Brandon Sproat
RHP
MIL
18
HRs Allowed
13.6%
HR Rate (Pool)
20.0%
Overall HR/FB
5.99
FIP
4.67
xFIP
+1.32
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.2
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
20.0%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
90th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
69.4%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.99
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
92th pctile
4.67
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.32
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
94th pctile
13.6%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
132
Pool Matchups
18
HRs Allowed (Pool)
12
Top-15 Matchups
2
HRs to Top-15
13.6%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5.9% | 0.5 | 94.3mph | 99.4mph | 29.0° | 386ft | Down -7.7pp |
| Last 15 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 12.0% | 1.0 | 96.8mph | 103.3mph | 27.0° | 437ft | Flat -1.6pp |
| Last 30 | 43 | 5 | 6 | 14.0% | 1.2 | 97.4mph | 103.2mph | 28.7° | 410ft | Flat +0.4pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.0
Avg Max EV
116.1
Max EV Allowed
77
Hard-Hit Proxy · 69.4%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.5
Avg HR EV
28.2°
Avg HR Launch
406
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Nathaniel Lowe | 112.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Blake Dunn | 105.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Eugenio Suárez | 103.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | JJ Bleday | 101.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Elly De La Cruz | 100.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Kyle Manzardo | 102.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Daniel Schneemann | 99.4mph | 99.4mph | 29° | 386ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | Tyler Soderstrom | 108.2mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Daniel Schneemann | #128 | 44 | American Family Field | 99.4mph | 29.0° | 386ft |
| 2026-06-10 | Carlos Cortes | #83 | 49 | Las Vegas Ballpark | 104.4mph | 25.0° | 461ft |
| 2026-06-10 | Lawrence Butler | #164 | 34 | Las Vegas Ballpark | 106.1mph | 27.0° | 463ft |
| 2026-06-05 | Hunter Goodman | #7 | 75 | Coors Field | 106.4mph | 39.0° | 411ft |
| 2026-05-30 | Christian Walker | #6 | 80 | Minute Maid Park | 99.4mph | 25.0° | 348ft |
| 2026-05-30 | Jeremy Peña | #148 | 44 | Minute Maid Park | 103.3mph | 27.0° | 392ft |
| 2026-05-24 | Andy Pages | #85 | 50 | American Family Field | 105.5mph | 36.0° | 380.0ft |
| 2026-05-18 | Dansby Swanson | #82 | 52 | Wrigley Field | 108.6mph | 29.0° | 430.0ft |
| 2026-05-12 | Miguel Andujar | #38 | 44 | American Family Field | 100.8mph | 28.0° | 405.0ft |
| 2026-04-29 | Corbin Carroll | #106 | 36 | American Family Field | 106.4mph | 29.0° | 430.0ft |
| 2026-04-29 | Adrian Del Castillo | #118 | 35 | American Family Field | 100.1mph | 31.0° | 377.0ft |
| 2026-04-29 | Ketel Marte | #133 | 32 | American Family Field | 109.9mph | 21.0° | 409.0ft |
| 2026-04-29 | Nolan Arenado | #140 | 31 | American Family Field | 104.3mph | 32.0° | 411.0ft |
| 2026-04-23 | Riley Greene | #28 | 53 | Comerica Park | 107.7mph | 23.0° | 406.0ft |
| 2026-04-23 | Spencer Torkelson | #44 | 47 | Comerica Park | 109.8mph | 21.0° | 382.0ft |
| 2026-04-04 | Salvador Perez | #213 | 37 | Kauffman Stadium | 101.6mph | 24.0° | 417.0ft |
| 2026-03-29 | Colson Montgomery | #173 | 52 | American Family Field | 103.6mph | 30.0° | 405.0ft |
| 2026-03-29 | Everson Pereira | #183 | 30 | American Family Field | 103.0mph | 31.0° | 403.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 322 | 26.7% | -0.2 | 81.1 | 12.8° | 2 |
| Cutter | 300 | 24.9% | +0.5 | 83.0 | 20.0° | 3 |
| Fastball | 247 | 20.5% | -0.4 | 85.0 | 30.0° | 1 |
| Curveball | 136 | 11.3% | +4.3 | 83.8 | 2.2° | 5 |
| Sweeper | 114 | 9.5% | +2.1 | 80.6 | 21.5° | 2 |
| Changeup | 87 | 7.2% | -0.2 | 86.7 | -2.8° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
69.4%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Jose Trevino | #188 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Blake Dunn | #158 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Eugenio Suárez | #69 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Noelvi Marte | #37 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Nathaniel Lowe | #34 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Sal Stewart | #29 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Elly De La Cruz | #22 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · — | · |
| 2026-06-23 | JJ Bleday | #4 | 77 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Steven Kwan | #223 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Patrick Bailey | #192 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Petey Halpin | #190 | 32 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Brayan Rocchio | #152 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | David Fry | #141 | 42 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Daniel Schneemann | #128 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-17 | Travis Bazzana | #110 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Rhys Hoskins | #74 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Kyle Manzardo | #62 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Jeff Mcneil | #188 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Lawrence Butler | #164 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-10 | Carlos Cortes | #83 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-10 | Zack Gelof | #40 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Tyler Soderstrom | #13 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Brent Rooker | #8 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Shea Langeliers | #6 | 80 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Nick Kurtz | #4 | 84 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Sterlin Thompson | #212 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Edouard Julien | #168 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Willi Castro | #145 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Tyler Freeman | #121 | 44 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Troy Johnston | #105 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | TJ Rumfield | #87 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Ezequiel Tovar | #71 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Jake McCarthy | #67 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Hunter Goodman | #7 | 75 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-30 | Christian Vázquez | #174 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Jeremy Peña | #148 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-30 | Braden Shewmake | #142 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Isaac Paredes | #117 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Taylor Trammell | #116 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Jake