2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle RHP SF
89 matchups scored · 10 game days
8 HRs Allowed
9.0% HR Rate (Pool)
27.2% Overall HR/FB
5.44 FIP
3.98 xFIP
+1.46 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.8
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
27.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
96th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
70.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.44
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
86th pctile
3.98
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.46
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
95th pctile
9.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
89
Pool Matchups
8
HRs Allowed (Pool)
4
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
9.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 8 1 0 0.0% 0.0 104.1mph · · · Down -9.0pp
Last 15 8 1 0 0.0% 0.0 104.1mph · · · Down -9.0pp
Last 30 17 2 2 11.8% 1.0 101.9mph 107.7mph 31.0° 414ft Up +2.8pp
Batted-Ball Damage
72 tracked BBE from 89 pool matchups
97.2
113.7
51
0
106.2
28.9°
400
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-24 Lawrence Butler 109.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Nick Kurtz 109.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Tyler Soderstrom 108.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Shea Langeliers 103.6mph · · · ·
2026-05-26 Ketel Marte 113.7mph 113.7mph 25° 452ft Yes
2026-05-26 Ildemaro Vargas 106.4mph · · · ·
2026-05-26 Adrian Del Castillo 101.6mph 101.6mph 37° 375ft Yes
2026-05-20 Jose Fernandez 107.1mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
10 days · 8 total HRs
HRs Allowed
8 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-05-26 Ketel Marte #55 57 Oracle Park 113.7mph 25.0° 452.0ft
2026-05-26 Adrian Del Castillo #188 33 Oracle Park 101.6mph 37.0° 375.0ft
2026-05-20 Ketel Marte #120 43 Chase Field 104.9mph 25.0° 415.0ft
2026-05-15 Max Muncy #15 79 Sutter Health Park 107.3mph 28.0° 383.0ft
2026-05-15 Nick Kurtz #25 72 Sutter Health Park 108.2mph 23.0° 417.0ft
2026-05-10 Oneil Cruz #133 27 Oracle Park 101.9mph 39.0° 360.0ft
2026-05-10 Konnor Griffin #187 20 Oracle Park 110.2mph 21.0° 413.0ft
2026-03-28 Aaron Judge #150 55 Oracle Park 102.1mph 33.0° 383.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 467 48.3% -0.5 83.0 28.1° 5
Splitter 238 24.6% +2.8 78.8 3.3° 3
Cutter 149 15.4% +0.2 84.8 21.0° 2
Slider 95 9.8% +5.6 84.0 12.3° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
70.8%
70.8%
All Scored Matchups
89 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-24 Jeff Mcneil #244 19 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-24 Jacob Wilson #233 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Lawrence Butler #203 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Carlos Cortes #182 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Tyler Soderstrom #71 52 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Zack Gelof #70 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Shea Langeliers #35 60 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-24 Nick Kurtz #19 65 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Tommy Troy #260 8 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-26 Geraldo Perdomo #204 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Adrian Del Castillo #188 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-26 Ildemaro Vargas #142 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Nolan Arenado #67 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-26 Ryan Waldschmidt #63 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Gabriel Moreno #59 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Ketel Marte #55 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-26 Corbin Carroll #33 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-20 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. #240 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-20 Jose Fernandez #232 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-20 Tim Tawa #224 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-20 Geraldo Perdomo #205 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-20 Adrian Del Castillo #134 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-20 Ildemaro Vargas #126 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-20 Jorge Barrosa #121 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-20 Ketel Marte #120 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-20 Ryan Waldschmidt #10 79 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Jeff McNeil #225 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-15 Jacob Wilson #123 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Lawrence Butler #117 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-15 Carlos Cortes #46 64 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Tyler Soderstrom #33 69 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-15 Nick Kurtz #25 72 🟡 B ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-15 Brent Rooker #20 76 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Max Muncy #15 79 🟡 B 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-15 Shea Langeliers #1 94 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Nick Gonzales #239 8 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Marcell Ozuna #209 15 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-10 Nick Yorke #206 16 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-10 Konnor Griffin #187 20 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-10 Ryan O'Hearn #186 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Bryan Reynolds #185 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-10 Spencer Horwitz #150 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Oneil Cruz #133 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-10 Brandon Lowe #104 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Taylor Walls #177 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Cedric Mullins #176 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-03 Nick Fortes #152 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Chandler Simpson #151 25 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-03 Ben Williamson #84 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Jake Fraley #62 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Jonathan Aranda #61 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Yandy Díaz #60 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Junior Caminero #20 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 J.T. Realmuto #128 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-28 Bryson Stott #119 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-28 Alec Bohm #97 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 Justin Crawford #83 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 Adolis García #53 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-28 Brandon Marsh #48 59 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 Trea Turner #47 59 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-28 Bryce Harper #19 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-28 Kyle Schwarber #2 85 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Kyle Tucker #213 23 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Will Smith #191 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Miguel Rojas #172 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Alex Freeland #168 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Andy Pages #135 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Max Muncy #126 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Teoscar Hernández #107 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Freddie Freeman #72 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Shohei Ohtani #51 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-08 Bryson Stott #235 25 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-08 Alec Bohm #231 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 J.T. Realmuto #228 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Trea Turner #222 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Nick Castellanos #220 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Brandon Marsh #211 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Max Kepler #170 34 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-08 Bryce Harper #110 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Kyle Schwarber #30 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-28 Paul Goldschmidt #240 27 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 Jasson Dominguez #237 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 Anthony Volpe #233 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-28 Cody Bellinger #230 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-28 Austin Wells #217 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-28 Ben Rice #205 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-28 Jazz Chisholm Jr. #193 43 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 Trent Grisham #187 42 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 Aaron Judge #150 55 🟠 C ❄ COLD 💥
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