2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs
Peter Lambert
Peter Lambert RHP HOU
112 matchups scored · 13 game days
14 HRs Allowed
12.5% HR Rate (Pool)
8.1% Overall HR/FB
3.09 FIP
3.66 xFIP
-0.57 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.08
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
8.1%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
12th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.09
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
19th pctile
3.66
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.57
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
20th pctile
12.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
112
Pool Matchups
14
HRs Allowed (Pool)
8
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
12.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 16 2 3 18.8% 1.5 98.0mph 99.7mph 33.7° 357ft Up +6.3pp
Last 15 22 3 5 22.7% 1.67 98.5mph 103.1mph 31.2° 380ft Up +10.2pp
Last 30 40 5 6 15.0% 1.2 97.9mph 103.5mph 31.0° 381ft Up +2.5pp
Batted-Ball Damage
92 tracked BBE from 112 pool matchups
98.0
114.7
66
0
102.0
30.1°
381
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-23 Kazuma Okamoto 111.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Jesús Sánchez 107.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Daulton Varsho 107.3mph 106.0mph 30° 395ft Yes
2026-06-23 Andrés Giménez 104.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Riley Greene 106.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Matt Vierling 103.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Kerry Carpenter 96.6mph 96.6mph 33° 337ft Yes
2026-06-17 Kevin McGonigle 96.5mph 96.5mph 38° 340ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
13 days · 14 total HRs
HRs Allowed
14 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-23 Daulton Varsho #81 51 Rogers Centre 106.0mph 30.0° 395ft
2026-06-17 Kerry Carpenter #53 57 Minute Maid Park 96.6mph 33.0° 337ft
2026-06-17 Kevin McGonigle #157 39 Minute Maid Park 96.5mph 38.0° 340ft
2026-06-10 Mike Trout #34 62 Angel Stadium 108.7mph 21.0° 404ft
2026-06-10 Logan O'Hoppe #146 39 Angel Stadium 107.7mph 34.0° 423ft
2026-06-05 Brent Rooker #77 50 Minute Maid Park 105.4mph 30.0° 386ft
2026-05-24 Michael Busch #111 47 Wrigley Field 101.6mph 26.0° 378.0ft
2026-05-17 Jake Burger #126 46 Minute Maid Park 102.4mph 27.0° 356.0ft
2026-05-17 Kyle Higashioka #214 30 Minute Maid Park 99.8mph 32.0° 393.0ft
2026-05-11 Julio Rodríguez #29 44 Minute Maid Park 106.6mph 28.0° 414.0ft
2026-04-30 Adley Rutschman #12 74 Camden Yards 101.4mph 25.0° 397.0ft
2026-04-30 Jeremiah Jackson #69 33 Camden Yards 98.5mph 29.0° 380.0ft
2026-04-17 Ivan Herrera #145 38 Minute Maid Park 100.3mph 30.0° 383.0ft
2026-04-17 Nolan Gorman #146 38 Minute Maid Park 97.2mph 38.0° 353.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 336 29.8% -0.4 85.9 34.6° 5
Changeup 249 22.1% -0.2 77.5 4.0° 0
Slider 197 17.4% -1.3 83.1 21.8° 1
Cutter 124 11.0% -0.5 83.1 29.0° 0
Sinker 117 10.4% -0.6 81.4 4.4° 1
Slurve 106 9.4% -0.0 85.8 14.0° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.7%
71.7%
All Scored Matchups
112 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-23 Myles Straw #189 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Andrés Giménez #139 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Daulton Varsho #81 51 🟠 C 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-06-23 Brandon Valenzuela #70 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Jesús Sánchez #61 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 George Springer #55 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 Kazuma Okamoto #19 68 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-17 Matt Vierling #166 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-17 Hao-Yu Lee #162 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-17 Kevin McGonigle #157 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-17 Colt Keith #147 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-17 Jake Rogers #130 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-17 Riley Greene #79 53 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-17 Spencer Torkelson #56 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-17 Kerry Carpenter #53 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-17 Dillon Dingler #26 66 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Nolan Schanuel #176 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Logan O'Hoppe #146 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-10 Jo Adell #126 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Oswald Peraza #84 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Zach Neto #54 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Mike Trout #34 62 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-05 Darell Hernaiz #234 16 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Jeff McNeil #228 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Henry Bolte #226 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Zack Gelof #159 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Carlos Cortes #143 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Brent Rooker #77 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-05 Tyler Soderstrom #60 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-05 Nick Kurtz #46 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Shea Langeliers #20 68 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 David Hamilton #251 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-30 Joey Ortiz #247 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Brice Turang #143 44 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-30 William Contreras #126 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Andrew Vaughn #115 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 Garrett Mitchell #99 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Jackson Chourio #94 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 Christian Yelich #68 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Jake Bauers #42 62 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Nico Hoerner #263 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Carson Kelly #235 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Pete Crow-Armstrong #186 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Alex Bregman #176 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 Pedro Ramírez #170 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Seiya Suzuki #169 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Michael Busch #111 47 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-05-24 Moisés Ballesteros #86 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 Michael Conforto #45 60 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-17 Alejandro Osuna #246 19 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 Kyle Higashioka #214 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-17 Josh Jung #152 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Evan Carter #146 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Justin Foscue #136 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 Jake Burger #126 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-17 Joc Pederson #121 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-17 Brandon Nimmo #104 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-17 Ezequiel Duran #77 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-11 Leo Rivas #83 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-11 J.P. Crawford #56 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-11 Cole Young #44 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-11 Josh Naylor #38 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-11 Julio Rodríguez #29 44 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-05-11 Randy Arozarena #23 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-11 Cal Raleigh #16 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-11 Dominic Canzone #14 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-11 Luke Raley #13 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Hyeseong Kim #235 11 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Alex Freeland #220 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Kyle Tucker #208 16 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Freddie Freeman #187 18 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Will Smith #162 23 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-05 Andy Pages #144 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-05 Max Muncy #129 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Shohei Ohtani #128 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-05 Teoscar Hernández #105 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-30 Colton Cowser #157 15 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-30 Blaze Alexander #141 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-30 Dylan Beavers #92 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-30 Taylor Ward #91 27 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-30 Jeremiah Jackson #69 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-30 Pete Alonso #44 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-30 Coby Mayo #32 49 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-30 Gunnar Henderson #13 72 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-30 Adley Rutschman #12 74 🟡 B 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-29 Blaze Alexander #137 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 Leody Taveras #72 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Jeremiah Jackson #48 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Dylan Beavers #35 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 Coby Mayo #20 49 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-29 Samuel Basallo #17 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Pete Alonso #16 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 Taylor Ward #12 52 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-29 Gunnar Henderson #11 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Steven Kwan #193 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Juan Brito #178 28 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-22 Brayan Rocchio #116 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Kyle Manzardo #73 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Bo Naylor #52 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Daniel Schneemann #49 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 George Valera #31 60 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 José Ramírez #22 65 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Chase DeLauter #11 69 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-17 Victor Scott II #208 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Thomas Saggese #194 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Nolan Gorman #146 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-17 Ivan Herrera #145 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-17 Masyn Winn #142 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 Nathan Church #132 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 JJ Wetherholt #99 47 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-17 Alec Burleson #71 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 Jordan Walker #9 80 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
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