2026
Pricing
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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Tarik Skubal
Tarik Skubal LHP DET
77 matchups scored · 9 game days
7 HRs Allowed
9.1% HR Rate (Pool)
6.2% Overall HR/FB
2.21 FIP
2.75 xFIP
-0.54 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot ?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards. Pool + today context
0.78
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
6.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
7th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
60.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
2.21
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
4th pctile
2.75
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.54
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
22th pctile
9.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
77
Pool Matchups
7
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
9.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 16 2 3 18.8% 1.5 93.7mph 102.8mph 29.7° 410ft Up +9.7pp
Last 15 24 3 3 12.5% 1.0 91.0mph 102.8mph 29.7° 410ft Up +3.4pp
Last 30 24 3 3 12.5% 1.0 91.0mph 102.8mph 29.7° 410ft Up +3.4pp
Batted-Ball Damage
68 tracked BBE from 77 pool matchups
93.9
Avg Max EV
111.8
Max EV Allowed
41
Hard-Hit Proxy · 60.3%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
101.9
Avg HR EV
27.7°
Avg HR Launch
398
Avg HR Distance
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-24 Paul Goldschmidt 104.9mph 104.9mph 30° 427ft Yes
2026-06-24 Ben Rice 102.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Jasson Domínguez 101.2mph 101.2mph 32° 382ft Yes
2026-06-19 Randal Grichuk 104.3mph 102.2mph 27° 420ft Yes
2026-06-19 Edgar Quero 102.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-13 Brayan Rocchio 101.5mph · · · ·
2026-05-04 Carlos Narváez 105.7mph · · · ·
2026-05-04 Jarren Duran 101.7mph 98.9mph 33° 381ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
9 days · 7 total HRs
HRs Allowed
7 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-24 Paul Goldschmidt #49 57 Comerica Park 104.9mph 30.0° 427ft
2026-06-24 Jasson Domínguez #172 38 Comerica Park 101.2mph 32.0° 382ft
2026-06-19 Randal Grichuk #33 63 Comerica Park 102.2mph 27.0° 420ft
2026-05-04 Jarren Duran #183 8 Comerica Park 98.9mph 33.0° 381.0ft
2026-04-29 Matt Olson #18 50 Truist Park 104.7mph 23.0° 397.0ft
2026-04-29 Ozzie Albies #79 39 Truist Park 102.1mph 24.0° 400.0ft
2026-04-12 Otto Lopez #94 32 Comerica Park 99.1mph 25.0° 377.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 311 36.0% -1.0 79.1 28.3° 3
Changeup 218 25.3% -1.2 80.1 3.6° 1
Sinker 175 20.3% +0.7 86.7 8.9° 0
Slider 133 15.4% -1.7 87.2 -0.4° 0
Curveball 26 3.0% -4.2 91.8 29.4° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
60.3%
60.3%
All Scored Matchups
77 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-24 Anthony Volpe #234 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Austin Wells #228 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 José Caballero #211 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-24 Max Schuemann #198 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Jasson Domínguez #172 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-24 Cody Bellinger #139 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-24 Paul Goldschmidt #49 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-24 Ben Rice #13 67 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Luisangel Acuña #209 22 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Edgar Quero #207 22 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Chase Meidroth #193 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-19 Tristan Peters #135 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Sam Antonacci #134 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Miguel Vargas #61 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Randal Grichuk #33 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-19 Colson Montgomery #23 66 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Austin Hedges #200 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Brayan Rocchio #198 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 David Fry #189 29 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-13 Travis Bazzana #167 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Chase DeLauter #163 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 José Ramírez #146 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Rhys Hoskins #133 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Angel Martínez #101 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-04 Trevor Story #195 2 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-04 Ceddanne Rafaela #188 6 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-04 Roman Anthony #185 7 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-04 Jarren Duran #183 8 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-04 Marcelo Mayer #181 9 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-04 Caleb Durbin #174 12 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-04 Wilyer Abreu #166 14 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-04 Carlos Narváez #159 16 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-04 Willson Contreras #148 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Mauricio Dubón #149 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-29 Mike Yastrzemski #117 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 Ronald Acuña Jr. #105 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Dominic Smith #81 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 Austin Riley #80 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 Ozzie Albies #79 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-29 Drake Baldwin #61 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Michael Harris II #21 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 Matt Olson #18 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-23 David Hamilton #162 2 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-23 Brandon Lockridge #157 6 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-23 Joey Ortiz #154 7 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-23 Luis Matos #153 9 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Blake Perkins #137 17 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Luis Rengifo #126 22 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 William Contreras #103 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Brice Turang #60 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Gary Sánchez #18 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Caleb Durbin #269 6 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Ceddanne Rafaela #254 15 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 Trevor Story #252 16 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Carlos Narváez #247 18 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Marcelo Mayer #230 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-18 Jarren Duran #211 28 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Roman Anthony #203 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Wilyer Abreu #172 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 Willson Contreras #152 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Xavier Edwards #117 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 Javier Sanoja #98 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 Otto Lopez #94 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-12 Connor Norby #91 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 Jakob Marsee #74 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Austin Slater #72 23 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 Heriberto Hernández #69 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 Agustín Ramírez #67 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Ryan Jeffers #217 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Christian Vazquez #205 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-07 Luke Keaschall #200 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 Edouard Julien #191 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 Brooks Lee #167 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-07 Trevor Larnach #162 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 Royce Lewis #95 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 Byron Buxton #47 54 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-07 Matt Wallner #10 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
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