2026
Pricing
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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs
Aaron Civale
Aaron Civale RHP ATH
104 matchups scored · 12 game days
14 HRs Allowed
13.5% HR Rate (Pool)
12.8% Overall HR/FB
4.28 FIP
4.66 xFIP
-0.37 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot ?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards. Pool + today context
1.17
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
12.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
52th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
75.6%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.28
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
60th pctile
4.66
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.37
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
29th pctile
13.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
104
Pool Matchups
14
HRs Allowed (Pool)
8
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
13.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 14 2 3 21.4% 1.5 100.4mph 101.7mph 30.7° 407ft Up +7.9pp
Last 15 14 2 3 21.4% 1.5 100.4mph 101.7mph 30.7° 407ft Up +7.9pp
Last 30 23 3 7 30.4% 2.33 100.6mph 102.0mph 29.1° 408ft Up +16.9pp
Batted-Ball Damage
86 tracked BBE from 104 pool matchups
100.2
Avg Max EV
112.1
Max EV Allowed
65
Hard-Hit Proxy · 75.6%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.1
Avg HR EV
30.3°
Avg HR Launch
404
Avg HR Distance
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-23 Matt Chapman 112.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Casey Schmitt 101.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Rafael Devers 101.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Jung Hoo Lee 99.9mph 99.9mph 30° 414ft Yes
2026-06-17 Marcell Ozuna 107.1mph 107.1mph 26° 448ft Yes
2026-06-17 Spencer Horwitz 106.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Bryan Reynolds 106.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Nick Gonzales 102.4mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
12 days · 14 total HRs
HRs Allowed
14 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-23 Jung Hoo Lee #200 29 Oracle Park 99.9mph 30.0° 414ft
2026-06-17 Ryan O'Hearn #58 56 Sutter Health Park 98.2mph 36.0° 360ft
2026-06-17 Marcell Ozuna #150 40 Sutter Health Park 107.1mph 26.0° 448ft
2026-05-25 Luke Raley #3 78 Sutter Health Park 99.2mph 32.0° 389.0ft
2026-05-25 Randy Arozarena #46 58 Sutter Health Park 104.1mph 30.0° 437.0ft
2026-05-25 Dominic Canzone #49 57 Sutter Health Park 104.3mph 24.0° 397.0ft
2026-05-25 J. P. Crawford #89 47 Sutter Health Park 101.0mph 26.0° 414.0ft
2026-05-20 Jorge Soler #47 60 Angel Stadium 108.6mph 29.0° 432.0ft
2026-05-20 Jo Adell #81 52 Angel Stadium 107.7mph 33.0° 419.0ft
2026-05-20 Josh Lowe #171 37 Angel Stadium 109.2mph 28.0° 426.0ft
2026-05-15 Luis Arraez #206 30 Sutter Health Park 98.2mph 43.0° 350.0ft
2026-05-03 Chase DeLauter #56 37 Sutter Health Park 95.2mph 34.0° 356.0ft
2026-04-22 Cal Raleigh #61 51 T-Mobile Park 105.8mph 27.0° 405.0ft
2026-03-31 Drake Baldwin #57 46 Truist Park 105.4mph 26.0° 410.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Cutter 385 35.6% -1.5 82.8 28.0° 2
Curveball 249 23.1% +0.3 82.7 12.0° 1
Sinker 203 18.8% +4.3 86.0 28.9° 5
Fastball 137 12.7% +2.9 87.3 32.1° 4
Splitter 68 6.3% +2.4 83.9 11.1° 0
Slider 38 3.5% +2.6 85.2 22.2° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
75.6%
75.6%
All Scored Matchups
104 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-23 Drew Gilbert #209 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Luis Arráez #201 29 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Jung Hoo Lee #200 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-23 Matt Chapman #142 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Rafael Devers #83 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-23 Willy Adames #78 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Casey Schmitt #58 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-17 Jake Mangum #215 24 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-17 Marcell Ozuna #150 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-17 Nick Gonzales #133 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-17 Ryan O'Hearn #58 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-17 Spencer Horwitz #37 62 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-17 Bryan Reynolds #30 65 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-17 Brandon Lowe #9 74 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Leo Rivas #197 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Josh Naylor #127 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Cole Young #114 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 J. P. Crawford #89 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-25 Cal Raleigh #57 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-25 Dominic Canzone #49 57 🟠 C ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-25 Randy Arozarena #46 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-25 Julio Rodríguez #39 61 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-25 Luke Raley #3 78 🟡 B 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-20 Logan O'Hoppe #226 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-20 Nolan Schanuel #223 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-20 Josh Lowe #171 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-20 Yoán Moncada #170 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-20 Oswald Peraza #93 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-20 Jo Adell #81 52 🟠 C 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-05-20 Zach Neto #52 59 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-20 Jorge Soler #47 60 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-20 Mike Trout #15 77 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Drew Gilbert #214 29 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-15 Jung Hoo Lee #213 29 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-15 Patrick Bailey #207 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-15 Luis Arraez #206 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-15 Matt Chapman #169 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Willy Adames #116 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-15 Rafael Devers #93 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-15 Heliot Ramos #80 55 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-15 Casey Schmitt #26 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Blaze Alexander #87 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Taylor Ward #66 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-09 Dylan Beavers #60 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Leody Taveras #45 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Jeremiah Jackson #41 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Gunnar Henderson #30 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-09 Coby Mayo #23 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Samuel Basallo #16 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Pete Alonso #15 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Kyle Manzardo #173 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-03 Bo Naylor #161 24 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-03 Steven Kwan #155 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Brayan Rocchio #142 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-03 Chase DeLauter #56 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-03 Rhys Hoskins #49 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Angel Martínez #48 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 José Ramírez #26 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-03 Daniel Schneemann #19 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Leo Rivas #165 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Josh Naylor #124 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Brendan Donovan #111 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-22 Julio Rodríguez #105 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Cole Young #96 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Randy Arozarena #95 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 J.P. Crawford #81 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Cal Raleigh #61 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-22 Luke Raley #5 75 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Luisangel Acuña #172 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Tristan Peters #168 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Edgar Quero #137 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 Austin Hays #116 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Chase Meidroth #97 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 Colson Montgomery #61 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Andrew Benintendi #52 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 Miguel Vargas #44 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 Munetaka Murakami #5 85 🟢 A · — ·
2026-04-12 Jared Young #107 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Tyrone Taylor #103 28 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Luis Torrens #87 14 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 Marcus Semien #86 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Bo Bichette #61 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Carson Benge #58 34 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-12 Francisco Lindor #47 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Brett Baty #41 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Jorge Polanco #39 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 Jasson Dominguez #131 39 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-07 Paul Goldschmidt #114 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Anthony Volpe #108 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Cody Bellinger #79 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Austin Wells #64 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-07 Trent Grisham #32 56 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-07 Jazz Chisholm Jr. #29 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 Ben Rice #5 60 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-07 Aaron Judge #1 71 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Nick Allen #215 11 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Ozzie Albies #169 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Jurickson Profar #113 42 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-31 Austin Riley #103 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Michael Harris II #97 40 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-31 Marcell Ozuna #79 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Matt Olson #68 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Drake Baldwin #57 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-03-31 Ronald Acuna Jr. #33 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
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