2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs
PJ Poulin
PJ Poulin LHP WSH
68 matchups scored · 8 game days
6 HRs Allowed
8.8% HR Rate (Pool)
17.6% Overall HR/FB
5.75 FIP
5.34 xFIP
+0.41 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.75
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
17.6%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
84th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
70.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.75
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
91th pctile
5.34
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.41
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
70th pctile
8.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
68
Pool Matchups
6
HRs Allowed (Pool)
5
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
8.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 16 2 4 25.0% 2.0 101.2mph 102.0mph 28.0° 384ft Up +16.2pp
Last 15 23 3 4 17.4% 1.33 99.4mph 102.0mph 28.0° 384ft Up +8.6pp
Last 30 41 5 5 12.2% 1.0 98.1mph 102.9mph 30.0° 382ft Up +3.4pp
Batted-Ball Damage
64 tracked BBE from 68 pool matchups
98.8
112.2
45
0
102.9
30.5°
385
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-23 Alec Bohm 106.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Bryson Stott 104.7mph 104.4mph 31° 403ft Yes
2026-06-23 Brandon Marsh 103.8mph 103.8mph 28° 400ft Yes
2026-06-23 Trea Turner 103.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Justin Crawford 101.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Junior Caminero 112.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Yandy Díaz 107.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Jonny DeLuca 104.6mph 104.6mph 29° 398ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
8 days · 6 total HRs
HRs Allowed
6 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-23 Brandon Marsh #91 49 Nationals Park 103.8mph 28.0° 400ft
2026-06-23 Bryson Stott #123 43 Nationals Park 104.4mph 31.0° 403ft
2026-06-19 Jonathan Aranda #62 54 Tropicana Field 95.2mph 24.0° 334ft
2026-06-19 Jonny DeLuca #146 39 Tropicana Field 104.6mph 29.0° 398ft
2026-05-25 Rhys Hoskins #62 54 Progressive Field 106.6mph 38.0° 377.0ft
2026-03-31 Kyle Schwarber #41 57 Citizens Bank Park 103.0mph 33.0° 397.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Sweeper 207 35.4% -0.6 80.8 23.8° 2
Fastball 174 29.8% +1.1 87.9 26.4° 2
Sinker 125 21.4% -3.4 85.4 1.7° 0
Changeup 78 13.4% +1.7 80.1 0.2° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
70.3%
70.3%
All Scored Matchups
68 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-23 Justin Crawford #210 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Trea Turner #177 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Alec Bohm #129 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Bryson Stott #123 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-23 Brandon Marsh #91 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-23 Bryce Harper #17 68 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Kyle Schwarber #2 82 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Chandler Simpson #208 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Richie Palacios #195 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-19 Taylor Walls #158 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Jonny DeLuca #146 39 ⚪ D · — 💥
2026-06-19 Hunter Feduccia #105 48 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-19 Cedric Mullins #88 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Yandy Díaz #68 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Jonathan Aranda #62 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-19 Junior Caminero #19 68 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-14 Jhonny Pereda #169 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-14 Josh Naylor #131 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-14 Cole Young #126 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-14 Julio Rodríguez #70 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-14 Luke Raley #21 67 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-14 Colt Emerson #15 70 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-14 Dominic Canzone #5 81 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-27 Steven Kwan #248 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-27 Austin Hedges #218 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Daniel Schneemann #108 46 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-27 Brayan Rocchio #100 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-27 Travis Bazzana #63 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Chase DeLauter #55 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-27 José Ramírez #53 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Angel Martínez #29 67 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Kyle Manzardo #21 70 🟡 B 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-25 Steven Kwan #221 19 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-25 Brayan Rocchio #112 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-25 Patrick Bailey #94 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-25 Travis Bazzana #68 52 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Rhys Hoskins #62 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-25 Chase DeLauter #55 56 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-25 José Ramírez #54 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Kyle Manzardo #22 65 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-25 Angel Martínez #15 69 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Edgar Quero #207 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Tristan Peters #193 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Chase Meidroth #174 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Luisangel Acuña #163 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Sam Antonacci #81 59 🟠 C · — ·
2026-04-24 Everson Pereira #56 65 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Miguel Vargas #49 66 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Colson Montgomery #34 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Munetaka Murakami #8 83 🟢 A · — ·
2026-04-19 Drew Gilbert #201 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Luis Arraez #190 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-19 Patrick Bailey #168 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Jung Hoo Lee #136 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Matt Chapman #94 51 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-19 Heliot Ramos #77 55 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-19 Rafael Devers #76 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Casey Schmitt #34 65 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Willy Adames #33 65 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Bryson Stott #182 31 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-31 J.T. Realmuto #172 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Trea Turner #171 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-31 Alec Bohm #167 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Nick Castellanos #158 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Brandon Marsh #149 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-31 Max Kepler #144 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-31 Bryce Harper #90 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Kyle Schwarber #41 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
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