Kyle Freeland
LHP
COL
12
HRs Allowed
10.1%
HR Rate (Pool)
17.8%
Overall HR/FB
5.27
FIP
4.33
xFIP
+0.93
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.86
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
17.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
85th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
76.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.27
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
84th pctile
4.33
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.93
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
87th pctile
10.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
119
Pool Matchups
12
HRs Allowed (Pool)
14
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
10.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 14.3% | 1.0 | 97.8mph | 101.2mph | 25.0° | 372ft | Up +4.2pp |
| Last 15 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 13.6% | 1.0 | 98.3mph | 99.7mph | 27.0° | 382ft | Up +3.5pp |
| Last 30 | 49 | 6 | 6 | 12.2% | 1.0 | 101.9mph | 103.0mph | 26.3° | 402ft | Up +2.1pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
99.9
Avg Max EV
112.9
Max EV Allowed
74
Hard-Hit Proxy · 76.3%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.9
Avg HR EV
26.9°
Avg HR Launch
398
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Connor Wong | 105.8mph | 102.7mph | 24° | 380ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | Carlos Narváez | 104.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Ceddanne Rafaela | 103.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Willson Contreras | 102.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Andruw Monasterio | 99.8mph | 99.8mph | 26° | 365ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | Brandon Lowe | 107.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Bryan Reynolds | 101.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Marcell Ozuna | 100.7mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Andruw Monasterio | #115 | 46 | Coors Field | 99.8mph | 26.0° | 365ft |
| 2026-06-24 | Connor Wong | #170 | 39 | Coors Field | 102.7mph | 24.0° | 380ft |
| 2026-06-13 | Zack Gelof | #31 | 62 | Las Vegas Ballpark | 96.5mph | 31.0° | 400ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Gary Sánchez | #43 | 59 | Coors Field | 104.6mph | 26.0° | 447ft |
| 2026-05-26 | Andy Pages | #40 | 61 | Dodger Stadium | 107.7mph | 28.0° | 418.0ft |
| 2026-05-26 | Will Smith | #70 | 50 | Dodger Stadium | 106.9mph | 23.0° | 399.0ft |
| 2026-05-20 | Ezequiel Duran | #48 | 59 | Coors Field | 106.2mph | 23.0° | 373.0ft |
| 2026-05-20 | Jake Burger | #49 | 59 | Coors Field | 108.4mph | 27.0° | 409.0ft |
| 2026-05-09 | Kyle Schwarber | #26 | 48 | Citizens Bank Park | 110.8mph | 30.0° | 417.0ft |
| 2026-05-09 | Alec Bohm | #149 | 25 | Citizens Bank Park | 101.7mph | 22.0° | 368.0ft |
| 2026-04-12 | Jackson Merrill | #65 | 44 | Petco Park | 107.2mph | 31.0° | 425.0ft |
| 2026-04-07 | Christian Walker | #61 | 49 | Coors Field | 94.6mph | 32.0° | 371.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 319 | 26.9% | +3.7 | 84.8 | 26.8° | 7 |
| Knuckle Curve | 275 | 23.2% | +1.3 | 84.6 | 12.7° | 2 |
| Cutter | 230 | 19.4% | -1.1 | 82.9 | 23.8° | 1 |
| Changeup | 174 | 14.7% | +2.0 | 87.3 | 9.4° | 1 |
| Sweeper | 134 | 11.3% | -1.3 | 80.9 | 17.5° | 2 |
| Sinker | 52 | 4.4% | +3.8 | 89.2 | 16.1° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
76.3%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Connor Wong | #170 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-24 | Carlos Narváez | #150 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Andruw Monasterio | #115 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-24 | Caleb Durbin | #94 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #65 | 54 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Wilyer Abreu | #34 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Willson Contreras | #4 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Jake Mangum | #200 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Nick Gonzales | #174 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Marcell Ozuna | #91 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Ryan O'Hearn | #47 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Spencer Horwitz | #34 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Bryan Reynolds | #14 | 73 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Brandon Lowe | #11 | 74 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Jeff Mcneil | #186 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Jacob Wilson | #147 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Lawrence Butler | #123 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Carlos Cortes | #59 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Zack Gelof | #31 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-13 | Tyler Soderstrom | #10 | 75 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Shea Langeliers | #3 | 83 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Nick Kurtz | #2 | 86 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Joey Ortiz | #210 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Luis Rengifo | #194 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Blake Perkins | #178 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | William Contreras | #83 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Garrett Mitchell | #82 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Andrew Vaughn | #81 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Brice Turang | #52 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Gary Sánchez | #43 | 59 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Jackson Chourio | #14 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Yoán Moncada | #83 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Nolan Schanuel | #53 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Vaughn Grissom | #50 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Josh Lowe | #49 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Oswald Peraza | #36 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Jorge Soler | #32 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Jo Adell | #26 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Zach Neto | #21 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Mike Trout | #4 | 75 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Hyeseong Kim | #195 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Kyle Tucker | #115 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Alex Freeland | #114 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Will Smith | #70 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-26 | Freddie Freeman | #42 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Andy Pages | #40 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-26 | Teoscar Hernández | #34 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Shohei Ohtani | #21 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Max Muncy | #13 | 70 | 🟡 B | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Sam Haggerty | #249 | 20 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Andrew McCutchen | #162 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Kyle Higashioka | #119 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Josh Jung | #64 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Brandon Nimmo | #63 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Jake Burger | #49 | 59 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-20 | Ezequiel Duran | #48 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-20 | Michael Helman | #36 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Justin Foscue | #21 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Jose Fernandez | #157 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | #153 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Geraldo Perdomo | #86 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Ketel Marte | #75 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Ildemaro Vargas | #60 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Nolan Arenado | #55 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Gabriel Moreno | #48 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Corbin Carroll | #22 | 74 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Ryan Waldschmidt | #3 | 92 | 🔥 A+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Justin Crawford | #164 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Bryson Stott | #150 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Alec Bohm | #149 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-09 | J.T. Realmuto | #122 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Brandon Marsh | #72 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Trea Turner | #63 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Adolis García | #58 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Bryce Harper | #47 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Kyle Schwarber | #26 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-03 | Mauricio Dubón | #81 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Austin Riley | #80 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Mike Yastrzemski | #71 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | #40 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Dominic Smith | #36 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Ozzie Albies | #18 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Drake Baldwin | #13 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Michael Harris II | #6 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Matt Olson | #3 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Luis Arraez | #110 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Xander Bogaerts | #101 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Jake Cronenworth | #97 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #66 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Jackson Merrill | #65 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gavin Sheets | #56 | 35 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Manny Machado | #54 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Jake Meyers | #222 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Mauricio Dubon | #166 | 30 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Victor Caratini | #137 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Yainer Diaz | #109 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Jeremy Pena | #94 | 45 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Cam Smith | #83 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Isaac Paredes | #71 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Christian Walker | #61 | 49 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-04-07 | Jose Altuve | #46 | 44 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Ernie Clement | #217 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Myles Straw | #206 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Andres Gimenez | #169 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Alejandro Kirk | #119 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Nathan Lukes | #112 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Bo Bichette | #93 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #55 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Addison Barger | #40 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | George Springer | #18 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Xavier Edwards | #106 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Javier Sanoja | #88 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Liam Hicks | #86 | 32 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Eric Wagaman | #84 | 39 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Dane Myers | #75 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Otto Lopez | #55 | 38 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Connor Norby | #50 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Agustin Ramirez | #24 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Kyle Stowers | #2 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |