PHI
@
6:45p
WSH
Stadium Conditions
Nationals Park
First pitch 6:45p
· roof open
Park 0.99×
Wind 3 mph cross
70°F
open
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
6:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
3 mph · cross
73°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.99
70°F, wind 3 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 82 | 🟢 A | · | · | 2 | 0.348 | 93.2 | 15.3% | 45.8% vs LHP | 404 | 28.2% | 33.3% | 35.6% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 17 | 0.255 | 90.3 | 11.8% | 12.0% vs LHP | 401 | 20.5% | 25.0% | 25.2% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 89 | 0.164 | 89.9 | 9.2% | 15.4% vs LHP | 391 | 11.4% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Bryson Stott | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 119 | 0.154 | 89.2 | 8.7% | 12.5% vs LHP | 392 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Alec Bohm | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 126 | 0.137 | 89.7 | 6.9% | 14.8% vs LHP | 385 | 11.3% | 18.2% | 8.3% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Trea Turner | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 175 | 0.106 | 88.8 | 7.2% | 4.3% vs LHP | 394 | 9.7% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Justin Crawford | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 210 | 0.099 | 86.8 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 382 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 20 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 23 | 0.252 | 95.9 | 12.4% | 29.4% vs LHP | 408 | 26.7% | 25.0% | 36.6% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Curtis Mead | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 53 | 0.225 | 88.5 | 8.4% | 20.0% vs LHP | 399 | 20.5% | 33.3% | 25.6% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Dylan Crews | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 88 | 0.171 | 91.5 | 8.1% | 22.2% vs LHP | 415 | 23.8% | 30.0% | 19.4% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Cj Abrams | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 98 | 0.239 | 90.1 | 8.1% | 17.6% vs LHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 31.3% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Keibert Ruiz | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 118 | 0.194 | 89.1 | 6.0% | 20.0% vs LHP | 378 | 16.0% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Jacob Young | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 178 | 0.150 | 89.2 | 6.3% | 5.9% vs LHP | 391 | 9.6% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Andres Chaparro | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 209 | 0.100 | 90.0 | 7.3% | 0.0% vs LHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 7 |
| 8 |
|
Jorbit Vivas | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 223 | 0.079 | 83.6 | 4.7% | 2.8% | 364 | 2.5% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 15 |
| 9 |
|
Nasim Nunez | 9 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 235 | 0.044 | 84.5 | · | 0.0% vs LHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 27 |