Mike Burrows
RHP
HOU
21
HRs Allowed
16.5%
HR Rate (Pool)
20.9%
Overall HR/FB
5.12
FIP
4.31
xFIP
+0.81
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.4
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
20.9%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
90th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
68.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.12
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
82th pctile
4.31
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.81
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
84th pctile
16.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
127
Pool Matchups
21
HRs Allowed (Pool)
18
Top-15 Matchups
5
HRs to Top-15
16.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14.3% | 1.0 | 98.1mph | 96.3mph | 40.0° | 342ft | Down -2.2pp |
| Last 15 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 16.7% | 1.0 | 99.0mph | 100.8mph | 35.5° | 387ft | Flat +0.2pp |
| Last 30 | 38 | 5 | 8 | 21.1% | 1.6 | 97.7mph | 104.0mph | 28.2° | 390ft | Up +4.6pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.1
Avg Max EV
113.9
Max EV Allowed
75
Hard-Hit Proxy · 68.2%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
102.9
Avg HR EV
29.4°
Avg HR Launch
386
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Alejandro Kirk | 105.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Davis Schneider | 101.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Daulton Varsho | 100.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Nathan Lukes | 98.8mph | 96.3mph | 40° | 342ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-13 | Carter Jensen | 106.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Michael Massey | 105.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Lane Thomas | 105.4mph | 105.4mph | 31° | 432ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-07 | Nick Kurtz | 113.9mph | 113.9mph | 20° | 389ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Nathan Lukes | #180 | 37 | Rogers Centre | 96.3mph | 40.0° | 342ft |
| 2026-06-13 | Lane Thomas | #162 | 36 | Kauffman Stadium | 105.4mph | 31.0° | 432ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Nick Kurtz | #23 | 68 | Minute Maid Park | 113.9mph | 20.0° | 389ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Brent Rooker | #28 | 64 | Minute Maid Park | 103.2mph | 33.0° | 397ft |
| 2026-06-02 | Brandon Lowe | #11 | 73 | Minute Maid Park | 97.0mph | 34.0° | 356ft |
| 2026-06-02 | Oneil Cruz | #13 | 71 | Minute Maid Park | 111.2mph | 23.0° | 419ft |
| 2026-06-02 | Endy Rodríguez | #189 | 33 | Minute Maid Park | 101.2mph | 24.0° | 383ft |
| 2026-05-27 | Joc Pederson | #187 | 35 | Globe Life Field | 103.6mph | 21.0° | 402.0ft |
| 2026-05-20 | Ryan Kreidler | #76 | 52 | Target Field | 104.2mph | 29.0° | 416.0ft |
| 2026-05-20 | Victor Caratini | #212 | 28 | Target Field | 107.2mph | 30.0° | 406.0ft |
| 2026-05-14 | Luke Raley | #1 | 84 | Minute Maid Park | 102.0mph | 30.0° | 368.0ft |
| 2026-05-14 | Mitch Garver | #102 | 34 | Minute Maid Park | 99.1mph | 33.0° | 369.0ft |
| 2026-05-01 | Jarren Duran | #234 | 14 | Fenway Park | 104.0mph | 25.0° | 407.0ft |
| 2026-04-25 | Trent Grisham | #49 | 64 | Minute Maid Park | 99.4mph | 28.0° | 363.0ft |
| 2026-04-25 | José Caballero | #116 | 50 | Minute Maid Park | 100.4mph | 23.0° | 357.0ft |
| 2026-04-25 | Austin Wells | #120 | 49 | Minute Maid Park | 92.6mph | 33.0° | 343.0ft |
| 2026-04-07 | Mickey Moniak | #3 | 61 | Coors Field | 97.0mph | 39.0° | 426.0ft |
| 2026-04-01 | Wilyer Abreu | #60 | 48 | Minute Maid Park | 103.5mph | 42.0° | 372.0ft |
| 2026-04-01 | Roman Anthony | #69 | 45 | Minute Maid Park | 106.9mph | 32.0° | 391.0ft |
| 2026-03-27 | Mike Trout | #9 | 50 | Daikin Park | 109.7mph | 23.0° | 403.0ft |
| 2026-03-27 | Zach Neto | #20 | 49 | Daikin Park | 102.5mph | 24.0° | 358.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 392 | 28.5% | +1.8 | 85.2 | 29.5° | 11 |
| Changeup | 370 | 26.9% | +0.4 | 81.6 | 8.1° | 1 |
| Slider | 230 | 16.7% | +1.6 | 83.4 | 21.8° | 3 |
| Curveball | 193 | 14.0% | +0.9 | 81.1 | 4.7° | 1 |
| Sinker | 191 | 13.9% | -0.1 | 81.1 | 13.6° | 2 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
68.2%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Nathan Lukes | #180 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-24 | Andrés Giménez | #103 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Alejandro Kirk | #90 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Davis Schneider | #38 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Daulton Varsho | #36 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-24 | George Springer | #31 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Kazuma Okamoto | #1 | 77 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Lane Thomas | #162 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-13 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #138 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Michael Massey | #77 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Carter Jensen | #67 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Jac Caglianone | #40 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Jeff McNeil | #206 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Lawrence Butler | #179 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Zack Gelof | #116 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Carlos Cortes | #96 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Brent Rooker | #28 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Tyler Soderstrom | #27 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Nick Kurtz | #23 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Shea Langeliers | #4 | 75 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jared Triolo | #231 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Endy Rodríguez | #189 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-02 | Nick Gonzales | #172 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jake Mangum | #167 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Ryan O'Hearn | #63 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Bryan Reynolds | #59 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Spencer Horwitz | #25 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Oneil Cruz | #13 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-02 | Brandon Lowe | #11 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-27 | Alejandro Osuna | #261 | 15 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Nicky Lopez | #237 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Josh Jung | #189 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Joc Pederson | #187 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-27 | Danny Jansen | #160 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Evan Carter | #144 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Ezequiel Duran | #99 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Brandon Nimmo | #83 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Jake Burger | #46 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | James Outman | #229 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Luke Keaschall | #228 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Victor Caratini | #212 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-20 | Trevor Larnach | #182 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Josh Bell | #98 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Tristan Gray | #87 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Ryan Kreidler | #76 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kody Clemens | #42 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Byron Buxton | #1 | 91 | 🔥 A+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Mitch Garver | #102 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-14 | Cole Young | #94 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | J.P. Crawford | #81 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Josh Naylor | #80 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Randy Arozarena | #66 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Brendan Donovan | #65 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Julio Rodríguez | #39 | 52 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Dominic Canzone | #27 | 57 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Luke Raley | #1 | 84 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-08 | Eugenio Suárez | #41 | 44 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Matt McLain | #40 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Tyler Stephenson | #35 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | #25 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | TJ Friedl | #21 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Spencer Steer | #12 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Sal Stewart | #6 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Elly De La Cruz | #4 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Nathaniel Lowe | #2 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Marcelo Mayer | #243 | 12 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Trevor Story | #242 | 12 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Roman Anthony | #237 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Jarren Duran | #234 | 14 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-01 | Carlos Narváez | #222 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #221 | 16 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Caleb Durbin | #209 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Wilyer Abreu | #189 | 21 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Willson Contreras | #146 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Austin Wells | #120 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-25 | José Caballero | #116 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-25 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | #103 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Cody Bellinger | #77 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Ryan McMahon | #58 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Trent Grisham | #49 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-25 | Giancarlo Stanton | #10 | 81 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Ben Rice | #2 | 92 | 🔥 A+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Aaron Judge | #1 | 93 | 🔥 A+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Victor Scott II | #177 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Pedro Pagés | #138 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Nathan Church | #120 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Nolan Gorman | #104 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Masyn Winn | #96 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Iván Herrera | #80 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | JJ Wetherholt | #74 | 56 | 🟠 C | · — | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Alec Burleson | #29 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Jordan Walker | #3 | 87 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Ben Williamson | #74 | 7 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Cole Young | #66 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | J.P. Crawford | #52 | 12 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Randy Arozarena | #31 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Dominic Canzone | #30 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Jorge Polanco | #24 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Julio Rodriguez | #23 | 33 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Cal Raleigh | #9 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Tyler Freeman | #218 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Ryan Ritter | #197 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Brenton Doyle | #124 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Jordan Beck | #104 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Kyle Farmer | #99 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Ezequiel Tovar | #84 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Michael Toglia | #49 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Hunter Goodman | #26 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Mickey Moniak | #3 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-01 | Abraham Toro | #160 | 31 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Jarren Duran | #154 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #149 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Alex Bregman | #110 | 40 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Romy Gonzalez | #92 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Carlos Narvaez | #82 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Roman Anthony | #69 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-01 | Wilyer Abreu | #60 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-01 | Trevor Story | #59 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Nolan Schanuel | #81 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Luis Rengifo | #79 | 29 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Jorge Soler | #31 | 44 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Yoan Moncada | #27 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Logan O'Hoppe | #26 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Zach Neto | #20 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-27 | Taylor Ward | #18 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Mike Trout | #9 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-03-27 | Jo Adell | #8 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |