SEA
@
12:35p
PIT
Stadium Conditions
PNC Park
First pitch 12:35p
· roof open
Park 0.75×
Wind 5 mph in
81°F
open
-8
3 mph · cross
65°F
12:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
3 mph · cross
65°F
1:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
3 mph · cross
65°F
2:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
3 mph · cross
65°F
3:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
3 mph · cross
65°F
4:35p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.83
81°F, wind 5 mph SE (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.255 | 90.9 | 11.3% | 35.9% vs RHP | 385 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 20.5% | 15 |
| 2 |
|
Colt Emerson | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 28 | 0.260 | 86.0 | 6.0% | 45.5% vs RHP | 370 | 17.6% | 28.6% | 27.7% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 59 | 0.185 | 90.0 | 8.5% | 18.9% vs RHP | 410 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 71 | 0.155 | 87.4 | 9.4% | 14.6% vs RHP | 391 | 14.0% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Cole Young | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 87 | 0.136 | 88.1 | 6.2% | 12.5% vs RHP | 385 | 9.2% | 25.0% | 9.6% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 89 | 0.160 | 91.6 | 7.5% | 20.0% vs RHP | 385 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 6 |
| 7 |
|
Mitch Garver | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 102 | 0.141 | 89.8 | 7.2% | 20.0% vs RHP | 394 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 3 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Naylor | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 112 | 0.115 | 88.0 | 6.3% | 15.9% vs RHP | 390 | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 34 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 41 | 0.258 | 90.6 | 8.1% | 24.6% vs RHP | 392 | 16.4% | 25.0% | 18.4% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 67 | 0.194 | 91.3 | 7.6% | 16.2% vs RHP | 410 | 13.7% | 25.0% | 13.5% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Tyler Callihan | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 88 | 0.238 | 84.6 | 7.6% | 13.3% vs RHP | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 21 |
| 4 |
|
Henry Davis | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 101 | 0.159 | 90.3 | 8.0% | 29.4% vs RHP | 397 | 9.4% | 0.0% | 12.8% | 7 |
| 5 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 103 | 0.167 | 89.6 | 5.7% | 19.5% vs RHP | 378 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 19 | ⚪ D | · | · | 140 | 0.081 | 86.1 | 4.2% | 10.0% vs RHP | 403 | 4.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Jared Triolo | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 143 | 0.055 | 87.2 | 2.3% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Jake Mangum | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 144 | 0.058 | 83.4 | 1.9% | 8.3% vs RHP | 410 | 2.8% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 37 |