Bubba Chandler
RHP
PIT
9
HRs Allowed
7.9%
HR Rate (Pool)
15.4%
Overall HR/FB
5.38
FIP
5.27
xFIP
+0.11
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.69
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
15.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
75th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.4%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.38
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
85th pctile
5.27
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.11
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
56th pctile
7.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
114
Pool Matchups
9
HRs Allowed (Pool)
5
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
7.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 6.7% | 0.5 | 97.0mph | 101.3mph | 35.0° | 427ft | Flat -1.2pp |
| Last 15 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 6.7% | 0.5 | 97.0mph | 101.3mph | 35.0° | 427ft | Flat -1.2pp |
| Last 30 | 42 | 5 | 3 | 7.1% | 0.6 | 98.3mph | 99.9mph | 37.3° | 387ft | Flat -0.8pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.6
Avg Max EV
111.5
Max EV Allowed
70
Hard-Hit Proxy · 71.4%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.0
Avg HR EV
33.1°
Avg HR Launch
396
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Hunter Goodman | 105.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Kyle Karros | 104.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Willi Castro | 104.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | TJ Rumfield | 101.3mph | 101.3mph | 35° | 427ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | Sterlin Thompson | 100.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Otto Lopez | 102.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Connor Norby | 100.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Yordan Alvarez | 107.1mph | 103.0mph | 39° | 363ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | TJ Rumfield | #70 | 52 | Coors Field | 101.3mph | 35.0° | 427ft |
| 2026-06-02 | Yordan Alvarez | #1 | 87 | Minute Maid Park | 103.0mph | 39.0° | 363ft |
| 2026-05-27 | Ian Happ | #69 | 55 | PNC Park | 95.4mph | 38.0° | 370.0ft |
| 2026-05-16 | Bryce Harper | #27 | 69 | PNC Park | 111.3mph | 28.0° | 457.0ft |
| 2026-05-10 | Heliot Ramos | #167 | 22 | Oracle Park | 110.3mph | 27.0° | 437.0ft |
| 2026-04-29 | Alec Burleson | #225 | 17 | PNC Park | 108.4mph | 25.0° | 411.0ft |
| 2026-04-23 | Corey Seager | #68 | 43 | Globe Life Field | 104.7mph | 36.0° | 382.0ft |
| 2026-04-23 | Evan Carter | #98 | 32 | Globe Life Field | 99.3mph | 29.0° | 385.0ft |
| 2026-03-31 | Elly De La Cruz | #95 | 46 | Great American Ball Park | 93.6mph | 41.0° | 334.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 618 | 48.9% | +0.2 | 83.4 | 33.5° | 5 |
| Changeup | 216 | 17.1% | -1.0 | 83.1 | 10.1° | 1 |
| Slider | 206 | 16.3% | +1.6 | 81.5 | 6.5° | 3 |
| Sinker | 91 | 7.2% | -2.6 | 83.5 | 17.4° | 0 |
| Sweeper | 91 | 7.2% | +0.0 | 80.5 | 21.8° | 0 |
| Curveball | 42 | 3.3% | +1.8 | 91.9 | 16.5° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.4%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Tyler Freeman | #178 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Jake McCarthy | #131 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Willi Castro | #122 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Ezequiel Tovar | #113 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | TJ Rumfield | #70 | 52 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-19 | Kyle Karros | #65 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Sterlin Thompson | #35 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Hunter Goodman | #2 | 84 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Javier Sanoja | #221 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Jakob Marsee | #220 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Xavier Edwards | #194 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Otto Lopez | #173 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Connor Norby | #161 | 36 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Liam Hicks | #131 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Kyle Stowers | #111 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Christian Vázquez | #179 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Taylor Trammell | #177 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Isaac Paredes | #114 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jake Meyers | #106 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Brice Matthews | #102 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Cam Smith | #70 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jeremy Peña | #67 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Christian Walker | #7 | 77 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Yordan Alvarez | #1 | 87 | 🟢 A | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-05-27 | Nico Hoerner | #239 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Carson Kelly | #230 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Alex Bregman | #178 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Dansby Swanson | #172 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Seiya Suzuki | #155 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #142 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Moisés Ballesteros | #110 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Michael Busch | #74 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Ian Happ | #69 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-22 | Myles Straw | #193 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #185 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | George Springer | #161 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Jesús Sánchez | #153 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Ernie Clement | #152 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Andrés Giménez | #132 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Davis Schneider | #126 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Daulton Varsho | #115 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Kazuma Okamoto | #32 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Alec Bohm | #233 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | J.T. Realmuto | #228 | 24 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Trea Turner | #214 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Brandon Marsh | #157 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Justin Crawford | #154 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Adolis García | #141 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Bryson Stott | #109 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Bryce Harper | #27 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-16 | Kyle Schwarber | #3 | 89 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Patrick Bailey | #238 | 9 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Harrison Bader | #225 | 13 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Luis Arraez | #211 | 15 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Rafael Devers | #210 | 15 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Jung Hoo Lee | #207 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Willy Adames | #202 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Matt Chapman | #174 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Heliot Ramos | #167 | 22 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-10 | Casey Schmitt | #159 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Geraldo Perdomo | #175 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Jose Fernandez | #139 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Jorge Barrosa | #122 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Nolan Arenado | #121 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Ketel Marte | #96 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Adrian Del Castillo | #81 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Corbin Carroll | #60 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Alek Thomas | #58 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Ildemaro Vargas | #11 | 75 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Masyn Winn | #242 | 13 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Victor Scott II | #227 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Nolan Gorman | #226 | 17 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Alec Burleson | #225 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-29 | Pedro Pagés | #199 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Nathan Church | #198 | 21 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | JJ Wetherholt | #190 | 22 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Ivan Herrera | #177 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Jordan Walker | #146 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Alejandro Osuna | #148 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Josh Smith | #136 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Joc Pederson | #134 | 19 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Danny Jansen | #130 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Jake Burger | #101 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Evan Carter | #98 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-23 | Josh Jung | #88 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Brandon Nimmo | #72 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Corey Seager | #68 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-04-17 | Chandler Simpson | #255 | 9 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Ben Williamson | #249 | 10 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Cedric Mullins | #247 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Nick Fortes | #240 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Jake Fraley | #187 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Yandy Díaz | #186 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Jonny DeLuca | #162 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Junior Caminero | #161 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Jonathan Aranda | #140 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Luis Arraez | #205 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Jose Iglesias | #202 | 14 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Xander Bogaerts | #201 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Jake Cronenworth | #199 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Elias Diaz | #184 | 27 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Gavin Sheets | #165 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Manny Machado | #156 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #149 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Jackson Merrill | #113 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Santiago Espinal | #216 | 20 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Gavin Lux | #201 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | TJ Friedl | #175 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Matt McLain | #157 | 39 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Spencer Steer | #132 | 44 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Austin Hays | #108 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Noelvi Marte | #100 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Elly De La Cruz | #95 | 46 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-03-31 | Tyler Stephenson | #82 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |