Nick Lodolo
LHP
CIN
6
HRs Allowed
10.7%
HR Rate (Pool)
32.2%
Overall HR/FB
7.31
FIP
5.23
xFIP
+2.08
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.86
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
32.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
98th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
65.4%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
7.31
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
98th pctile
5.23
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+2.08
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
98th pctile
10.7%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
56
Pool Matchups
6
HRs Allowed (Pool)
9
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
10.7%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 99.1mph | · | · | · | Down -10.7pp |
| Last 15 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 97.3mph | · | · | · | Down -10.7pp |
| Last 30 | 47 | 6 | 4 | 8.5% | 0.67 | 96.6mph | 107.8mph | 26.0° | 417ft | Down -2.2pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.3
Avg Max EV
112.0
Max EV Allowed
34
Hard-Hit Proxy · 65.4%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
106.4
Avg HR EV
28.7°
Avg HR Launch
406
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Jackson Chourio | 107.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | William Contreras | 106.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Gary Sánchez | 105.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Brice Turang | 103.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Andrew Vaughn | 100.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Juan Soto | 109.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Carson Benge | 106.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Luis Torrens | 105.0mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Jordan Walker | #19 | 67 | Busch Stadium | 105.4mph | 25.0° | 401ft |
| 2026-05-31 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | #12 | 75 | Great American Ball Park | 112.0mph | 27.0° | 438ft |
| 2026-05-31 | Jorge Mateo | #38 | 66 | Great American Ball Park | 108.4mph | 24.0° | 425ft |
| 2026-05-25 | Marcus Semien | #101 | 45 | Citi Field | 105.6mph | 28.0° | 403.0ft |
| 2026-05-18 | Bryson Stott | #48 | 60 | Citizens Bank Park | 103.3mph | 44.0° | 360.0ft |
| 2026-05-18 | Alec Bohm | #192 | 34 | Citizens Bank Park | 103.6mph | 24.0° | 409.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 213 | 26.4% | +1.2 | 86.5 | 19.9° | 4 |
| Curveball | 211 | 26.1% | +0.9 | 79.4 | 14.7° | 0 |
| Fastball | 197 | 24.4% | +3.0 | 84.0 | 29.7° | 4 |
| Changeup | 187 | 23.1% | -0.3 | 82.0 | 15.2° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
65.4%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Joey Ortiz | #197 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Blake Perkins | #112 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Andrew Vaughn | #97 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | William Contreras | #89 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Brice Turang | #44 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Gary Sánchez | #31 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Jake Bauers | #10 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Jackson Chourio | #3 | 77 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Zack Short | #145 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Carson Benge | #108 | 46 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Luis Torrens | #84 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Bo Bichette | #67 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Marcus Semien | #49 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Mark Vientos | #47 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Juan Soto | #11 | 73 | 🟡 B | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Geraldo Perdomo | #139 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Ryan Waldschmidt | #87 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Nolan Arenado | #46 | 59 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Ildemaro Vargas | #44 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Ketel Marte | #21 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Gabriel Moreno | #17 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Corbin Carroll | #2 | 85 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Masyn Winn | #189 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Bryan Torres | #153 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | José Fermín | #148 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Pedro Pagés | #109 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Alec Burleson | #95 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Iván Herrera | #70 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Jordan Walker | #19 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chadwick Tromp | #255 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Ha-Seong Kim | #171 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Mauricio Dubón | #153 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Ozzie Albies | #86 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Jorge Mateo | #38 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-31 | Austin Riley | #22 | 70 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | #12 | 75 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-05-31 | Michael Harris II | #6 | 80 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Matt Olson | #1 | 87 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Nick Morabito | #207 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Luis Torrens | #189 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | A.J. Ewing | #132 | 40 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Marcus Semien | #101 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-25 | Carson Benge | #81 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Brett Baty | #48 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Tyrone Taylor | #47 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Bo Bichette | #44 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Mark Vientos | #30 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Alec Bohm | #192 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-18 | J.T. Realmuto | #168 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Trea Turner | #141 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Brandon Marsh | #97 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Justin Crawford | #86 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Adolis García | #85 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Bryson Stott | #48 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-18 | Bryce Harper | #6 | 85 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Kyle Schwarber | #1 | 100 | 🥇 S | 📈 WARM | · |