Meyers | #97 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Cam Smith | #82 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Christian Walker | #6 | 80 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-30 | Yordan Alvarez | #3 | 86 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Hyeseong Kim | #250 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Miguel Rojas | #211 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Kyle Tucker | #195 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Andy Pages | #85 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-24 | Mookie Betts | #78 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Freddie Freeman | #74 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Teoscar Hernández | #68 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Dalton Rushing | #55 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Shohei Ohtani | #37 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Nico Hoerner | #199 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Carson Kelly | #163 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Alex Bregman | #111 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #104 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Dansby Swanson | #82 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-18 | Michael Busch | #51 | 59 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Seiya Suzuki | #43 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Moisés Ballesteros | #28 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Ian Happ | #7 | 85 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #224 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Jake Cronenworth | #161 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Nick Castellanos | #109 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Xander Bogaerts | #99 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Jackson Merrill | #98 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Ramón Laureano | #74 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Manny Machado | #58 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Miguel Andujar | #38 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-12 | Gavin Sheets | #29 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Masyn Winn | #215 | 19 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Pedro Pagés | #198 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Victor Scott II | #185 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Alec Burleson | #171 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Nolan Gorman | #162 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Iván Herrera | #151 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | JJ Wetherholt | #128 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Nathan Church | #115 | 33 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Jordan Walker | #93 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Masyn Winn | #161 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Victor Scott II | #104 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Alec Burleson | #103 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Nolan Gorman | #84 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Ivan Herrera | #67 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | JJ Wetherholt | #27 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Pedro Pagés | #24 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Nathan Church | #18 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Jordan Walker | #16 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Jorge Barrosa | #150 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Alek Thomas | #141 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Nolan Arenado | #140 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-29 | Ketel Marte | #133 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-29 | Adrian Del Castillo | #118 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-29 | Geraldo Perdomo | #107 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Corbin Carroll | #106 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-29 | Jose Fernandez | #82 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Ildemaro Vargas | #70 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Gleyber Torres | #124 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Javier Báez | #110 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Colt Keith | #93 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Wenceel Pérez | #85 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Kevin McGonigle | #55 | 45 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Spencer Torkelson | #44 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-23 | Riley Greene | #28 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-23 | Kerry Carpenter | #21 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Dillon Dingler | #13 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Tyler Heineman | #97 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Ernie Clement | #72 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Lenyn Sosa | #58 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Andrés Giménez | #40 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Kazuma Okamoto | #38 | 58 | 🟠 C | · — | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Jesús Sánchez | #32 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Daulton Varsho | #30 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #13 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Davis Schneider | #3 | 84 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Drew Waters | #243 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Michael Massey | #242 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Kyle Isbel | #241 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Jonathan India | #236 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Maikel Garcia | #230 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #225 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Jac Caglianone | #216 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Salvador Perez | #213 | 37 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-04-04 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #212 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Chase Meidroth | #193 | 21 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Edgar Quero | #192 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Miguel Vargas | #191 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Tristan Peters | #187 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Andrew Benintendi | #184 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Everson Pereira | #183 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-29 | Austin Hays | #179 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Colson Montgomery | #173 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |