Jared Jones
RHP
PIT
5
HRs Allowed
15.2%
HR Rate (Pool)
36.7%
Overall HR/FB
5.61
FIP
3.73
xFIP
+1.88
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.25
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
36.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
99th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
78.1%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.61
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
89th pctile
3.73
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.88
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
97th pctile
15.2%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
33
Pool Matchups
5
HRs Allowed (Pool)
6
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
15.2%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 18.8% | 1.5 | 97.4mph | 99.7mph | 33.3° | 375ft | Up +3.6pp |
| Last 15 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 16.7% | 1.33 | 98.5mph | 100.8mph | 32.5° | 384ft | Flat +1.5pp |
| Last 30 | 33 | 4 | 5 | 15.2% | 1.25 | 100.3mph | 100.9mph | 31.0° | 379ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
100.3
Avg Max EV
115.1
Max EV Allowed
25
Hard-Hit Proxy · 78.1%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
100.9
Avg HR EV
31.0°
Avg HR Launch
379
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Willi Castro | 107.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Tyler Freeman | 100.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-21 | TJ Rumfield | 93.3mph | 93.3mph | 31° | 387ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-15 | Nick Kurtz | 112.0mph | 106.0mph | 46° | 380ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-15 | Tyler Soderstrom | 102.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Lawrence Butler | 101.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Zack Gelof | 100.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Jeff Mcneil | 99.9mph | 99.9mph | 23° | 359ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | TJ Rumfield | #27 | 65 | Coors Field | 93.3mph | 31.0° | 387ft |
| 2026-06-15 | Nick Kurtz | #2 | 81 | Sutter Health Park | 106.0mph | 46.0° | 380ft |
| 2026-06-15 | Jeff Mcneil | #136 | 27 | Sutter Health Park | 99.9mph | 23.0° | 359ft |
| 2026-06-10 | Shohei Ohtani | #31 | 62 | PNC Park | 103.9mph | 30.0° | 412ft |
| 2026-06-04 | Isaac Paredes | #58 | 48 | Minute Maid Park | 101.3mph | 25.0° | 356ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 131 | 39.5% | +0.8 | 85.8 | 24.2° | 2 |
| Slider | 111 | 33.4% | +1.2 | 84.8 | 19.2° | 1 |
| Changeup | 58 | 17.5% | +0.4 | 85.6 | 1.1° | 1 |
| Curveball | 32 | 9.6% | +4.7 | 87.0 | 2.7° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
78.1%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Tyler Freeman | #182 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Edouard Julien | #121 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Willi Castro | #106 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Kyle Karros | #99 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Jake McCarthy | #87 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Sterlin Thompson | #59 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-21 | TJ Rumfield | #27 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-21 | Brett Sullivan | #26 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Jeff Mcneil | #136 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-15 | Jacob Wilson | #123 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Lawrence Butler | #86 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlos Cortes | #52 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Zack Gelof | #28 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Tyler Soderstrom | #10 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Shea Langeliers | #3 | 77 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Nick Kurtz | #2 | 81 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-10 | Alex Freeland | #163 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Kyle Tucker | #150 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Mookie Betts | #143 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Freddie Freeman | #65 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Dalton Rushing | #36 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Shohei Ohtani | #31 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-10 | Max Muncy | #28 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Andy Pages | #26 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-04 | LaMonte Wade Jr. | #149 | 18 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Nick Allen | #135 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Taylor Trammell | #108 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Isaac Paredes | #58 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-04 | Jeremy Peña | #51 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Cam Smith | #43 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Collin Price | #7 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Christian Walker | #2 | 74 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Yordan Alvarez | #1 | 86 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |