Ryan Weathers
LHP
NYY
14
HRs Allowed
10.8%
HR Rate (Pool)
22.0%
Overall HR/FB
3.76
FIP
2.93
xFIP
+0.83
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.93
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
22.0%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
92th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
81.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.76
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
39th pctile
2.93
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.83
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
85th pctile
10.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
130
Pool Matchups
14
HRs Allowed (Pool)
23
Top-15 Matchups
3
HRs to Top-15
10.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 6.7% | 0.5 | 100.4mph | 107.2mph | 27.0° | 420ft | Down -4.1pp |
| Last 15 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 13.6% | 1.0 | 99.5mph | 106.4mph | 31.7° | 409ft | Up +2.8pp |
| Last 30 | 40 | 5 | 8 | 20.0% | 1.6 | 100.5mph | 106.4mph | 30.1° | 412ft | Up +9.2pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
100.4
Avg Max EV
114.6
Max EV Allowed
82
Hard-Hit Proxy · 81.2%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
106.0
Avg HR EV
30.7°
Avg HR Launch
405
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Spencer Torkelson | 106.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Kevin McGonigle | 105.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Riley Greene | 104.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Hao-Yu Lee | 101.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Matt Vierling | 100.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Dillon Dingler | 100.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Colson Montgomery | 108.3mph | 107.2mph | 27° | 420ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-18 | Edgar Quero | 104.6mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Colson Montgomery | #3 | 82 | Yankee Stadium | 107.2mph | 27.0° | 420ft |
| 2026-06-12 | Kazuma Okamoto | #35 | 62 | Rogers Centre | 111.4mph | 36.0° | 423ft |
| 2026-06-12 | George Springer | #113 | 44 | Rogers Centre | 100.5mph | 32.0° | 385ft |
| 2026-06-05 | Willson Contreras | #26 | 66 | Yankee Stadium | 112.8mph | 26.0° | 419ft |
| 2026-06-05 | Andruw Monasterio | #153 | 39 | Yankee Stadium | 104.9mph | 32.0° | 408ft |
| 2026-05-30 | Shea Langeliers | #26 | 66 | Sutter Health Park | 109.2mph | 25.0° | 426ft |
| 2026-05-30 | Nick Kurtz | #56 | 59 | Sutter Health Park | 104.0mph | 36.0° | 410ft |
| 2026-05-30 | Tyler Soderstrom | #96 | 52 | Sutter Health Park | 101.5mph | 27.0° | 403ft |
| 2026-05-18 | George Springer | #122 | 43 | Yankee Stadium | 107.0mph | 36.0° | 403.0ft |
| 2026-05-18 | Ernie Clement | #170 | 39 | Yankee Stadium | 99.4mph | 28.0° | 381.0ft |
| 2026-05-11 | Coby Mayo | #9 | 50 | Camden Yards | 99.6mph | 32.0° | 389.0ft |
| 2026-05-02 | Pete Alonso | #6 | 53 | Yankee Stadium | 114.6mph | 23.0° | 413.0ft |
| 2026-04-25 | Christian Walker | #41 | 66 | Minute Maid Park | 106.9mph | 35.0° | 398.0ft |
| 2026-04-25 | Carlos Correa | #117 | 50 | Minute Maid Park | 104.4mph | 35.0° | 391.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 359 | 27.9% | +2.0 | 85.5 | 32.6° | 9 |
| Changeup | 295 | 22.9% | +0.4 | 80.2 | 0.2° | 4 |
| Sinker | 255 | 19.8% | -1.2 | 84.0 | 15.8° | 1 |
| Sweeper | 253 | 19.7% | -1.0 | 75.7 | 11.5° | 1 |
| Slider | 125 | 9.7% | +0.4 | 84.2 | 17.9° | 2 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
81.2%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Zach McKinstry | #223 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Jake Rogers | #176 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Hao-Yu Lee | #173 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Matt Vierling | #146 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Kevin McGonigle | #140 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Riley Greene | #75 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Spencer Torkelson | #45 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Dillon Dingler | #8 | 70 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Luisangel Acuña | #103 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Edgar Quero | #101 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Chase Meidroth | #80 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Tristan Peters | #33 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Miguel Vargas | #11 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Colson Montgomery | #3 | 82 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-18 | Randal Grichuk | #2 | 83 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Nathan Lukes | #203 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Myles Straw | #197 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Andrés Giménez | #169 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Davis Schneider | #150 | 39 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Ernie Clement | #121 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | George Springer | #113 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-12 | Kazuma Okamoto | #35 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Mickey Gasper | #201 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | #170 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Caleb Durbin | #166 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Andruw Monasterio | #153 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Connor Wong | #141 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #114 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Wilyer Abreu | #88 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Jarren Duran | #37 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Willson Contreras | #26 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lawrence Butler | #197 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Jeff Mcneil | #161 | 42 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Jacob Wilson | #140 | 45 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Carlos Cortes | #120 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Tyler Soderstrom | #96 | 52 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-30 | Zack Gelof | #65 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Nick Kurtz | #56 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-30 | Brent Rooker | #44 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Shea Langeliers | #26 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-24 | Nick Fortes | #273 | 18 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Chandler Simpson | #265 | 22 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Cedric Mullins | #254 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Taylor Walls | #202 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Carson Williams | #132 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Ryan Vilade | #107 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Jonathan Aranda | #54 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Yandy Díaz | #34 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Junior Caminero | #9 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | nick fortes | #275 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | chandler simpson | #257 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | cedric mullins | #252 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | ben williamson | #239 | 30 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-23 | jonny deluca | #230 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | taylor walls | #197 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | jonathan aranda | #56 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | yandy díaz | #41 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | junior caminero | #10 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #182 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Ernie Clement | #170 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-18 | Myles Straw | #157 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Jesús Sánchez | #144 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-18 | George Springer | #122 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-18 | Andrés Giménez | #116 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Davis Schneider | #100 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Daulton Varsho | #88 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Kazuma Okamoto | #23 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Blaze Alexander | #58 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Taylor Ward | #48 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Dylan Beavers | #42 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Leody Taveras | #33 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Jeremiah Jackson | #28 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Coby Mayo | #9 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-11 | Gunnar Henderson | #7 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Samuel Basallo | #5 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Pete Alonso | #4 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Blaze Alexander | #77 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Jeremiah Jackson | #24 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Leody Taveras | #17 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Taylor Ward | #14 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Dylan Beavers | #13 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Gunnar Henderson | #9 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Samuel Basallo | #7 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Pete Alonso | #6 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-02 | Coby Mayo | #3 | 57 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Carlos Correa | #117 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-25 | Joey Loperfido | #110 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Isaac Paredes | #100 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Jose Altuve | #99 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Brice Matthews | #95 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Yainer Diaz | #78 | 58 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Christian Walker | #41 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-25 | Cam Smith | #36 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Yordan Alvarez | #3 | 89 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Lane Thomas | #163 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Michael Massey | #95 | 51 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Elias Díaz | #79 | 55 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Isaac Collins | #78 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #73 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Salvador Perez | #46 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #45 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Maikel Garcia | #35 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Starling Marte | #26 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Jacob Wilson | #48 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Luis Urias | #43 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Lawrence Butler | #27 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Tyler Soderstrom | #19 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-09 | JJ Bleday | #18 | 47 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Max Muncy | #11 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Brent Rooker | #8 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Nick Kurtz | #7 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Shea Langeliers | #2 | 59 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Xavier Edwards | #189 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Javier Sanoja | #116 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Liam Hicks | #105 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Eric Wagaman | #101 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Dane Myers | #86 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Otto Lopez | #61 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Connor Norby | #55 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Agustin Ramirez | #26 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Kyle Stowers | #5 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Ben Williamson | #220 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Cole Young | #189 | 24 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | J.P. Crawford | #145 | 25 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Mitch Garver | #114 | 31 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Jorge Polanco | #75 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Randy Arozarena | #70 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Dominic Canzone | #59 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Julio Rodriguez | #51 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Cal Raleigh | #11 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |