Shohei Ohtani
RHP
LAD
3
HRs Allowed
2.8%
HR Rate (Pool)
6.4%
Overall HR/FB
2.23
FIP
3.12
xFIP
-0.89
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.25
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
6.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
7th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
64.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
2.23
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
4th pctile
3.12
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.89
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
8th pctile
2.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
106
Pool Matchups
3
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
2.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 93.3mph | · | · | · | Down -2.8pp |
| Last 15 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 4.0% | 0.33 | 95.4mph | 101.5mph | 32.0° | 402ft | Flat +1.2pp |
| Last 30 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 2.3% | 0.2 | 93.4mph | 101.5mph | 32.0° | 402ft | Flat -0.5pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
95.1
Avg Max EV
113.4
Max EV Allowed
55
Hard-Hit Proxy · 64.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.9
Avg HR EV
31.3°
Avg HR Launch
401
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Royce Lewis | 108.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Victor Caratini | 106.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Tristan Gray | 102.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Kody Clemens | 100.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Junior Caminero | 108.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Jonathan Aranda | 106.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Hunter Feduccia | 106.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Ryan O'Hearn | 104.6mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Spencer Horwitz | #124 | 43 | PNC Park | 101.5mph | 32.0° | 402ft |
| 2026-05-05 | Christian Walker | #19 | 66 | Minute Maid Park | 107.2mph | 39.0° | 395.0ft |
| 2026-04-22 | Patrick Bailey | #257 | 9 | Oracle Park | 106.0mph | 23.0° | 407.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 586 | 44.7% | -2.2 | 84.7 | 19.7° | 3 |
| Sweeper | 377 | 28.8% | -3.0 | 78.9 | 17.7° | 0 |
| Curveball | 144 | 11.0% | +0.0 | 80.0 | 1.4° | 0 |
| Splitter | 116 | 8.8% | +1.4 | 84.5 | 1.7° | 0 |
| Sinker | 64 | 4.9% | -0.5 | 83.1 | 1.0° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
64.7%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Tristan Gray | #208 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Trevor Larnach | #168 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Josh Bell | #151 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Victor Caratini | #142 | 42 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Ryan Kreidler | #119 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Brooks Lee | #110 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Royce Lewis | #89 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Kody Clemens | #69 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Byron Buxton | #7 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Chandler Simpson | #224 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Richie Palacios | #220 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Hunter Feduccia | #205 | 28 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Taylor Walls | #194 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Jonathan Aranda | #117 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Cedric Mullins | #115 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Yandy Díaz | #109 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Junior Caminero | #61 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Jared Triolo | #232 | 7 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Jake Mangum | #220 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Nick Gonzales | #205 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Endy Rodríguez | #170 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Bryan Reynolds | #151 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Ryan O'Hearn | #127 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Spencer Horwitz | #124 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-10 | Brandon Lowe | #92 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Tommy Troy | #265 | 5 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Jose Fernandez | #259 | 12 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Ryan Waldschmidt | #256 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Geraldo Perdomo | #251 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Pavin Smith | #226 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Ildemaro Vargas | #220 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Gabriel Moreno | #175 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Nolan Arenado | #165 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Corbin Carroll | #141 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Troy Johnston | #228 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Kyle Karros | #216 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Ezequiel Tovar | #208 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Willi Castro | #203 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Edouard Julien | #200 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Jake Mccarthy | #192 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Tj Rumfield | #98 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Hunter Goodman | #65 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Mickey Moniak | #39 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Jake Cronenworth | #247 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #237 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Nick Castellanos | #195 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Manny Machado | #186 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Jackson Merrill | #179 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Xander Bogaerts | #168 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Miguel Andujar | #131 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Ramón Laureano | #107 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Gavin Sheets | #55 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Patrick Bailey | #238 | 15 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Harrison Bader | #186 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Luis Arraez | #170 | 27 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Rafael Devers | #159 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Heliot Ramos | #147 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Jung Hoo Lee | #146 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Willy Adames | #106 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Matt Chapman | #105 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Casey Schmitt | #29 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Joey Loperfido | #237 | 11 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Jose Altuve | #236 | 11 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Yainer Diaz | #216 | 14 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Isaac Paredes | #209 | 16 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Carlos Correa | #198 | 17 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Cam Smith | #188 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Brice Matthews | #118 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Yordan Alvarez | #86 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Christian Walker | #19 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-28 | Javier Sanoja | #165 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Heriberto Hernández | #156 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Jakob Marsee | #126 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Agustín Ramírez | #101 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Xavier Edwards | #70 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Connor Norby | #60 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Liam Hicks | #54 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Owen Caissie | #46 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Otto Lopez | #45 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Luis Arraez | #260 | 4 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Patrick Bailey | #257 | 9 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-22 | Matt Chapman | #254 | 11 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Jung Hoo Lee | #253 | 12 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Harrison Bader | #243 | 15 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Rafael Devers | #219 | 22 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Heliot Ramos | #199 | 25 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Casey Schmitt | #170 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Willy Adames | #169 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Ernie Clement | #230 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Myles Straw | #225 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Andres Gimenez | #199 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Nathan Lukes | #175 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Alejandro Kirk | #172 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Bo Bichette | #147 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #128 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Addison Barger | #94 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | George Springer | #28 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Brayan Rocchio | #189 | 29 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Steven Kwan | #187 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Nolan Jones | #183 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Angel Martinez | #166 | 33 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Bo Naylor | #121 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Daniel Schneemann | #104 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Jose Ramirez | #101 | 44 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Gabriel Arias | #94 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Kyle Manzardo | #65 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |