2026
Pricing
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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Bubba Chandler
Bubba Chandler RHP PIT
114 matchups scored · 13 game days
9 HRs Allowed
7.9% HR Rate (Pool)
15.4% Overall HR/FB
5.38 FIP
5.27 xFIP
+0.11 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot ?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards. Pool + today context
0.69
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
15.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
75th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.4%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.38
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
85th pctile
5.27
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.11
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
56th pctile
7.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
114
Pool Matchups
9
HRs Allowed (Pool)
5
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
7.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 15 2 1 6.7% 0.5 97.0mph 101.3mph 35.0° 427ft Flat -1.2pp
Last 15 15 2 1 6.7% 0.5 97.0mph 101.3mph 35.0° 427ft Flat -1.2pp
Last 30 42 5 3 7.1% 0.6 98.3mph 99.9mph 37.3° 387ft Flat -0.8pp
Batted-Ball Damage
98 tracked BBE from 114 pool matchups
98.6
Avg Max EV
111.5
Max EV Allowed
70
Hard-Hit Proxy · 71.4%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.0
Avg HR EV
33.1°
Avg HR Launch
396
Avg HR Distance
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-19 Hunter Goodman 105.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Kyle Karros 104.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Willi Castro 104.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 TJ Rumfield 101.3mph 101.3mph 35° 427ft Yes
2026-06-19 Sterlin Thompson 100.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-13 Otto Lopez 102.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-13 Connor Norby 100.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-02 Yordan Alvarez 107.1mph 103.0mph 39° 363ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
13 days · 9 total HRs
HRs Allowed
9 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-19 TJ Rumfield #70 52 Coors Field 101.3mph 35.0° 427ft
2026-06-02 Yordan Alvarez #1 87 Minute Maid Park 103.0mph 39.0° 363ft
2026-05-27 Ian Happ #69 55 PNC Park 95.4mph 38.0° 370.0ft
2026-05-16 Bryce Harper #27 69 PNC Park 111.3mph 28.0° 457.0ft
2026-05-10 Heliot Ramos #167 22 Oracle Park 110.3mph 27.0° 437.0ft
2026-04-29 Alec Burleson #225 17 PNC Park 108.4mph 25.0° 411.0ft
2026-04-23 Corey Seager #68 43 Globe Life Field 104.7mph 36.0° 382.0ft
2026-04-23 Evan Carter #98 32 Globe Life Field 99.3mph 29.0° 385.0ft
2026-03-31 Elly De La Cruz #95 46 Great American Ball Park 93.6mph 41.0° 334.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 618 48.9% +0.2 83.4 33.5° 5
Changeup 216 17.1% -1.0 83.1 10.1° 1
Slider 206 16.3% +1.6 81.5 6.5° 3
Sinker 91 7.2% -2.6 83.5 17.4° 0
Sweeper 91 7.2% +0.0 80.5 21.8° 0
Curveball 42 3.3% +1.8 91.9 16.5° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.4%
71.4%
All Scored Matchups
114 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-19 Tyler Freeman #178 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Jake McCarthy #131 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Willi Castro #122 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Ezequiel Tovar #113 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 TJ Rumfield #70 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-19 Kyle Karros #65 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Sterlin Thompson #35 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Hunter Goodman #2 84 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Javier Sanoja #221 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-13 Jakob Marsee #220 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-13 Xavier Edwards #194 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-13 Otto Lopez #173 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Connor Norby #161 36 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-13 Liam Hicks #131 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Kyle Stowers #111 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-02 Christian Vázquez #179 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-02 Taylor Trammell #177 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-02 Isaac Paredes #114 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-02 Jake Meyers #106 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Brice Matthews #102 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-02 Cam Smith #70 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-02 Jeremy Peña #67 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-02 Christian Walker #7 77 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-02 Yordan Alvarez #1 87 🟢 A 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-05-27 Nico Hoerner #239 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Carson Kelly #230 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-27 Alex Bregman #178 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-27 Dansby Swanson #172 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-27 Seiya Suzuki #155 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Pete Crow-Armstrong #142 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-27 Moisés Ballesteros #110 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Michael Busch #74 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-27 Ian Happ #69 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-22 Myles Straw #193 31 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #185 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 George Springer #161 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Jesús Sánchez #153 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 Ernie Clement #152 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-22 Andrés Giménez #132 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Davis Schneider #126 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 Daulton Varsho #115 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Kazuma Okamoto #32 59 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Alec Bohm #233 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 J.T. Realmuto #228 24 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Trea Turner #214 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Brandon Marsh #157 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Justin Crawford #154 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-16 Adolis García #141 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Bryson Stott #109 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-16 Bryce Harper #27 69 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-16 Kyle Schwarber #3 89 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Patrick Bailey #238 9 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Harrison Bader #225 13 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-10 Luis Arraez #211 15 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-10 Rafael Devers #210 15 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-10 Jung Hoo Lee #207 16 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Willy Adames #202 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Matt Chapman #174 21 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Heliot Ramos #167 22 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-10 Casey Schmitt #159 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Geraldo Perdomo #175 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Jose Fernandez #139 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Jorge Barrosa #122 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Nolan Arenado #121 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 Ketel Marte #96 32 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Adrian Del Castillo #81 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Corbin Carroll #60 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Alek Thomas #58 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Ildemaro Vargas #11 75 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Masyn Winn #242 13 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Victor Scott II #227 17 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 Nolan Gorman #226 17 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Alec Burleson #225 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-29 Pedro Pagés #199 21 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 Nathan Church #198 21 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 JJ Wetherholt #190 22 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-29 Ivan Herrera #177 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 Jordan Walker #146 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Alejandro Osuna #148 13 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Josh Smith #136 18 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Joc Pederson #134 19 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Danny Jansen #130 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-23 Jake Burger #101 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-23 Evan Carter #98 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-23 Josh Jung #88 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Brandon Nimmo #72 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Corey Seager #68 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-04-17 Chandler Simpson #255 9 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Ben Williamson #249 10 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Cedric Mullins #247 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Nick Fortes #240 16 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Jake Fraley #187 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 Yandy Díaz #186 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Jonny DeLuca #162 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 Junior Caminero #161 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 Jonathan Aranda #140 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-06 Luis Arraez #205 16 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 Jose Iglesias #202 14 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-06 Xander Bogaerts #201 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-06 Jake Cronenworth #199 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 Elias Diaz #184 27 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-06 Gavin Sheets #165 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 Manny Machado #156 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-06 Fernando Tatis Jr. #149 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-06 Jackson Merrill #113 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-31 Santiago Espinal #216 20 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-31 Gavin Lux #201 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 TJ Friedl #175 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Matt McLain #157 39 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-31 Spencer Steer #132 44 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-31 Austin Hays #108 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Noelvi Marte #100 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Elly De La Cruz #95 46 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-03-31 Tyler Stephenson #82 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
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