2026
Pricing
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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy RHP STL
138 matchups scored · 16 game days
16 HRs Allowed
11.6% HR Rate (Pool)
18.2% Overall HR/FB
5.14 FIP
4.42 xFIP
+0.73 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot ?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards. Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
18.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
86th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
83.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.14
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
82th pctile
4.42
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.73
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
82th pctile
11.6%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
138
Pool Matchups
16
HRs Allowed (Pool)
6
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
11.6%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 14 2 1 7.1% 0.5 99.3mph 106.2mph 31.0° 423ft Down -4.5pp
Last 15 22 3 5 22.7% 1.67 100.4mph 104.9mph 30.0° 402ft Up +11.1pp
Last 30 39 5 6 15.4% 1.2 100.7mph 106.5mph 30.0° 409ft Up +3.8pp
Batted-Ball Damage
112 tracked BBE from 138 pool matchups
101.0
Avg Max EV
114.6
Max EV Allowed
93
Hard-Hit Proxy · 83.0%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
106.3
Avg HR EV
29.9°
Avg HR Launch
403
Avg HR Distance
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-23 Ketel Marte 107.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Gabriel Moreno 105.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Nolan Arenado 105.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Jackson Merrill 106.2mph 106.2mph 31° 423ft Yes
2026-06-17 Manny Machado 104.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Xander Bogaerts 103.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Ty France 100.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-12 Byron Buxton 108.5mph 108.5mph 21° 425ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
16 days · 16 total HRs
HRs Allowed
16 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-17 Jackson Merrill #136 43 Busch Stadium 106.2mph 31.0° 423ft
2026-06-12 Byron Buxton #7 78 Target Field 108.5mph 21.0° 425ft
2026-06-12 Kody Clemens #29 64 Target Field 102.4mph 27.0° 385ft
2026-06-12 Brooks Lee #69 54 Target Field 100.2mph 34.0° 382ft
2026-06-12 Royce Lewis #115 44 Target Field 107.2mph 37.0° 394ft
2026-05-30 Pete Crow-Armstrong #70 57 Busch Stadium 114.6mph 30.0° 444ft
2026-05-23 Elly De La Cruz #18 71 Great American Ball Park 106.7mph 25.0° 387.0ft
2026-05-23 Nathaniel Lowe #22 69 Great American Ball Park 106.8mph 25.0° 398.0ft
2026-05-16 Jac Caglianone #56 58 Busch Stadium 113.4mph 30.0° 428.0ft
2026-05-10 Nick Castellanos #163 23 Petco Park 105.2mph 25.0° 389.0ft
2026-05-04 Brice Turang #67 38 Busch Stadium 105.3mph 28.0° 414.0ft
2026-04-28 Oneil Cruz #41 61 PNC Park 106.6mph 28.0° 414.0ft
2026-04-28 Ryan O'Hearn #143 37 PNC Park 104.6mph 26.0° 398.0ft
2026-04-17 Yordan Alvarez #20 71 Minute Maid Park 104.2mph 42.0° 357.0ft
2026-04-17 Jose Altuve #127 42 Minute Maid Park 105.2mph 38.0° 384.0ft
2026-04-05 Kerry Carpenter #161 47 Comerica Park 103.3mph 32.0° 425.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 356 28.6% +1.0 89.7 23.1° 4
Curveball 198 15.9% -0.4 86.4 -2.3° 1
Slider 195 15.7% -1.1 83.0 18.1° 1
Sinker 172 13.8% +0.2 84.6 8.3° 1
Sweeper 166 13.4% +1.7 81.5 18.7° 1
Changeup 156 12.6% +1.5 84.9 4.4° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
83.0%
83.0%
All Scored Matchups
138 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-23 Pavin Smith #221 23 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-23 Geraldo Perdomo #206 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Nolan Arenado #165 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Tommy Troy #107 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Ketel Marte #100 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Gabriel Moreno #86 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Corbin Carroll #28 63 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-17 Samad Taylor #197 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-17 Xander Bogaerts #183 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-17 Ty France #138 42 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-17 Jackson Merrill #136 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-17 Gavin Sheets #105 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-17 Manny Machado #98 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-17 Rodolfo Durán #24 67 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 Luke Keaschall #218 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 Trevor Larnach #170 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-12 Tristan Gray #165 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-12 Josh Bell #133 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 Royce Lewis #115 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-12 Brooks Lee #69 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-12 Kody Clemens #29 64 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-12 Byron Buxton #7 78 🟡 B ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-05 Noelvi Marte #235 16 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-06-05 Blake Dunn #179 33 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Tyler Stephenson #144 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Eugenio Suárez #134 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Sal Stewart #94 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Spencer Steer #65 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-05 Nathaniel Lowe #22 67 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 JJ Bleday #10 73 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Nico Hoerner #213 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Carson Kelly #195 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-30 Alex Bregman #170 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-30 Dansby Swanson #130 46 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-30 Seiya Suzuki #122 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Moisés Ballesteros #80 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Pete Crow-Armstrong #70 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-30 Michael Busch #32 64 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Ian Happ #8 78 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 P.J. Higgins #280 17 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 TJ Friedl #201 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 Will Benson #80 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-23 Matt McLain #79 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-23 Blake Dunn #78 54 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 Nathaniel Lowe #22 69 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-23 Sal