2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Kyle Freeland
Kyle Freeland LHP COL
119 matchups scored · 14 game days
12 HRs Allowed
10.1% HR Rate (Pool)
17.8% Overall HR/FB
5.27 FIP
4.33 xFIP
+0.93 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.86
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
17.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
85th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
76.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.27
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
84th pctile
4.33
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.93
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
87th pctile
10.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
119
Pool Matchups
12
HRs Allowed (Pool)
14
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
10.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 14 2 2 14.3% 1.0 97.8mph 101.2mph 25.0° 372ft Up +4.2pp
Last 15 22 3 3 13.6% 1.0 98.3mph 99.7mph 27.0° 382ft Up +3.5pp
Last 30 49 6 6 12.2% 1.0 101.9mph 103.0mph 26.3° 402ft Up +2.1pp
Batted-Ball Damage
97 tracked BBE from 119 pool matchups
99.9
112.9
74
0
103.9
26.9°
398
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-24 Connor Wong 105.8mph 102.7mph 24° 380ft Yes
2026-06-24 Carlos Narváez 104.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Ceddanne Rafaela 103.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Willson Contreras 102.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Andruw Monasterio 99.8mph 99.8mph 26° 365ft Yes
2026-06-19 Brandon Lowe 107.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Bryan Reynolds 101.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Marcell Ozuna 100.7mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
14 days · 12 total HRs
HRs Allowed
12 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-24 Andruw Monasterio #115 46 Coors Field 99.8mph 26.0° 365ft
2026-06-24 Connor Wong #170 39 Coors Field 102.7mph 24.0° 380ft
2026-06-13 Zack Gelof #31 62 Las Vegas Ballpark 96.5mph 31.0° 400ft
2026-06-07 Gary Sánchez #43 59 Coors Field 104.6mph 26.0° 447ft
2026-05-26 Andy Pages #40 61 Dodger Stadium 107.7mph 28.0° 418.0ft
2026-05-26 Will Smith #70 50 Dodger Stadium 106.9mph 23.0° 399.0ft
2026-05-20 Ezequiel Duran #48 59 Coors Field 106.2mph 23.0° 373.0ft
2026-05-20 Jake Burger #49 59 Coors Field 108.4mph 27.0° 409.0ft
2026-05-09 Kyle Schwarber #26 48 Citizens Bank Park 110.8mph 30.0° 417.0ft
2026-05-09 Alec Bohm #149 25 Citizens Bank Park 101.7mph 22.0° 368.0ft
2026-04-12 Jackson Merrill #65 44 Petco Park 107.2mph 31.0° 425.0ft
2026-04-07 Christian Walker #61 49 Coors Field 94.6mph 32.0° 371.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 319 26.9% +3.7 84.8 26.8° 7
Knuckle Curve 275 23.2% +1.3 84.6 12.7° 2
Cutter 230 19.4% -1.1 82.9 23.8° 1
Changeup 174 14.7% +2.0 87.3 9.4° 1
Sweeper 134 11.3% -1.3 80.9 17.5° 2
Sinker 52 4.4% +3.8 89.2 16.1° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
76.3%
76.3%
All Scored Matchups
119 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-24 Connor Wong #170 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-24 Carlos Narváez #150 41 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-24 Andruw Monasterio #115 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-24 Caleb Durbin #94 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Ceddanne Rafaela #65 54 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-24 Wilyer Abreu #34 61 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-24 Willson Contreras #4 72 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Jake Mangum #200 24 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-19 Nick Gonzales #174 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Marcell Ozuna #91 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Ryan O'Hearn #47 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Spencer Horwitz #34 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Bryan Reynolds #14 73 🟡 B 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-19 Brandon Lowe #11 74 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Jeff Mcneil #186 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Jacob Wilson #147 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-13 Lawrence Butler #123 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Carlos Cortes #59 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Zack Gelof #31 62 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-13 Tyler Soderstrom #10 75 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Shea Langeliers #3 83 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Nick Kurtz #2 86 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Joey Ortiz #210 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-07 Luis Rengifo #194 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-07 Blake Perkins #178 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 William Contreras #83 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-07 Garrett Mitchell #82 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 Andrew Vaughn #81 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Brice Turang #52 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-07 Gary Sánchez #43 59 🟠 C ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-07 Jackson Chourio #14 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-01 Yoán Moncada #83 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-01 Nolan Schanuel #53 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-01 Vaughn Grissom #50 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-01 Josh Lowe #49 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-01 Oswald Peraza #36 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-01 Jorge Soler #32 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-01 Jo Adell #26 59 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-01 Zach Neto #21 60 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-01 Mike Trout #4 75 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Hyeseong Kim #195 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Kyle Tucker #115 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Alex Freeland #114 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Will Smith #70 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-26 Freddie Freeman #42 61 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Andy Pages #40 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-26 Teoscar Hernández #34 62 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Shohei Ohtani #21 67 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Max Muncy #13 70 🟡 B ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-20 Sam Haggerty #249 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-20 Andrew McCutchen #162 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-20 Kyle Higashioka #119 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-20 Josh Jung #64 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-20 Brandon Nimmo #63 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-20 Jake Burger #49 59 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-20 Ezequiel Duran #48 59 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-20 Michael Helman #36 64 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-20 Justin Foscue #21 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-15 Jose Fernandez #157 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-15 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. #153 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Geraldo Perdomo #86 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Ketel Marte #75 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Ildemaro Vargas #60 60 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Nolan Arenado #55 62 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Gabriel Moreno #48 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Corbin Carroll #22 74 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-15 Ryan Waldschmidt #3 92 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Justin Crawford #164 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-09 Bryson Stott #150 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Alec Bohm #149 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-09 J.T. Realmuto #122 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Brandon Marsh #72 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Trea Turner #63 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Adolis García #58 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Bryce Harper #47 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Kyle Schwarber #26 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-03 Mauricio Dubón #81 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Austin Riley #80 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Mike Yastrzemski #71 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Ronald Acuña Jr. #40 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Dominic Smith #36 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Ozzie Albies #18 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Drake Baldwin #13 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Michael Harris II #6 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Matt Olson #3 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Luis Arraez #110 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 Xander Bogaerts #101 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 Jake Cronenworth #97 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 Fernando Tatis Jr. #66 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 Jackson Merrill #65 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-12 Gavin Sheets #56 35 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-12 Manny Machado #54 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Jake Meyers #222 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Mauricio Dubon #166 30 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-07 Victor Caratini #137 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Yainer Diaz #109 44 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-07 Jeremy Pena #94 45 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-07 Cam Smith #83 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Isaac Paredes #71 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-07 Christian Walker #61 49 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-04-07 Jose Altuve #46 44 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-01 Ernie Clement #217 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-01 Myles Straw #206 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-01 Andres Gimenez #169 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Alejandro Kirk #119 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-01 Nathan Lukes #112 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-01 Bo Bichette #93 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #55 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Addison Barger #40 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-01 George Springer #18 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-27 Xavier Edwards #106 24 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-27 Javier Sanoja #88 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-27 Liam Hicks #86 32 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-27 Eric Wagaman #84 39 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-27 Dane Myers #75 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-27 Otto Lopez #55 38 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-27 Connor Norby #50 42 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-27 Agustin Ramirez #24 48 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-27 Kyle Stowers #2 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
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