Tyler Mahle
RHP
SF
8
HRs Allowed
9.0%
HR Rate (Pool)
27.2%
Overall HR/FB
5.44
FIP
3.98
xFIP
+1.46
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.8
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
27.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
96th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
70.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.44
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
86th pctile
3.98
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.46
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
95th pctile
9.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
89
Pool Matchups
8
HRs Allowed (Pool)
4
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
9.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 104.1mph | · | · | · | Down -9.0pp |
| Last 15 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 104.1mph | · | · | · | Down -9.0pp |
| Last 30 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 11.8% | 1.0 | 101.9mph | 107.7mph | 31.0° | 414ft | Up +2.8pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.2
Avg Max EV
113.7
Max EV Allowed
51
Hard-Hit Proxy · 70.8%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
106.2
Avg HR EV
28.9°
Avg HR Launch
400
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Lawrence Butler | 109.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Nick Kurtz | 109.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Tyler Soderstrom | 108.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Shea Langeliers | 103.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Ketel Marte | 113.7mph | 113.7mph | 25° | 452ft | Yes |
| 2026-05-26 | Ildemaro Vargas | 106.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Adrian Del Castillo | 101.6mph | 101.6mph | 37° | 375ft | Yes |
| 2026-05-20 | Jose Fernandez | 107.1mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Ketel Marte | #55 | 57 | Oracle Park | 113.7mph | 25.0° | 452.0ft |
| 2026-05-26 | Adrian Del Castillo | #188 | 33 | Oracle Park | 101.6mph | 37.0° | 375.0ft |
| 2026-05-20 | Ketel Marte | #120 | 43 | Chase Field | 104.9mph | 25.0° | 415.0ft |
| 2026-05-15 | Max Muncy | #15 | 79 | Sutter Health Park | 107.3mph | 28.0° | 383.0ft |
| 2026-05-15 | Nick Kurtz | #25 | 72 | Sutter Health Park | 108.2mph | 23.0° | 417.0ft |
| 2026-05-10 | Oneil Cruz | #133 | 27 | Oracle Park | 101.9mph | 39.0° | 360.0ft |
| 2026-05-10 | Konnor Griffin | #187 | 20 | Oracle Park | 110.2mph | 21.0° | 413.0ft |
| 2026-03-28 | Aaron Judge | #150 | 55 | Oracle Park | 102.1mph | 33.0° | 383.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 467 | 48.3% | -0.5 | 83.0 | 28.1° | 5 |
| Splitter | 238 | 24.6% | +2.8 | 78.8 | 3.3° | 3 |
| Cutter | 149 | 15.4% | +0.2 | 84.8 | 21.0° | 2 |
| Slider | 95 | 9.8% | +5.6 | 84.0 | 12.3° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
70.8%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Jeff Mcneil | #244 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Jacob Wilson | #233 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Lawrence Butler | #203 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Carlos Cortes | #182 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Tyler Soderstrom | #71 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Zack Gelof | #70 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Shea Langeliers | #35 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Nick Kurtz | #19 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Tommy Troy | #260 | 8 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Geraldo Perdomo | #204 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Adrian Del Castillo | #188 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-26 | Ildemaro Vargas | #142 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Nolan Arenado | #67 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Ryan Waldschmidt | #63 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Gabriel Moreno | #59 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Ketel Marte | #55 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-26 | Corbin Carroll | #33 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | #240 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Jose Fernandez | #232 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Tim Tawa | #224 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Geraldo Perdomo | #205 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Adrian Del Castillo | #134 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Ildemaro Vargas | #126 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Jorge Barrosa | #121 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Ketel Marte | #120 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-20 | Ryan Waldschmidt | #10 | 79 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Jeff McNeil | #225 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Jacob Wilson | #123 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Lawrence Butler | #117 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Carlos Cortes | #46 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Tyler Soderstrom | #33 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Nick Kurtz | #25 | 72 | 🟡 B | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-15 | Brent Rooker | #20 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Max Muncy | #15 | 79 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-15 | Shea Langeliers | #1 | 94 | 🔥 A+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Nick Gonzales | #239 | 8 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Marcell Ozuna | #209 | 15 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Nick Yorke | #206 | 16 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Konnor Griffin | #187 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-10 | Ryan O'Hearn | #186 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Bryan Reynolds | #185 | 20 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Spencer Horwitz | #150 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Oneil Cruz | #133 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-10 | Brandon Lowe | #104 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Taylor Walls | #177 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Cedric Mullins | #176 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Nick Fortes | #152 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Chandler Simpson | #151 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Ben Williamson | #84 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Jake Fraley | #62 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Jonathan Aranda | #61 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Yandy Díaz | #60 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Junior Caminero | #20 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | J.T. Realmuto | #128 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Bryson Stott | #119 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Alec Bohm | #97 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Justin Crawford | #83 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Adolis García | #53 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Brandon Marsh | #48 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Trea Turner | #47 | 59 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Bryce Harper | #19 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Kyle Schwarber | #2 | 85 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Kyle Tucker | #213 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Will Smith | #191 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Miguel Rojas | #172 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Alex Freeland | #168 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Andy Pages | #135 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Max Muncy | #126 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Teoscar Hernández | #107 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Freddie Freeman | #72 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Shohei Ohtani | #51 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Bryson Stott | #235 | 25 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Alec Bohm | #231 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | J.T. Realmuto | #228 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Trea Turner | #222 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Nick Castellanos | #220 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Brandon Marsh | #211 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Max Kepler | #170 | 34 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Bryce Harper | #110 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Kyle Schwarber | #30 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Paul Goldschmidt | #240 | 27 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jasson Dominguez | #237 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Anthony Volpe | #233 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Cody Bellinger | #230 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Austin Wells | #217 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Ben Rice | #205 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | #193 | 43 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Trent Grisham | #187 | 42 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Aaron Judge | #150 | 55 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | 💥 |