Bryce Miller
RHP
SEA
4
HRs Allowed
7.8%
HR Rate (Pool)
10.2%
Overall HR/FB
3.02
FIP
3.35
xFIP
-0.34
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.67
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
10.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
28th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
61.9%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.02
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
17th pctile
3.35
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.34
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
31th pctile
7.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
51
Pool Matchups
4
HRs Allowed (Pool)
3
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
7.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14.3% | 1.0 | 100.5mph | 100.5mph | 40.0° | 367ft | Up +6.5pp |
| Last 15 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 12.5% | 1.0 | 96.0mph | 107.2mph | 29.3° | 408ft | Up +4.7pp |
| Last 30 | 33 | 4 | 3 | 9.1% | 0.75 | 94.7mph | 107.2mph | 29.3° | 408ft | Flat +1.3pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
93.8
Avg Max EV
111.5
Max EV Allowed
26
Hard-Hit Proxy · 61.9%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.6
Avg HR EV
30.0°
Avg HR Launch
390
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Jarren Duran | 105.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Ceddanne Rafaela | 101.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Caleb Durbin | 100.5mph | 100.5mph | 40° | 367ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-12 | James Wood | 111.5mph | 111.5mph | 26° | 416ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-12 | Dylan Crews | 109.5mph | 109.5mph | 22° | 440ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-12 | Keibert Ruiz | 104.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Jorbit Vivas | 100.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Dillon Dingler | 102.2mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Caleb Durbin | #171 | 33 | T-Mobile Park | 100.5mph | 40.0° | 367ft |
| 2026-06-12 | James Wood | #38 | 61 | Nationals Park | 111.5mph | 26.0° | 416ft |
| 2026-06-12 | Dylan Crews | #168 | 36 | Nationals Park | 109.5mph | 22.0° | 440ft |
| 2026-05-13 | Christian Walker | #12 | 55 | Minute Maid Park | 96.8mph | 32.0° | 338.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 262 | 47.0% | -1.6 | 82.4 | 33.0° | 3 |
| Splitter | 115 | 20.6% | -4.3 | 77.6 | 3.3° | 0 |
| Slider | 77 | 13.8% | -0.9 | 84.2 | 26.8° | 1 |
| Cutter | 32 | 5.7% | +3.2 | 83.3 | 18.0° | 1 |
| Sweeper | 28 | 5.0% | -4.9 | 76.1 | 3.0° | 0 |
| Knuckle Curve | 27 | 4.8% | +1.8 | 77.0 | -10.7° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
61.9%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Masataka Yoshida | #213 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Marcelo Mayer | #210 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #175 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Caleb Durbin | #171 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-19 | Wilyer Abreu | #156 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Jarren Duran | #138 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Willson Contreras | #59 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Jorbit Vivas | #210 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Daylen Lile | #172 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Dylan Crews | #168 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-12 | Keibert Ruiz | #153 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Jacob Young | #136 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | CJ Abrams | #89 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Curtis Mead | #50 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | James Wood | #38 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-06 | Colt Keith | #232 | 14 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Kevin McGonigle | #228 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Matt Vierling | #216 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Gleyber Torres | #203 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Riley Greene | #195 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Wenceel Pérez | #126 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Spencer Torkelson | #125 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Kerry Carpenter | #114 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Dillon Dingler | #38 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Jose Fernandez | #261 | 18 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Tim Tawa | #257 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Aramis Garcia | #243 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Geraldo Perdomo | #223 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Ildemaro Vargas | #206 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Ryan Waldschmidt | #147 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Nolan Arenado | #136 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Ketel Marte | #127 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Corbin Carroll | #87 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Luisangel Acuña | #251 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Edgar Quero | #233 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Chase Meidroth | #215 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Tristan Peters | #187 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Sam Antonacci | #148 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Andrew Benintendi | #131 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Miguel Vargas | #23 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Colson Montgomery | #18 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Munetaka Murakami | #6 | 84 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Joey Loperfido | #198 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Yainer Diaz | #169 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Carlos Correa | #157 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Cam Smith | #145 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Jose Altuve | #119 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Isaac Paredes | #94 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Brice Matthews | #77 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Christian Walker | #12 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-13 | Yordan Alvarez | #4 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |