2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs
Robbie Ray
Robbie Ray LHP SF
123 matchups scored · 14 game days
12 HRs Allowed
9.8% HR Rate (Pool)
15.1% Overall HR/FB
4.93 FIP
4.43 xFIP
+0.49 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.86
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
15.1%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
73th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
63.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.93
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
78th pctile
4.43
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.49
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
73th pctile
9.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
123
Pool Matchups
12
HRs Allowed (Pool)
9
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
9.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 8 1 0 0.0% 0.0 101.1mph · · · Down -9.8pp
Last 15 17 2 2 11.8% 1.0 100.6mph 102.6mph 32.5° 402ft Up +2.0pp
Last 30 35 4 3 8.6% 0.75 98.0mph 103.6mph 29.3° 397ft Flat -1.2pp
Batted-Ball Damage
95 tracked BBE from 123 pool matchups
96.0
112.9
60
0
105.8
29.2°
395
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-23 Nick Kurtz 108.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Tyler Soderstrom 106.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Jeff Mcneil 101.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Jacob Young 105.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 James Wood 104.1mph 104.1mph 33° 405ft Yes
2026-06-10 Daylen Lile 103.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Andrés Chaparro 102.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Curtis Mead 101.1mph 101.1mph 32° 399ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
14 days · 12 total HRs
HRs Allowed
12 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-10 James Wood #20 66 Oracle Park 104.1mph 33.0° 405ft
2026-06-10 Curtis Mead #55 56 Oracle Park 101.1mph 32.0° 399ft
2026-06-05 Seiya Suzuki #63 55 Wrigley Field 105.6mph 23.0° 387ft
2026-05-24 Miguel Vargas #26 65 Oracle Park 99.8mph 28.0° 378.0ft
2026-05-24 Chase Meidroth #177 38 Oracle Park 104.3mph 26.0° 371.0ft
2026-05-18 Nolan Arenado #113 45 Chase Field 107.3mph 27.0° 403.0ft
2026-05-01 Junior Caminero #71 35 Tropicana Field 112.9mph 25.0° 432.0ft
2026-05-01 Yandy Díaz #122 29 Tropicana Field 99.9mph 36.0° 364.0ft
2026-04-19 Curtis Mead #113 47 Nationals Park 109.6mph 27.0° 390.0ft
2026-04-14 Spencer Steer #33 55 Great American Ball Park 107.1mph 26.0° 401.0ft
2026-04-02 Mark Vientos #26 37 Oracle Park 108.6mph 30.0° 406.0ft
2026-03-27 Aaron Judge #22 58 Oracle Park 109.1mph 37.0° 405.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 658 41.2% -0.1 81.5 33.5° 10
Slider 436 27.3% +0.2 80.4 10.4° 4
Changeup 253 15.9% -2.1 80.1 17.2° 1
Knuckle Curve 140 8.8% -1.2 86.9 1.5° 0
Sinker 109 6.8% -0.8 86.5 26.2° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
63.2%
63.2%
All Scored Matchups
123 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-23 Jeff Mcneil #223 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Jacob Wilson #214 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Lawrence Butler #167 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Carlos Cortes #149 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Zack Gelof #57 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Tyler Soderstrom #43 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Shea Langeliers #27 63 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-23 Nick Kurtz #14 69 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Nasim Nuñez #231 11 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Jorbit Vivas #202 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Andrés Chaparro #200 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Daylen Lile #132 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Jacob Young #128 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Keibert Ruiz #116 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-10 Dylan Crews #113 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Curtis Mead #55 56 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-10 James Wood #20 66 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-05 Nico Hoerner #193 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Carson Kelly #178 33 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Alex Bregman #131 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Dansby Swanson #128 42 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Miguel Amaya #66 54 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Seiya Suzuki #63 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-05 Michael Busch #61 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-05 Pete Crow-Armstrong #24 67 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-05 Ian Happ #4 79 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 Braxton Fulford #238 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-31 Tyler Freeman #227 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 Chad Stevens #215 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 Willi Castro #158 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Troy Johnston #151 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Kyle Karros #121 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Jake McCarthy #113 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 Ezequiel Tovar #77 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Hunter Goodman #18 71 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Luisangel Acuña #270 20 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 Edgar Quero #222 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 Chase Meidroth #177 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-24 Tristan Peters #102 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 Derek Hill #82 51 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-24 Miguel Vargas #26 65 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-24 Colson Montgomery #18 69 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 Munetaka Murakami #17 69 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Randal Grichuk #3 84 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-18 Jose Fernandez #230 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-18 Geraldo Perdomo #210 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 Adrian Del Castillo #165 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 Ketel Marte #164 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 Alek Thomas #140 42 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-18 Ildemaro Vargas #139 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 Jorge Barrosa #126 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-18 Nolan Arenado #113 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-18 Corbin Carroll #39 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Alex Freeland #187 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-13 Hyeseong Kim #171 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Kyle Tucker #101 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Will Smith #95 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 Teoscar Hernández #87 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Freddie Freeman #86 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Shohei Ohtani #45 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-13 Max Muncy #34 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 Andy Pages #20 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 Taylor Walls #219 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-01 Nick Fortes #195 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-01 Cedric Mullins #194 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-01 Chandler Simpson #193 21 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-01 Jake Fraley #148 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-01 Ben Williamson #123 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 Yandy Díaz #122 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-01 Jonathan Aranda #97 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-01 Junior Caminero #71 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-25 Heriberto Hernández #269 9 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-25 Jakob Marsee #264 12 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-25 Graham Pauley #261 14 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-25 Agustín Ramírez #251 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-25 Liam Hicks #233 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-25 Xavier Edwards #222 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 Connor Norby #206 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 Owen Caissie #187 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-25 Otto Lopez #182 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Nasim Nuñez #210 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-19 Brady House #128 44 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-19 Jacob Young #118 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-19 Curtis Mead #113 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-19 Keibert Ruiz #103 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Luis García Jr. #102 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Joey Wiemer #86 53 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-19 CJ Abrams #23 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 James Wood #6 85 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-14 TJ Friedl #81 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-14 Matt McLain #76 48 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-14 Austin Hays #48 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-14 Noelvi Marte #45 49 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-14 Spencer Steer #33 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-14 Elly De La Cruz #22 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-14 Tyler Stephenson #13 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Bryson Stott #221 26 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-07 Alec Bohm #210 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-07 J.T. Realmuto #207 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 Trea Turner #193 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 Nick Castellanos #185 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Brandon Marsh #168 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 Max Kepler #123 36 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-07 Bryce Harper #55 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 Kyle Schwarber #6 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 Tyrone Taylor #53 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-02 Jeff McNeil #41 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-02 Starling Marte #32 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 Mark Vientos #26 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-02 Brandon Nimmo #24 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 Francisco Lindor #23 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-02 Pete Alonso #14 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 Brett Baty #8 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 Juan Soto #6 50 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-27 Paul Goldschmidt #103 29 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-27 Jasson Dominguez #94 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-27 Anthony Volpe #92 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-27 Cody Bellinger #91 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-27 Austin Wells #83 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-27 Ben Rice #70 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-27 Jazz Chisholm Jr. #51 46 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-27 Trent Grisham #45 45 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-27 Aaron Judge #22 58 🟠 C ❄ COLD 💥
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