2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax RHP TB
91 matchups scored · 11 game days
9 HRs Allowed
9.9% HR Rate (Pool)
28.0% Overall HR/FB
5.64 FIP
4.28 xFIP
+1.36 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.82
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
28.0%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
97th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
66.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.64
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
89th pctile
4.28
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.36
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
95th pctile
9.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
91
Pool Matchups
9
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
9.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 14 2 1 7.1% 0.5 95.7mph 106.2mph 25.0° 412ft Down -2.8pp
Last 15 20 3 1 5.0% 0.33 97.2mph 106.2mph 25.0° 412ft Down -4.9pp
Last 30 46 6 6 13.0% 1.0 97.0mph 103.3mph 28.5° 402ft Up +3.1pp
Batted-Ball Damage
86 tracked BBE from 91 pool matchups
96.6
113.0
57
0
101.6
29.2°
389
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-24 Jac Caglianone 113.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Michael Massey 105.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 CJ Abrams 106.2mph 106.2mph 25° 412ft Yes
2026-06-19 James Wood 105.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-13 Jo Adell 108.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-13 Zach Neto 102.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-13 Nolan Schanuel 101.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-13 Mike Trout 100.5mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
11 days · 9 total HRs
HRs Allowed
9 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-19 CJ Abrams #41 61 Tropicana Field 106.2mph 25.0° 412ft
2026-06-01 Dillon Dingler #10 66 Tropicana Field 104.3mph 30.0° 415ft
2026-06-01 Kerry Carpenter #34 56 Tropicana Field 98.9mph 31.0° 391ft
2026-06-01 Riley Greene #90 40 Tropicana Field 102.9mph 30.0° 428ft
2026-06-01 Hao-Yu Lee #120 32 Tropicana Field 97.8mph 33.0° 361ft
2026-05-26 Samuel Basallo #36 62 Camden Yards 109.7mph 22.0° 405.0ft
2026-05-19 Taylor Ward #196 31 Tropicana Field 99.9mph 40.0° 385.0ft
2026-05-13 Daulton Varsho #97 35 Rogers Centre 98.5mph 27.0° 375.0ft
2026-04-26 Brooks Lee #141 42 Tropicana Field 96.3mph 25.0° 333.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Sweeper 188 25.0% -0.9 79.7 14.8° 2
Changeup 161 21.4% -0.7 78.2 -3.9° 0
Sinker 155 20.6% -0.5 82.7 8.5° 1
Fastball 134 17.8% +4.1 85.2 36.1° 4
Curveball 64 8.5% -1.8 84.3 17.9° 0
Cutter 50 6.6% +1.7 84.1 19.4° 2
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
66.3%
66.3%
All Scored Matchups
91 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-24 Isaac Collins #200 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Salvador Perez #99 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Nick Loftin #84 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Michael Massey #79 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Carter Jensen #64 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Jac Caglianone #16 66 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Nasim Nuñez #211 18 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Jorbit Vivas #187 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 José Tena #104 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Jacob Young #103 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Daylen Lile #101 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Keibert Ruiz #90 49 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-19 CJ Abrams #41 61 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-19 James Wood #5 77 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Nolan Schanuel #159 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Jo Adell #103 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Oswald Peraza #102 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Logan O'Hoppe #75 53 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-13 Zach Neto #38 60 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Mike Trout #16 72 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Javier Sanoja #196 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-07 Jakob Marsee #190 29 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-07 Otto Lopez #125 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 Xavier Edwards #124 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 Joe Mack #100 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Liam Hicks #94 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-07 Kyle Stowers #89 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-07 Owen Caissie #63 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-01 Zach McKinstry #145 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-01 Colt Keith #132 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-01 Hao-Yu Lee #120 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-01 Kevin McGonigle #97 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-01 Riley Greene #90 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-01 Spencer Torkelson #43 52 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-01 Wenceel Pérez #40 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-01 Kerry Carpenter #34 56 🟠 C ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-01 Dillon Dingler #10 66 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-26 Leody Taveras #168 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-26 Blaze Alexander #154 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-26 Taylor Ward #120 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-26 Jackson Holliday #73 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Jeremiah Jackson #53 58 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-26 Colton Cowser #48 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-26 Samuel Basallo #36 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-26 Gunnar Henderson #29 64 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Pete Alonso #19 68 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Taylor Ward #196 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-19 Leody Taveras #177 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 Colton Cowser #163 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Coby Mayo #82 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Gunnar Henderson #72 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 Jackson Holliday #44 59 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-19 Samuel Basallo #39 61 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Pete Alonso #32 64 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Adley Rutschman #19 70 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #177 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-13 Nathan Lukes #164 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Davis Schneider #127 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 Daulton Varsho #97 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-13 Jesús Sánchez #90 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-13 Andrés Giménez #89 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Ernie Clement #68 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 George Springer #61 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Kazuma Okamoto #42 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-07 Caleb Durbin #179 6 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-07 Trevor Story #175 9 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-07 Roman Anthony #166 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-07 Jarren Duran #159 14 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 Marcelo Mayer #152 16 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 Ceddanne Rafaela #151 16 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 Carlos Narváez #124 22 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-07 Wilyer Abreu #123 22 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 Willson Contreras #99 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 Matt Chapman #154 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Rafael Devers #140 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Harrison Bader #116 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 Patrick Bailey #115 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 Luis Arraez #114 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Willy Adames #101 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Casey Schmitt #67 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Jung Hoo Lee #41 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 Heliot Ramos #36 42 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-26 James Outman #243 25 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Luke Keaschall #224 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Trevor Larnach #149 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Matt Wallner #142 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-26 Brooks Lee #141 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-26 Josh Bell #121 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Royce Lewis #85 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-26 Kody Clemens #64 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-26 Ryan Jeffers #51 61 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
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