2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
ATH
@ 12:45p
SF
Oracle Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Oracle Park

First pitch 12:45p · roof open
Park 0.83× Wind 10 mph slight_out 65°F open
+3
14 mph · slight_out
58°F
12:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
14 mph · slight_out
58°F
1:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
14 mph · slight_out
58°F
2:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
14 mph · slight_out
58°F
3:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
14 mph · slight_out
58°F
4:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.92

65°F, wind 10 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Jeffrey Springs
Jeffrey Springs LHP 🎯 Susceptible
2.25 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.27 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Bryce Eldridge Bryce Eldridge 59 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 24 0.213 91.3 11.1% 16.7% vs LHP 389 21.1% 16.7% 19.2% 26
2 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 58 🟠 C · · 25 0.230 89.4 11.3% 16.7% vs LHP 394 17.3% 8.3% 13.6% 30
3 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 53 🟠 C · · 37 0.190 91.8 9.8% 13.0% vs LHP 402 13.8% 16.7% 17.7% 27
4 Willy Adames Willy Adames 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 43 0.200 88.6 9.5% 9.5% vs LHP 389 14.7% 16.7% 14.4% 30
5 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.152 88.3 8.3% 18.2% vs LHP 398 6.6% 8.3% 9.2% 21
6 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 99 0.147 87.8 5.4% 14.3% vs LHP 378 5.8% 8.3% 9.3% 36
7 Daniel Susac Daniel Susac 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 126 0.067 86.6 7.1% 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 15
Landen Roupp
Landen Roupp RHP
0.56 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.18 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nick Kurtz Nick Kurtz 56 🟠 C · · 30 0.254 94.3 8.2% 43.3% vs RHP 410 22.7% 25.0% 27.6% 28
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 54 🟠 C · · 34 0.244 90.5 7.6% 28.3% vs RHP 408 19.8% 35.7% 24.1% 50
3 Shea Langeliers Shea Langeliers 51 🟠 C · · 46 0.253 91.4 7.3% 21.4% vs RHP 416 21.1% 20.0% 15.0% 34
4 Tyler Soderstrom Tyler Soderstrom 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 63 0.236 89.9 6.2% 17.4% vs RHP 403 14.9% 16.7% 15.0% 33
5 Jonah Heim Jonah Heim 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 90 0.223 87.1 5.0% 5.6% vs RHP 407 15.8% 0.0% 9.6% 21
6 Lawrence Butler Lawrence Butler 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 127 0.121 88.3 5.0% 26.1% vs RHP 402 4.7% 9.1% 8.0% 19
7 Henry Bolte Henry Bolte 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 133 0.099 92.4 4.3% 0.0% vs RHP 428 11.1% 0.0% 4.8% 26
8 Alika Williams Alika Williams 22 ⚪ D · · 135 0.160 89.2 · 8.3% 371 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 9
9 Jeff Mcneil Jeff Mcneil 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 141 0.083 85.9 1.9% 10.0% vs RHP 373 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 22
🏟️
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