2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Ryan Johnson
Ryan Johnson RHP LAA
26 matchups scored · 3 game days
2 HRs Allowed
7.7% HR Rate (Pool)
21.2% Overall HR/FB
7.08 FIP
5.85 xFIP
+1.23 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.67
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
21.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
91th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
75.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
7.08
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
98th pctile
5.85
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.23
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
93th pctile
7.7%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
26
Pool Matchups
2
HRs Allowed (Pool)
9
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
7.7%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 8 1 0 0.0% 0.0 99.6mph · · · Down -7.7pp
Last 15 8 1 0 0.0% 0.0 99.6mph · · · Down -7.7pp
Last 30 8 1 0 0.0% 0.0 99.6mph · · · Down -7.7pp
Batted-Ball Damage
24 tracked BBE from 26 pool matchups
98.1
111.3
18
0
102.8
35.0°
386
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-23 Jeremiah Jackson 106.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Leody Taveras 102.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Pete Alonso 101.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Colton Cowser 101.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Taylor Ward 101.2mph · · · ·
2026-04-05 Julio Rodriguez 111.3mph · · · ·
2026-04-05 Jorge Polanco 108.7mph · · · ·
2026-04-05 Cole Young 104.0mph 104.0mph 28° 394ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
3 days · 2 total HRs
HRs Allowed
2 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-04-05 Cole Young #111 32 Angel Stadium 104.0mph 28.0° 394.0ft
2026-03-30 Ian Happ #25 42 Wrigley Field 101.6mph 42.0° 378.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Cutter 118 30.0% +1.4 80.8 31.2° 2
Sinker 110 28.0% +2.9 86.4 14.1° 2
Splitter 99 25.2% +0.8 80.2 6.5° 0
Sweeper 66 16.8% +2.8 85.0 27.6° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
75.0%
75.0%
All Scored Matchups
26 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-23 Leody Taveras #161 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Taylor Ward #140 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Jeremiah Jackson #73 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Samuel Basallo #52 57 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Coby Mayo #42 59 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Colton Cowser #39 60 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Gunnar Henderson #33 62 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Pete Alonso #9 72 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 Ben Williamson #221 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 Cole Young #111 32 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-04-05 J.P. Crawford #48 33 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-05 Mitch Garver #24 38 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-05 Jorge Polanco #11 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 Randy Arozarena #8 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 Dominic Canzone #6 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-05 Julio Rodriguez #5 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 Cal Raleigh #2 64 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-30 Nico Hoerner #177 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 Matt Shaw #49 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 Kyle Tucker #36 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-30 Ian Happ #25 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-03-30 Carson Kelly #23 41 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-30 Pete Crow-Armstrong #18 49 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-30 Dansby Swanson #9 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-30 Seiya Suzuki #8 51 🟠 C · — ·
2026-03-30 Michael Busch #3 55 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
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