2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Jared Jones
Jared Jones RHP PIT
33 matchups scored · 4 game days
5 HRs Allowed
15.2% HR Rate (Pool)
36.7% Overall HR/FB
5.61 FIP
3.73 xFIP
+1.88 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.25
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
36.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
99th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
78.1%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.61
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
89th pctile
3.73
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.88
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
97th pctile
15.2%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
33
Pool Matchups
5
HRs Allowed (Pool)
6
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
15.2%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 16 2 3 18.8% 1.5 97.4mph 99.7mph 33.3° 375ft Up +3.6pp
Last 15 24 3 4 16.7% 1.33 98.5mph 100.8mph 32.5° 384ft Flat +1.5pp
Last 30 33 4 5 15.2% 1.25 100.3mph 100.9mph 31.0° 379ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
32 tracked BBE from 33 pool matchups
100.3
115.1
25
0
100.9
31.0°
379
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-21 Willi Castro 107.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Tyler Freeman 100.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 TJ Rumfield 93.3mph 93.3mph 31° 387ft Yes
2026-06-15 Nick Kurtz 112.0mph 106.0mph 46° 380ft Yes
2026-06-15 Tyler Soderstrom 102.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-15 Lawrence Butler 101.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-15 Zack Gelof 100.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-15 Jeff Mcneil 99.9mph 99.9mph 23° 359ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
4 days · 5 total HRs
HRs Allowed
5 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-21 TJ Rumfield #27 65 Coors Field 93.3mph 31.0° 387ft
2026-06-15 Nick Kurtz #2 81 Sutter Health Park 106.0mph 46.0° 380ft
2026-06-15 Jeff Mcneil #136 27 Sutter Health Park 99.9mph 23.0° 359ft
2026-06-10 Shohei Ohtani #31 62 PNC Park 103.9mph 30.0° 412ft
2026-06-04 Isaac Paredes #58 48 Minute Maid Park 101.3mph 25.0° 356ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 131 39.5% +0.8 85.8 24.2° 2
Slider 111 33.4% +1.2 84.8 19.2° 1
Changeup 58 17.5% +0.4 85.6 1.1° 1
Curveball 32 9.6% +4.7 87.0 2.7° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
78.1%
78.1%
All Scored Matchups
33 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-21 Tyler Freeman #182 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Edouard Julien #121 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Willi Castro #106 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Kyle Karros #99 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Jake McCarthy #87 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Sterlin Thompson #59 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 TJ Rumfield #27 65 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-21 Brett Sullivan #26 65 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-15 Jeff Mcneil #136 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-15 Jacob Wilson #123 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-15 Lawrence Butler #86 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-15 Carlos Cortes #52 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-15 Zack Gelof #28 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-15 Tyler Soderstrom #10 72 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-15 Shea Langeliers #3 77 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-15 Nick Kurtz #2 81 🟢 A ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-10 Alex Freeland #163 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Kyle Tucker #150 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Mookie Betts #143 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Freddie Freeman #65 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Dalton Rushing #36 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Shohei Ohtani #31 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-10 Max Muncy #28 62 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Andy Pages #26 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-04 LaMonte Wade Jr. #149 18 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-06-04 Nick Allen #135 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-04 Taylor Trammell #108 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-04 Isaac Paredes #58 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-04 Jeremy Peña #51 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-04 Cam Smith #43 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-04 Collin Price #7 68 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-04 Christian Walker #2 74 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-04 Yordan Alvarez #1 86 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
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