BOS
@
1:10p
COL
Stadium Conditions
Coors Field
First pitch 1:10p
· roof open
Park 1.13×
Wind 2 mph in
85°F
open
+6
4 mph · slight_out
69°F
1:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
4 mph · slight_out
69°F
2:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
4 mph · slight_out
69°F
3:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
4 mph · slight_out
69°F
4:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
4 mph · slight_out
69°F
5:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.24
85°F, wind 2 mph NW (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 5 | 0.232 | 90.0 | 11.0% | 31.2% vs LHP | 402 | 19.2% | 16.7% | 36.1% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 35 | 0.160 | 89.8 | 10.5% | 5.6% vs LHP | 402 | 13.7% | 27.3% | 14.2% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 54 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 66 | 0.171 | 86.4 | 7.4% | 14.3% vs LHP | 370 | 9.7% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 94 | 0.141 | 85.2 | 5.5% | 7.7% vs LHP | 388 | 5.8% | 27.3% | 16.3% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Andruw Monasterio | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 112 | 0.123 | 88.1 | 7.3% | 16.7% vs LHP | 398 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Narvaez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 165 | 0.082 | 91.0 | 7.6% | 0.0% vs LHP | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 6 |
| 7 |
|
Connor Wong | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 169 | 0.102 | 87.0 | 6.6% | 0.0% vs LHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 10 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 70 | 🟡 B | · | · | 10 | 0.274 | 90.9 | 9.8% | 35.7% vs LHP | 404 | 25.0% | 16.7% | 32.8% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Tj Rumfield | 45 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 113 | 0.202 | 84.4 | 6.2% | 7.1% vs LHP | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.9% | 42 |
| 3 |
|
Braxton Fulford | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 151 | 0.154 | 88.8 | 7.3% | 6.7% | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 8 |
| 4 |
|
Kyle Karros | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 152 | 0.129 | 89.4 | 6.7% | 6.7% vs LHP | 404 | 6.9% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Willi Castro | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 154 | 0.115 | 88.8 | 6.0% | 7.7% vs LHP | 425 | 6.9% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 160 | 0.129 | 88.0 | 6.9% | 0.0% vs LHP | 415 | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mccarthy | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 164 | 0.170 | 84.4 | 5.4% | 0.0% vs LHP | 418 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Tyler Freeman | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 222 | 0.095 | 87.6 | 2.8% | 25.0% vs LHP | 369 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 24 |