Robbie Ray
LHP
SF
12
HRs Allowed
9.8%
HR Rate (Pool)
15.1%
Overall HR/FB
4.93
FIP
4.43
xFIP
+0.49
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.86
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
15.1%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
73th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
63.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.93
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
78th pctile
4.43
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.49
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
73th pctile
9.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
123
Pool Matchups
12
HRs Allowed (Pool)
9
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
9.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 101.1mph | · | · | · | Down -9.8pp |
| Last 15 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 11.8% | 1.0 | 100.6mph | 102.6mph | 32.5° | 402ft | Up +2.0pp |
| Last 30 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 8.6% | 0.75 | 98.0mph | 103.6mph | 29.3° | 397ft | Flat -1.2pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
96.0
Avg Max EV
112.9
Max EV Allowed
60
Hard-Hit Proxy · 63.2%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.8
Avg HR EV
29.2°
Avg HR Launch
395
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Nick Kurtz | 108.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Tyler Soderstrom | 106.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Jeff Mcneil | 101.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Jacob Young | 105.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-10 | James Wood | 104.1mph | 104.1mph | 33° | 405ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | Daylen Lile | 103.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Andrés Chaparro | 102.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Curtis Mead | 101.1mph | 101.1mph | 32° | 399ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | James Wood | #20 | 66 | Oracle Park | 104.1mph | 33.0° | 405ft |
| 2026-06-10 | Curtis Mead | #55 | 56 | Oracle Park | 101.1mph | 32.0° | 399ft |
| 2026-06-05 | Seiya Suzuki | #63 | 55 | Wrigley Field | 105.6mph | 23.0° | 387ft |
| 2026-05-24 | Miguel Vargas | #26 | 65 | Oracle Park | 99.8mph | 28.0° | 378.0ft |
| 2026-05-24 | Chase Meidroth | #177 | 38 | Oracle Park | 104.3mph | 26.0° | 371.0ft |
| 2026-05-18 | Nolan Arenado | #113 | 45 | Chase Field | 107.3mph | 27.0° | 403.0ft |
| 2026-05-01 | Junior Caminero | #71 | 35 | Tropicana Field | 112.9mph | 25.0° | 432.0ft |
| 2026-05-01 | Yandy Díaz | #122 | 29 | Tropicana Field | 99.9mph | 36.0° | 364.0ft |
| 2026-04-19 | Curtis Mead | #113 | 47 | Nationals Park | 109.6mph | 27.0° | 390.0ft |
| 2026-04-14 | Spencer Steer | #33 | 55 | Great American Ball Park | 107.1mph | 26.0° | 401.0ft |
| 2026-04-02 | Mark Vientos | #26 | 37 | Oracle Park | 108.6mph | 30.0° | 406.0ft |
| 2026-03-27 | Aaron Judge | #22 | 58 | Oracle Park | 109.1mph | 37.0° | 405.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 658 | 41.2% | -0.1 | 81.5 | 33.5° | 10 |
| Slider | 436 | 27.3% | +0.2 | 80.4 | 10.4° | 4 |
| Changeup | 253 | 15.9% | -2.1 | 80.1 | 17.2° | 1 |
| Knuckle Curve | 140 | 8.8% | -1.2 | 86.9 | 1.5° | 0 |
| Sinker | 109 | 6.8% | -0.8 | 86.5 | 26.2° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
63.2%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Jeff Mcneil | #223 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Jacob Wilson | #214 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Lawrence Butler | #167 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Carlos Cortes | #149 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Zack Gelof | #57 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Tyler Soderstrom | #43 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Shea Langeliers | #27 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Nick Kurtz | #14 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Nasim Nuñez | #231 | 11 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Jorbit Vivas | #202 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Andrés Chaparro | #200 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Daylen Lile | #132 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Jacob Young | #128 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Keibert Ruiz | #116 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Dylan Crews | #113 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Curtis Mead | #55 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-10 | James Wood | #20 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Nico Hoerner | #193 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Carson Kelly | #178 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Alex Bregman | #131 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Dansby Swanson | #128 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Miguel Amaya | #66 | 54 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Seiya Suzuki | #63 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Michael Busch | #61 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #24 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Ian Happ | #4 | 79 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Braxton Fulford | #238 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Tyler Freeman | #227 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Chad Stevens | #215 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Willi Castro | #158 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Troy Johnston | #151 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Kyle Karros | #121 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Jake McCarthy | #113 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Ezequiel Tovar | #77 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Hunter Goodman | #18 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Luisangel Acuña | #270 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Edgar Quero | #222 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Chase Meidroth | #177 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-24 | Tristan Peters | #102 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Derek Hill | #82 | 51 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Miguel Vargas | #26 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-24 | Colson Montgomery | #18 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Munetaka Murakami | #17 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Randal Grichuk | #3 | 84 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Jose Fernandez | #230 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Geraldo Perdomo | #210 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Adrian Del Castillo | #165 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Ketel Marte | #164 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Alek Thomas | #140 | 42 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Ildemaro Vargas | #139 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Jorge Barrosa | #126 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Nolan Arenado | #113 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-18 | Corbin Carroll | #39 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Alex Freeland | #187 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Hyeseong Kim | #171 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Kyle Tucker | #101 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Will Smith | #95 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Teoscar Hernández | #87 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Freddie Freeman | #86 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Shohei Ohtani | #45 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Max Muncy | #34 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Andy Pages | #20 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Taylor Walls | #219 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Nick Fortes | #195 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Cedric Mullins | #194 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Chandler Simpson | #193 | 21 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Jake Fraley | #148 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Ben Williamson | #123 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Yandy Díaz | #122 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-01 | Jonathan Aranda | #97 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Junior Caminero | #71 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-25 | Heriberto Hernández | #269 | 9 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Jakob Marsee | #264 | 12 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Graham Pauley | #261 | 14 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Agustín Ramírez | #251 | 20 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Liam Hicks | #233 | 27 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Xavier Edwards | #222 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Connor Norby | #206 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Owen Caissie | #187 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Otto Lopez | #182 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Nasim Nuñez | #210 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Brady House | #128 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Jacob Young | #118 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Curtis Mead | #113 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-19 | Keibert Ruiz | #103 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Luis García Jr. | #102 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Joey Wiemer | #86 | 53 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-19 | CJ Abrams | #23 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | James Wood | #6 | 85 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-14 | TJ Friedl | #81 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Matt McLain | #76 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Austin Hays | #48 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Noelvi Marte | #45 | 49 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Spencer Steer | #33 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-14 | Elly De La Cruz | #22 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Tyler Stephenson | #13 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Bryson Stott | #221 | 26 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Alec Bohm | #210 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | J.T. Realmuto | #207 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Trea Turner | #193 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Nick Castellanos | #185 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Brandon Marsh | #168 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Max Kepler | #123 | 36 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Bryce Harper | #55 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Kyle Schwarber | #6 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Tyrone Taylor | #53 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Jeff McNeil | #41 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Starling Marte | #32 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Mark Vientos | #26 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-02 | Brandon Nimmo | #24 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Francisco Lindor | #23 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Pete Alonso | #14 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Brett Baty | #8 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Juan Soto | #6 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Paul Goldschmidt | #103 | 29 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Jasson Dominguez | #94 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Anthony Volpe | #92 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Cody Bellinger | #91 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Austin Wells | #83 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Ben Rice | #70 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | #51 | 46 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Trent Grisham | #45 | 45 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Aaron Judge | #22 | 58 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | 💥 |