2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
HOU
@ 6:40p
DET
Comerica Park · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Comerica Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 0.98× Wind 3 mph slight_out 79°F open
+3
5 mph · out
64°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
5 mph · out
64°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
5 mph · out
64°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
5 mph · out
64°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
5 mph · out
64°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.08

79°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Tatsuya Imai RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.32 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.76 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 67 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 7 0.298 91.0 10.6% 32.0% vs RHP 396 21.3% 15.4% 21.1% 39
2 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 56 🟠 C · · 27 0.191 89.9 10.7% 22.4% vs RHP 394 15.4% 23.1% 24.2% 26
3 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 55 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 31 0.230 91.3 9.1% 24.4% vs RHP 373 15.0% 10.0% 18.2% 20
4 Riley Greene Riley Greene 49 ⚪ D · · 48 0.156 91.6 10.7% 13.5% vs RHP 393 10.1% 15.4% 14.4% 30
5 James Outman James Outman 39 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 80 0.165 86.7 4.5% 20.0% vs RHP 418 6.7% 20.0% 15.3% 6
6 Colt Keith Colt Keith 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 81 0.115 88.8 8.2% 9.1% vs RHP 380 3.0% 22.2% 14.1% 25
7 Kevin Mcgonigle Kevin Mcgonigle 36 ⚪ D · · 96 0.139 87.9 8.2% 6.5% vs RHP 392 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 41
8 Hao-Yu Lee Hao-Yu Lee 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 104 0.119 88.0 8.8% 11.1% vs RHP 382 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 22
9 Zach Mckinstry Zach Mckinstry 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 129 0.085 84.8 4.5% 5.7% vs RHP 387 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 25
Troy Melton
Troy Melton RHP
1.73 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.85 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 10 0.309 94.5 10.9% 26.6% vs RHP 400 0.0% 0.0% 29.5% 39
2 Christian Walker Christian Walker 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 18 0.240 90.3 8.2% 28.8% vs RHP 390 20.8% 18.2% 23.5% 30
3 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 62 0.135 88.1 7.6% 11.1% vs RHP 410 10.3% 25.0% 13.3% 17
4 Cam Smith Cam Smith 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 65 0.142 89.6 8.7% 16.7% vs RHP 418 10.8% 9.1% 9.0% 35
5 Jeremy Peña Jeremy Peña 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 68 0.167 86.9 5.3% 16.1% vs RHP 388 9.1% 18.2% 17.7% 35
6 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 69 0.164 87.1 6.4% 18.9% vs RHP 367 10.5% 9.1% 10.7% 33
7 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 39 ⚪ D · · 79 0.158 85.9 6.7% 25.9% vs RHP 376 0.0% 0.0% 18.8% 34
8 Christian Vazquez Christian Vazquez 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 124 0.115 85.7 3.2% 11.5% vs RHP 373 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 14
🏟️
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