Joe Ryan
RHP
MIN
15
HRs Allowed
10.2%
HR Rate (Pool)
11.7%
Overall HR/FB
3.01
FIP
3.76
xFIP
-0.74
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.88
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
11.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
43th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
65.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.01
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
17th pctile
3.76
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.74
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
14th pctile
10.2%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
147
Pool Matchups
15
HRs Allowed (Pool)
7
Top-15 Matchups
2
HRs to Top-15
10.2%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 22.2% | 2.0 | 93.6mph | 102.5mph | 32.8° | 389ft | Up +12.0pp |
| Last 15 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 20.8% | 1.67 | 95.0mph | 103.7mph | 33.4° | 395ft | Up +10.6pp |
| Last 30 | 48 | 6 | 9 | 18.8% | 1.5 | 95.0mph | 104.0mph | 30.2° | 390ft | Up +8.6pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
96.3
Avg Max EV
114.7
Max EV Allowed
81
Hard-Hit Proxy · 65.3%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.4
Avg HR EV
30.0°
Avg HR Launch
388
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Shohei Ohtani | 110.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Max Muncy | 106.7mph | 106.7mph | 27° | 416ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | Mookie Betts | 105.0mph | 101.0mph | 28° | 399ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | Alex Freeland | 103.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Wyatt Langford | 106.4mph | 106.4mph | 44° | 366ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-18 | Josh Jung | 105.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Brandon Nimmo | 103.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Ezequiel Duran | 95.7mph | 95.7mph | 32° | 374ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Max Muncy | #10 | 70 | Target Field | 106.7mph | 27.0° | 416ft |
| 2026-06-24 | Mookie Betts | #107 | 47 | Target Field | 101.0mph | 28.0° | 399ft |
| 2026-06-18 | Wyatt Langford | #109 | 34 | Globe Life Field | 106.4mph | 44.0° | 366ft |
| 2026-06-18 | Ezequiel Duran | #119 | 31 | Globe Life Field | 95.7mph | 32.0° | 374ft |
| 2026-06-12 | Alec Burleson | #49 | 59 | Target Field | 108.8mph | 36.0° | 419ft |
| 2026-06-06 | Carter Jensen | #130 | 42 | Target Field | 102.1mph | 30.0° | 384ft |
| 2026-06-01 | Miguel Vargas | #24 | 60 | Target Field | 102.9mph | 20.0° | 363ft |
| 2026-06-01 | Andrew Benintendi | #98 | 37 | Target Field | 104.4mph | 28.0° | 406ft |
| 2026-05-26 | Munetaka Murakami | #8 | 74 | Rate Field | 108.4mph | 27.0° | 380.0ft |
| 2026-05-03 | Kazuma Okamoto | #95 | 31 | Target Field | 109.0mph | 36.0° | 401.0ft |
| 2026-04-28 | Josh Naylor | #214 | 17 | Target Field | 102.4mph | 30.0° | 390.0ft |
| 2026-04-23 | Brett Baty | #115 | 27 | Citi Field | 107.1mph | 27.0° | 414.0ft |
| 2026-04-11 | Bo Bichette | #99 | 45 | Rogers Centre | 96.6mph | 30.0° | 344.0ft |
| 2026-04-01 | Jonathan India | #219 | 29 | Kauffman Stadium | 101.1mph | 29.0° | 397.0ft |
| 2026-04-01 | Kyle Isbel | #228 | 22 | Kauffman Stadium | 98.6mph | 26.0° | 360.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 652 | 44.1% | -0.5 | 82.9 | 32.9° | 5 |
| Sweeper | 206 | 13.9% | -1.2 | 76.6 | 16.6° | 2 |
| Sinker | 174 | 11.8% | -2.3 | 84.0 | 12.5° | 0 |
| Knuckle Curve | 172 | 11.6% | -1.0 | 81.2 | 11.8° | 1 |
| Splitter | 163 | 11.0% | -1.4 | 83.4 | -2.5° | 1 |
| Slider | 112 | 7.6% | -0.9 | 80.9 | 10.1° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
65.3%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Alex Call | #202 | 34 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Alex Freeland | #193 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Mookie Betts | #107 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-24 | Andy Pages | #74 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Dalton Rushing | #61 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Freddie Freeman | #43 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Ryan Ward | #27 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Max Muncy | #10 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-24 | Shohei Ohtani | #2 | 76 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Alejandro Osuna | #136 | 6 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Josh Smith | #132 | 18 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Ezequiel Duran | #119 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-18 | Wyatt Langford | #109 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-18 | Josh Jung | #108 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Brandon Nimmo | #93 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Kyle Higashioka | #72 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Jake Burger | #65 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Joc Pederson | #48 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Masyn Winn | #207 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | JJ Wetherholt | #180 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Nathan Church | #160 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Iván Herrera | #143 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Alec Burleson | #49 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-12 | Jordan Walker | #40 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Kyle Isbel | #215 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Isaac Collins | #213 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #165 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Carter Jensen | #130 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-06 | Jac Caglianone | #112 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Michael Massey | #78 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Rikuu Nishida | #162 | 5 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Jacob Gonzalez | #153 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Edgar Quero | #151 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Sam Antonacci | #148 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Tristan Peters | #134 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Chase Meidroth | #102 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Andrew Benintendi | #98 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-01 | Colson Montgomery | #28 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Miguel Vargas | #24 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-26 | Rikuu Nishida | #257 | 12 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Sam Antonacci | #175 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Andrew Benintendi | #129 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Chase Meidroth | #85 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Tristan Peters | #83 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Colson Montgomery | #17 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Drew Romo | #11 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Miguel Vargas | #10 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Munetaka Murakami | #8 | 74 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-20 | Jeremy Peña | #244 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Isaac Paredes | #181 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Cam Smith | #161 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Brice Matthews | #156 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Christian Vázquez | #146 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Jake Meyers | #118 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Zach Dezenzo | #75 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Christian Walker | #60 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Yordan Alvarez | #18 | 75 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | David Hamilton | #260 | 6 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Sal Frelick | #241 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Luis Rengifo | #237 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Andrew Vaughn | #210 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | William Contreras | #209 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Jake Bauers | #121 | 46 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Garrett Mitchell | #114 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Jackson Chourio | #100 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Brice Turang | #95 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Steven Kwan | #239 | 12 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Brayan Rocchio | #227 | 14 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Bo Naylor | #224 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Kyle Manzardo | #181 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Rhys Hoskins | #175 | 22 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Angel Martínez | #165 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-09 | José Ramírez | #142 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Chase DeLauter | #132 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Daniel Schneemann | #109 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Davis Schneider | #229 | 12 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Nathan Lukes | #190 | 19 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Daulton Varsho | #189 | 19 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Andrés Giménez | #188 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | George Springer | #180 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #174 | 22 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Ernie Clement | #171 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Jesús Sánchez | #103 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Kazuma Okamoto | #95 | 31 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-04-28 | Leo Rivas | #219 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Josh Naylor | #214 | 17 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-28 | Brendan Donovan | #202 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Julio Rodríguez | #201 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Cole Young | #195 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | J.P. Crawford | #192 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Randy Arozarena | #191 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Cal Raleigh | #144 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Luke Raley | #51 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Ronny Mauricio | #161 | 4 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Luis Robert Jr. | #143 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Mark Vientos | #135 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Marcus Semien | #129 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Bo Bichette | #128 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Brett Baty | #115 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-23 | Carson Benge | #100 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Juan Soto | #67 | 43 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Francisco Alvarez | #58 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | TJ Friedl | #257 | 7 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Matt McLain | #244 | 15 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Will Benson | #228 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | #222 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Eugenio Suárez | #200 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Tyler Stephenson | #128 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Spencer Steer | #103 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Elly De La Cruz | #80 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Sal Stewart | #60 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Ernie Clement | #207 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Myles Straw | #202 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Andres Gimenez | #172 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Nathan Lukes | #124 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Bo Bichette | #99 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-11 | Alejandro Kirk | #86 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #78 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Addison Barger | #53 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | George Springer | #24 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Gleyber Torres | #155 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Javier Baez | #139 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Colt Keith | #127 | 37 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Zach McKinstry | #81 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Wenceel Perez | #75 | 40 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Dillon Dingler | #66 | 37 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Spencer Torkelson | #60 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Riley Greene | #32 | 52 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Kerry Carpenter | #10 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Drew Waters | #237 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Michael Massey | #234 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Kyle Isbel | #228 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-01 | Jonathan India | #219 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-01 | Maikel Garcia | #180 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #146 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Jac Caglianone | #107 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Salvador Perez | #99 | 48 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #94 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Adley Rutschman | #95 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Dylan Carlson | #93 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Ryan Mountcastle | #90 | 38 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Jackson Holliday | #74 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Coby Mayo | #66 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Gunnar Henderson | #64 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Tyler O'Neill | #58 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Jordan Westburg | #33 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Colton Cowser | #15 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |