Tatsuya Imai
RHP
HOU
5
HRs Allowed
8.6%
HR Rate (Pool)
27.5%
Overall HR/FB
5.77
FIP
4.93
xFIP
+0.84
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.71
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
27.5%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
96th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
67.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.77
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
90th pctile
4.93
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.84
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
85th pctile
8.6%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
58
Pool Matchups
5
HRs Allowed (Pool)
4
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
8.6%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 12.5% | 1.0 | 98.2mph | 100.8mph | 30.0° | 376ft | Up +3.9pp |
| Last 15 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 4.5% | 0.33 | 97.6mph | 100.8mph | 30.0° | 376ft | Down -4.1pp |
| Last 30 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 5.0% | 0.4 | 96.8mph | 100.6mph | 32.5° | 362ft | Down -3.6pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.3
Avg Max EV
112.3
Max EV Allowed
35
Hard-Hit Proxy · 67.3%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
102.5
Avg HR EV
30.0°
Avg HR Launch
371
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Travis Bazzana | 102.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Rhys Hoskins | 100.8mph | 100.8mph | 30° | 376ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | Brayan Rocchio | 100.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Isaac Collins | 106.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Jac Caglianone | 102.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Carlos Cortes | 108.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Brent Rooker | 106.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Nick Kurtz | 102.0mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Rhys Hoskins | #97 | 48 | Minute Maid Park | 100.8mph | 30.0° | 376ft |
| 2026-05-31 | Jake Bauers | #28 | 69 | Minute Maid Park | 100.4mph | 35.0° | 347ft |
| 2026-05-18 | Josh Bell | #119 | 44 | Target Field | 104.0mph | 26.0° | 381.0ft |
| 2026-05-12 | Dominic Canzone | #34 | 45 | Minute Maid Park | 105.5mph | 25.0° | 381.0ft |
| 2026-05-12 | Randy Arozarena | #60 | 41 | Minute Maid Park | 101.7mph | 34.0° | 369.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 346 | 44.5% | -0.4 | 80.9 | 13.0° | 4 |
| Fastball | 326 | 42.0% | +0.3 | 84.4 | 25.8° | 1 |
| Sinker | 62 | 8.0% | -2.0 | 80.7 | 10.2° | 0 |
| Changeup | 24 | 3.1% | +8.4 | 75.3 | 21.5° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
67.3%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Steven Kwan | #202 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Patrick Bailey | #186 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Brayan Rocchio | #154 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Rhys Hoskins | #97 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-19 | Kyle Manzardo | #96 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Gabriel Arias | #85 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Daniel Schneemann | #76 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Travis Bazzana | #53 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Isaac Collins | #205 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #151 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Michael Massey | #82 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Carter Jensen | #79 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Jac Caglianone | #64 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Darell Hernaiz | #218 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Henry Bolte | #206 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Jeff McNeil | #199 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Zack Gelof | #100 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Carlos Cortes | #74 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Brent Rooker | #31 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Tyler Soderstrom | #20 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Nick Kurtz | #8 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Shea Langeliers | #2 | 80 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | David Hamilton | #235 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Joey Ortiz | #202 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Sal Frelick | #176 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Andrew Vaughn | #110 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Brice Turang | #89 | 51 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Garrett Mitchell | #56 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Gary Sánchez | #55 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Christian Yelich | #48 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Jake Bauers | #28 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-25 | Alejandro Osuna | #226 | 16 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Andrew McCutchen | #208 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Joc Pederson | #144 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Danny Jansen | #124 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Michael Helman | #120 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Evan Carter | #119 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Justin Foscue | #83 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Ezequiel Duran | #77 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Brandon Nimmo | #58 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Austin Martin | #213 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Luke Keaschall | #206 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Victor Caratini | #198 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Trevor Larnach | #162 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Brooks Lee | #161 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Josh Bell | #119 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-18 | Matt Wallner | #81 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Ryan Jeffers | #15 | 77 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Byron Buxton | #2 | 99 | 🥇 S | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Leo Rivas | #230 | 17 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-12 | J.P. Crawford | #138 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Josh Naylor | #112 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Cole Young | #90 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Julio Rodríguez | #76 | 38 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Randy Arozarena | #60 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-12 | Cal Raleigh | #59 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Dominic Canzone | #34 | 45 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-12 | Luke Raley | #16 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |