2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Bryce Miller
Bryce Miller RHP SEA
51 matchups scored · 6 game days
4 HRs Allowed
7.8% HR Rate (Pool)
10.2% Overall HR/FB
3.02 FIP
3.35 xFIP
-0.34 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.67
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
10.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
28th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
61.9%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.02
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
17th pctile
3.35
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.34
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
31th pctile
7.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
51
Pool Matchups
4
HRs Allowed (Pool)
3
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
7.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 7 1 1 14.3% 1.0 100.5mph 100.5mph 40.0° 367ft Up +6.5pp
Last 15 24 3 3 12.5% 1.0 96.0mph 107.2mph 29.3° 408ft Up +4.7pp
Last 30 33 4 3 9.1% 0.75 94.7mph 107.2mph 29.3° 408ft Flat +1.3pp
Batted-Ball Damage
42 tracked BBE from 51 pool matchups
93.8
111.5
26
0
104.6
30.0°
390
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-19 Jarren Duran 105.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Ceddanne Rafaela 101.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Caleb Durbin 100.5mph 100.5mph 40° 367ft Yes
2026-06-12 James Wood 111.5mph 111.5mph 26° 416ft Yes
2026-06-12 Dylan Crews 109.5mph 109.5mph 22° 440ft Yes
2026-06-12 Keibert Ruiz 104.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-12 Jorbit Vivas 100.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-06 Dillon Dingler 102.2mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
6 days · 4 total HRs
HRs Allowed
4 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-19 Caleb Durbin #171 33 T-Mobile Park 100.5mph 40.0° 367ft
2026-06-12 James Wood #38 61 Nationals Park 111.5mph 26.0° 416ft
2026-06-12 Dylan Crews #168 36 Nationals Park 109.5mph 22.0° 440ft
2026-05-13 Christian Walker #12 55 Minute Maid Park 96.8mph 32.0° 338.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 262 47.0% -1.6 82.4 33.0° 3
Splitter 115 20.6% -4.3 77.6 3.3° 0
Slider 77 13.8% -0.9 84.2 26.8° 1
Cutter 32 5.7% +3.2 83.3 18.0° 1
Sweeper 28 5.0% -4.9 76.1 3.0° 0
Knuckle Curve 27 4.8% +1.8 77.0 -10.7° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
61.9%
61.9%
All Scored Matchups
51 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-19 Masataka Yoshida #213 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Marcelo Mayer #210 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Ceddanne Rafaela #175 31 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-19 Caleb Durbin #171 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-19 Wilyer Abreu #156 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Jarren Duran #138 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Willson Contreras #59 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 Jorbit Vivas #210 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-12 Daylen Lile #172 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 Dylan Crews #168 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-12 Keibert Ruiz #153 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-12 Jacob Young #136 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-12 CJ Abrams #89 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 Curtis Mead #50 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-12 James Wood #38 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-06 Colt Keith #232 14 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-06 Kevin McGonigle #228 19 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Matt Vierling #216 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Gleyber Torres #203 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Riley Greene #195 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Wenceel Pérez #126 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Spencer Torkelson #125 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Kerry Carpenter #114 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Dillon Dingler #38 61 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 Jose Fernandez #261 18 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-31 Tim Tawa #257 20 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Aramis Garcia #243 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-31 Geraldo Perdomo #223 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Ildemaro Vargas #206 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Ryan Waldschmidt #147 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 Nolan Arenado #136 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Ketel Marte #127 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Corbin Carroll #87 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Luisangel Acuña #251 14 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Edgar Quero #233 19 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Chase Meidroth #215 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 Tristan Peters #187 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Sam Antonacci #148 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 Andrew Benintendi #131 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 Miguel Vargas #23 68 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Colson Montgomery #18 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-19 Munetaka Murakami #6 84 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Joey Loperfido #198 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Yainer Diaz #169 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Carlos Correa #157 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Cam Smith #145 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Jose Altuve #119 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Isaac Paredes #94 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 Brice Matthews #77 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Christian Walker #12 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-13 Yordan Alvarez #4 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
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