ATL
@
6:40p
SD
Stadium Conditions
Petco Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 0.91×
Wind 6 mph in
74°F
open
-4
2 mph · cross
64°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
2 mph · cross
64°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
2 mph · cross
64°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
2 mph · cross
64°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
2 mph · cross
64°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.91
74°F, wind 6 mph W (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
SD Bullpen Proxy
1.09 HR/9
· FIP-xFIP +0.00
·
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +305 | 🌧️ COOL | 14 | 0.280 | 93.1 | 13.7% | 21.6% | 409 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 25.2% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | ❄ COLD | 21 | 0.227 | 92.2 | 17.9% | 31.1% | 407 | 21.4% | 0.0% | 25.8% | 11 |
| 3 |
|
Austin Riley | 42 | ⚪ D | +400 | · | 129 | 0.161 | 91.1 | 9.9% | 12.0% | 409 | 7.9% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 36 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 169 | 0.166 | 87.3 | 4.1% | 11.4% | 383 | 13.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 43 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 36 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 171 | 0.147 | 88.2 | 7.4% | 10.7% | 390 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 33 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 183 | 0.149 | 90.6 | 3.6% | 12.0% | 374 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Mauricio Dubon | 30 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.140 | 86.4 | 5.7% | 9.1% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 40 |
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 57 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 47 | 0.228 | 89.1 | 7.7% | 33.3% vs RHP | 394 | 13.4% | 18.2% | 25.6% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Ty France | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 56 | 0.206 | 91.0 | 8.9% | 35.0% vs RHP | 393 | 13.6% | 12.5% | 22.7% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 54 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 61 | 0.182 | 90.0 | 8.1% | 30.6% vs RHP | 399 | 18.3% | 25.0% | 18.2% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 45 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 111 | 0.143 | 90.1 | 8.4% | 13.0% vs RHP | 407 | 11.4% | 16.7% | 9.2% | 42 |
| 5 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 166 | 0.157 | 88.0 | 5.6% | 16.7% vs RHP | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 2 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 36 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 172 | 0.112 | 88.0 | 6.7% | 19.4% vs RHP | 395 | 10.1% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 22 |