16 Zach Cole #32 68 Minute Maid Park 95.9mph 33.0° 361.0ft
2026-05-16 Christian Walker #39 63 Minute Maid Park 109.1mph 29.0° 422.0ft
2026-05-16 Jose Altuve #184 33 Minute Maid Park 104.5mph 42.0° 358.0ft
2026-05-05 Jazz Chisholm Jr. #73 39 Yankee Stadium 110.9mph 34.0° 413.0ft
2026-05-05 Ryan McMahon #127 27 Yankee Stadium 97.3mph 29.0° 359.0ft
2026-04-28 Aaron Judge #21 71 Globe Life Field 112.7mph 36.0° 424.0ft
2026-04-28 Austin Wells #173 29 Globe Life Field 97.5mph 31.0° 376.0ft
2026-04-23 Oneil Cruz #16 61 Globe Life Field 107.5mph 22.0° 415.0ft
2026-04-06 Cal Raleigh #31 54 Globe Life Field 107.8mph 29.0° 418.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 578 43.2% -0.4 85.9 33.4° 10
Slider 465 34.8% -2.2 81.8 6.9° 2
Changeup 187 14.0% -1.6 84.0 7.7° 0
Curveball 85 6.4% +2.4 89.8 23.5° 2
Sinker 23 1.7% +9.6 80.7 -3.6° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
64.8%
64.8%
All Scored Matchups
123 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-24 Leo Jiménez #238 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Jakob Marsee #213 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Xavier Edwards #194 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Otto Lopez #185 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-24 Heriberto Hernández #77 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Kyle Stowers #58 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Owen Caissie #42 59 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Griffin Conine #28 61 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-19 Samad Taylor #197 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Xander Bogaerts #157 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Ty France #130 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-19 Jackson Merrill #124 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Gavin Sheets #116 45 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-19 Manny Machado #109 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Rodolfo Durán #27 64 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Mickey Gasper #225 17 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-13 Isiah Kiner-Falefa #222 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Marcelo Mayer #181 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Carlos Narváez #180 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Caleb Durbin #164 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Ceddanne Rafaela #143 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Wilyer Abreu #104 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Jarren Duran #93 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-13 Willson Contreras #33 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-07 Steven Kwan #232 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 Patrick Bailey #197 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 Daniel Schneemann #173 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-07 Brayan Rocchio #164 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Chase DeLauter #127 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-07 Angel Martínez #114 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-07 José Ramírez #95 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 Kyle Manzardo #93 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-07 Travis Bazzana #64 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-01 Victor Scott II #152 16 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-01 Jimmy Crooks #149 20 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-01 Masyn Winn #138 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-01 Bryan Torres #103 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-01 Nolan Gorman #82 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-01 Alec Burleson #72 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-01 JJ Wetherholt #59 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-01 Iván Herrera #17 63 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-01 Jordan Walker #8 67 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Christian Vázquez #222 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-27 Brice Matthews #217 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-27 Isaac Paredes #202 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-27 José Altuve #201 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-27 Carlos Correa #194 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Yainer Diaz #154 39 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-27 Cam Smith #149 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-27 Christian Walker #26 68 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Yordan Álvarez #8 76 🟡 B ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-22 Logan O'Hoppe #212 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Yoán Moncada #188 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Josh Lowe #179 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Nolan Schanuel #167 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-22 Oswald Peraza #119 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-22 Jo Adell #75 47 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-22 Jorge Soler #57 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Zach Neto #56 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-22 Mike Trout #13 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Braden Shewmake #235 21 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Christian Vázquez #193 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Isaac Paredes #192 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-16 Jose Altuve #184 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-16 Brice Matthews #117 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Zach Dezenzo #49 60 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Christian Walker #39 63 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-16 Zach Cole #32 68 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-16 Yordan Alvarez #11 82 🟢 A 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-10 Alex Bregman #217 14 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-10 Carson Kelly #201 17 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-10 Nico Hoerner #197 18 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Matt Shaw #191 19 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-10 Michael Busch #184 20 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Pete Crow-Armstrong #143 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Dansby Swanson #137 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Ian Happ #122 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-10 Moisés Ballesteros #114 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Ryan McMahon #127 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-05 José Caballero #117 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Cody Bellinger #116 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 Trent Grisham #74 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Jazz Chisholm Jr. #73 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-05 Austin Wells #50 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Giancarlo Stanton #28 58 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-05 Ben Rice #5 78 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Aaron Judge #4 79 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 José Caballero #209 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-28 Austin Wells #173 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-28 Jazz Chisholm Jr. #142 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 Cody Bellinger #141 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 Ryan McMahon #136 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-28 Trent Grisham #116 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-28 Giancarlo Stanton #39 62 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-28 Ben Rice #23 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-28 Aaron Judge #21 71 🟡 B 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-23 Nick Gonzales #160 4 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-23 Spencer Horwitz #123 24 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-23 Konnor Griffin #120 25 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-23 Joey Bart #117 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Bryan Reynolds #116 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-23 Marcell Ozuna #114 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Ryan O'Hearn #97 32 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Brandon Lowe #59 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Oneil Cruz #16 61 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-17 Leo Rivas #251 10 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 J.P. Crawford #232 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 Brendan Donovan #231 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-17 Josh Naylor #230 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 Julio Rodríguez #224 22 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 Randy Arozarena #209 25 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 Cole Young #205 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 Cal Raleigh #202 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 Luke Raley #66 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-06 Ben Williamson #204 15 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 J.P. Crawford #140 22 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-06 Cole Young #134 22 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-06 Mitch Garver #125 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-06 Randy Arozarena #87 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 Jorge Polanco #62 41 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-06 Julio Rodriguez #61 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-06 Cal Raleigh #31 54 🟠 C ❄ COLD 💥
2026-04-06 Dominic Canzone #28 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
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