2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs
ATH
@ 6:45p
SF
Oracle Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Oracle Park

First pitch 6:45p · roof open
Park 0.86× Wind 9 mph slight_out 64°F open
+2
9 mph · out
59°F
6:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
9 mph · out
59°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
9 mph · out
59°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
9 mph · out
59°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
9 mph · out
59°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.95

64°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Robbie Ray
Robbie Ray LHP
1.62 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.34 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nick Kurtz Nick Kurtz 72 🟡 B +390 · 10 0.258 94.3 14.4% 28.6% vs LHP 410 23.3% 33.3% 23.5% 28
2 Shea Langeliers Shea Langeliers 66 🔵 C+ +330 · 25 0.256 91.5 12.9% 36.4% vs LHP 416 21.7% 20.0% 19.7% 35
3 Tyler Soderstrom Tyler Soderstrom 61 🔵 C+ +525 🌧️ COOL 37 0.239 89.8 10.9% 30.0% vs LHP 403 15.3% 25.0% 23.2% 33
4 Zack Gelof Zack Gelof 58 🟠 C +500 🌤️ WARM 44 0.216 89.3 9.0% 25.0% vs LHP 392 23.3% 33.3% 22.7% 33
5 Carlos Cortes Carlos Cortes 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 130 0.155 89.7 9.6% 12.8% 404 5.6% 10.0% 7.3% 21
6 Lawrence Butler Lawrence Butler 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 150 0.121 88.3 8.7% 18.2% 402 4.8% 20.0% 11.2% 23
7 Jacob Wilson Jacob Wilson 29 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 204 0.108 84.1 4.4% 7.7% vs LHP 375 5.4% 12.5% 6.5% 31
8 Jeff Mcneil Jeff Mcneil 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 216 0.084 85.9 3.5% 0.0% vs LHP 373 7.1% 11.1% 5.5% 18
Aaron Civale
Aaron Civale RHP
1.87 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.32 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 58 🟠 C +390 · 45 0.233 89.4 11.3% 22.0% vs RHP 394 17.8% 8.3% 13.6% 33
2 Willy Adames Willy Adames 54 🟠 C +425 🌧️ COOL 65 0.200 88.7 9.6% 20.8% vs RHP 389 15.1% 18.2% 17.9% 26
3 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 53 🟠 C +370 · 68 0.193 91.9 9.8% 18.6% vs RHP 402 12.7% 16.7% 18.9% 27
4 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 43 ⚪ D +525 🌤️ WARM 124 0.154 88.2 8.0% 16.2% vs RHP 398 6.8% 16.7% 14.1% 26
5 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 32 ⚪ D · · 188 0.137 87.8 5.0% 7.9% vs RHP 366 4.5% 0.0% 6.8% 37
6 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 30 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 198 0.128 85.3 4.9% 15.0% vs RHP 393 2.9% 0.0% 7.3% 22
7 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 217 0.122 87.2 1.7% 2.9% vs RHP 357 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 45
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