2026
Pricing
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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
JR Ritchie
JR Ritchie RHP ATL
49 matchups scored · 6 game days
8 HRs Allowed
16.3% HR Rate (Pool)
25.7% Overall HR/FB
5.86 FIP
4.4 xFIP
+1.45 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot ?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards. Pool + today context
1.33
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
25.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
95th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
77.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.86
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
91th pctile
4.4
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.45
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
95th pctile
16.3%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
49
Pool Matchups
8
HRs Allowed (Pool)
4
Top-15 Matchups
2
HRs to Top-15
16.3%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 13 2 2 15.4% 1.0 97.7mph 100.3mph 34.0° 390ft Flat -0.9pp
Last 15 13 2 2 15.4% 1.0 97.7mph 100.3mph 34.0° 390ft Flat -0.9pp
Last 30 13 2 2 15.4% 1.0 97.7mph 100.3mph 34.0° 390ft Flat -0.9pp
Batted-Ball Damage
44 tracked BBE from 49 pool matchups
98.9
Avg Max EV
109.1
Max EV Allowed
34
Hard-Hit Proxy · 77.3%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
102.9
Avg HR EV
29.4°
Avg HR Launch
389
Avg HR Distance
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-23 Manny Machado 104.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Casey Schmitt 106.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Matt Chapman 102.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Willy Adames 102.1mph 102.1mph 32° 400ft Yes
2026-06-17 Drew Gilbert 101.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Jung Hoo Lee 100.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Luis Arráez 98.6mph 98.6mph 36° 380ft Yes
2026-05-18 Javier Sanoja 105.4mph 105.4mph 21° 375ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
6 days · 8 total HRs
HRs Allowed
8 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-17 Willy Adames #126 44 Truist Park 102.1mph 32.0° 400ft
2026-06-17 Luis Arráez #195 31 Truist Park 98.6mph 36.0° 380ft
2026-05-18 Xavier Edwards #114 44 loanDepot Park 101.2mph 24.0° 397.0ft
2026-05-18 Javier Sanoja #232 21 loanDepot Park 105.4mph 21.0° 375.0ft
2026-05-04 Luke Raley #88 35 T-Mobile Park 105.5mph 25.0° 388.0ft
2026-05-04 J.P. Crawford #138 23 T-Mobile Park 100.7mph 39.0° 357.0ft
2026-04-23 James Wood #1 90 Nationals Park 102.4mph 32.0° 387.0ft
2026-04-23 CJ Abrams #7 70 Nationals Park 107.1mph 26.0° 426.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Curveball 175 24.6% -1.2 81.4 -1.9° 1
Fastball 142 20.0% +4.6 85.1 36.2° 3
Changeup 132 18.6% +2.2 86.0 -2.1° 2
Sinker 128 18.0% -2.9 85.5 5.3° 0
Slider 68 9.6% -1.6 76.1 18.8° 1
Cutter 65 9.2% +1.1 80.1 20.0° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
77.3%
77.3%
All Scored Matchups
49 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-23 Xander Bogaerts #174 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Miguel Andújar #168 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Jackson Merrill #114 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-23 Manny Machado #64 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Ty France #59 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Gavin Sheets #47 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-17 Jung Hoo Lee #208 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-17 Drew Gilbert #203 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-17 Luis Arráez #195 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-17 Willy Adames #126 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-17 Rafael Devers #103 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-17 Casey Schmitt #73 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-17 Matt Chapman #72 54 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-18 Javier Sanoja #232 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-18 Agustín Ramírez #181 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 Connor Norby #133 42 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-18 Jakob Marsee #132 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-18 Xavier Edwards #114 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-18 Kyle Stowers #107 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-18 Otto Lopez #98 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 Liam Hicks #65 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 Owen Caissie #49 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 Alex Bregman #140 29 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-13 Carson Kelly #104 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Michael Busch #103 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 Nico Hoerner #91 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Pete Crow-Armstrong #72 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 Matt Shaw #51 41 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-13 Dansby Swanson #30 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Moisés Ballesteros #14 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Ian Happ #5 59 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-04 J.P. Crawford #138 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-04 Leo Rivas #113 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-04 Josh Naylor #112 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-04 Randy Arozarena #107 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-04 Cole Young #99 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-04 Luke Raley #88 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-04 Julio Rodríguez #87 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-04 Cal Raleigh #58 40 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-04 Dominic Canzone #31 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Nasim Nuñez #102 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-23 José Tena #78 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Jorbit Vivas #69 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Keibert Ruiz #63 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-23 Jacob Young #54 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-23 Luis García Jr. #49 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-23 Daylen Lile #20 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 CJ Abrams #7 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-23 James Wood #1 90 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM 💥
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