ATH
@
12:45p
SF
Stadium Conditions
Oracle Park
First pitch 12:45p
· roof open
Park 0.83×
Wind 10 mph slight_out
65°F
open
+3
14 mph · slight_out
58°F
12:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
14 mph · slight_out
58°F
1:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
14 mph · slight_out
58°F
2:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
14 mph · slight_out
58°F
3:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
14 mph · slight_out
58°F
4:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.92
65°F, wind 10 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Bryce Eldridge | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 24 | 0.213 | 91.3 | 11.1% | 16.7% vs LHP | 389 | 21.1% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 25 | 0.230 | 89.4 | 11.3% | 16.7% vs LHP | 394 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Rafael Devers | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 37 | 0.190 | 91.8 | 9.8% | 13.0% vs LHP | 402 | 13.8% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Willy Adames | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 43 | 0.200 | 88.6 | 9.5% | 9.5% vs LHP | 389 | 14.7% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Chapman | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.152 | 88.3 | 8.3% | 18.2% vs LHP | 398 | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 99 | 0.147 | 87.8 | 5.4% | 14.3% vs LHP | 378 | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Daniel Susac | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 126 | 0.067 | 86.6 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 15 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 30 | 0.254 | 94.3 | 8.2% | 43.3% vs RHP | 410 | 22.7% | 25.0% | 27.6% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Max Muncy | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 34 | 0.244 | 90.5 | 7.6% | 28.3% vs RHP | 408 | 19.8% | 35.7% | 24.1% | 50 |
| 3 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 46 | 0.253 | 91.4 | 7.3% | 21.4% vs RHP | 416 | 21.1% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 63 | 0.236 | 89.9 | 6.2% | 17.4% vs RHP | 403 | 14.9% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Jonah Heim | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 90 | 0.223 | 87.1 | 5.0% | 5.6% vs RHP | 407 | 15.8% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Lawrence Butler | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 127 | 0.121 | 88.3 | 5.0% | 26.1% vs RHP | 402 | 4.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Henry Bolte | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.099 | 92.4 | 4.3% | 0.0% vs RHP | 428 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Alika Williams | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 135 | 0.160 | 89.2 | · | 8.3% | 371 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 9 |
| 9 |
|
Jeff Mcneil | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 141 | 0.083 | 85.9 | 1.9% | 10.0% vs RHP | 373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 22 |