2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
SEA
@ 12:35p
PIT
PNC Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

PNC Park

First pitch 12:35p · roof open
Park 0.75× Wind 5 mph in 81°F open
-8
3 mph · cross
65°F
12:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
3 mph · cross
65°F
1:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
3 mph · cross
65°F
2:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
3 mph · cross
65°F
3:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
3 mph · cross
65°F
4:35p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.83

81°F, wind 5 mph SE (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Bubba Chandler
Bubba Chandler RHP
1.09 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.29 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 20 0.255 90.9 11.3% 35.9% vs RHP 385 17.9% 10.0% 20.5% 15
2 Colt Emerson Colt Emerson 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 28 0.260 86.0 6.0% 45.5% vs RHP 370 17.6% 28.6% 27.7% 23
3 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 46 ⚪ D · · 59 0.185 90.0 8.5% 18.9% vs RHP 410 18.3% 9.1% 7.9% 31
4 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 71 0.155 87.4 9.4% 14.6% vs RHP 391 14.0% 12.5% 8.6% 18
5 Cole Young Cole Young 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 87 0.136 88.1 6.2% 12.5% vs RHP 385 9.2% 25.0% 9.6% 41
6 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 89 0.160 91.6 7.5% 20.0% vs RHP 385 8.7% 0.0% 8.6% 6
7 Mitch Garver Mitch Garver 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 102 0.141 89.8 7.2% 20.0% vs RHP 394 9.1% 0.0% 7.6% 3
8 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 112 0.115 88.0 6.3% 15.9% vs RHP 390 10.0% 8.3% 6.6% 34
Bryce Miller
Bryce Miller RHP
1.13 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.22 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 41 0.258 90.6 8.1% 24.6% vs RHP 392 16.4% 25.0% 18.4% 37
2 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 44 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 67 0.194 91.3 7.6% 16.2% vs RHP 410 13.7% 25.0% 13.5% 37
3 Tyler Callihan Tyler Callihan 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 88 0.238 84.6 7.6% 13.3% vs RHP 411 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 21
4 Henry Davis Henry Davis 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 101 0.159 90.3 8.0% 29.4% vs RHP 397 9.4% 0.0% 12.8% 7
5 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 103 0.167 89.6 5.7% 19.5% vs RHP 378 16.3% 9.1% 7.2% 39
6 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 19 ⚪ D · · 140 0.081 86.1 4.2% 10.0% vs RHP 403 4.2% 8.3% 6.6% 39
7 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 143 0.055 87.2 2.3% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 27
8 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 144 0.058 83.4 1.9% 8.3% vs RHP 410 2.8% 0.0% 4.8% 37
🏟️
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