Stewart #19 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 Elly De La Cruz #18 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-23 JJ Bleday #6 78 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 TJ Friedl #203 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Ke'Bryan Hayes #147 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 Matt McLain #124 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Tyler Stephenson #88 44 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 Eugenio Suárez #80 45 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-22 Spencer Steer #25 61 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Elly De La Cruz #16 68 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Nathaniel Lowe #11 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Sal Stewart #10 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Kyle Isbel #180 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Maikel Garcia #160 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Salvador Perez #115 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Isaac Collins #107 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-16 Vinnie Pasquantino #100 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Carter Jensen #87 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Jac Caglianone #56 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-16 Michael Massey #34 65 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-16 Bobby Witt Jr. #33 65 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Jake Cronenworth #227 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Fernando Tatis Jr. #214 15 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Xander Bogaerts #177 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Nick Castellanos #163 23 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-10 Ramón Laureano #162 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Jackson Merrill #138 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Miguel Andujar #105 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Gavin Sheets #87 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Manny Machado #76 36 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-04 Brandon Lockridge #155 17 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-04 David Hamilton #152 18 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-04 Luis Rengifo #123 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-04 William Contreras #119 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-04 Garrett Mitchell #105 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-04 Sal Frelick #94 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-04 Jake Bauers #72 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-04 Brice Turang #67 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-04 Gary Sánchez #52 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-28 Nick Gonzales #221 10 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-28 Nick Yorke #186 25 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-28 Spencer Horwitz #183 27 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-28 Bryan Reynolds #182 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-28 Konnor Griffin #177 28 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-28 Marcell Ozuna #161 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 Ryan O'Hearn #143 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-28 Brandon Lowe #85 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 Oneil Cruz #41 61 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-22 Leo Jiménez #244 15 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Javier Sanoja #208 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Heriberto Hernández #185 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Jakob Marsee #154 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Liam Hicks #139 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-22 Agustín Ramírez #137 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Xavier Edwards #108 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Otto Lopez #48 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Owen Caissie #34 59 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Jeremy Peña #199 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Yainer Diaz #197 28 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 Isaac Paredes #171 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 Joey Loperfido #135 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 Jose Altuve #127 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-17 Carlos Correa #111 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 Christian Walker #49 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Cam Smith #38 65 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 Yordan Alvarez #20 71 🟡 B 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-11 Abraham Toro #210 27 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-11 Ceddanne Rafaela #205 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 Jarren Duran #196 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-11 Alex Bregman #180 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-11 Romy Gonzalez #178 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-11 Roman Anthony #171 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-11 Carlos Narvaez #170 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-11 Trevor Story #169 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-11 Wilyer Abreu #55 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-05 Gleyber Torres #222 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 Zach McKinstry #212 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-05 Javier Baez #211 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-05 Colt Keith #209 35 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-05 Wenceel Perez #208 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-05 Dillon Dingler #207 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 Spencer Torkelson #174 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-05 Kerry Carpenter #161 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-05 Riley Greene #127 49 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-30 Tyrone Taylor #222 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-30 Jeff McNeil #209 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-30 Starling Marte #191 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 Mark Vientos #185 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 Brandon Nimmo #184 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 Francisco Lindor #183 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-30 Pete Alonso #160 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 Brett Baty #138 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 Juan Soto #125 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
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