Troy Melton
RHP
DET
10
HRs Allowed
20.0%
HR Rate (Pool)
12.7%
Overall HR/FB
4.38
FIP
4.92
xFIP
-0.54
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.67
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
12.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
51th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
75.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.38
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
63th pctile
4.92
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.54
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
22th pctile
20.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
50
Pool Matchups
10
HRs Allowed (Pool)
5
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
20.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 13.3% | 1.0 | 94.8mph | 97.5mph | 32.0° | 376ft | Down -6.7pp |
| Last 15 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 26.1% | 2.0 | 95.9mph | 100.3mph | 28.0° | 377ft | Up +6.1pp |
| Last 30 | 50 | 6 | 10 | 20.0% | 1.67 | 99.0mph | 102.1mph | 28.6° | 386ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
99.0
Avg Max EV
111.9
Max EV Allowed
36
Hard-Hit Proxy · 75.0%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
102.1
Avg HR EV
28.6°
Avg HR Launch
386
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Sam Antonacci | 103.9mph | 100.2mph | 28° | 393ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | Andrew Benintendi | 103.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Jeremy Peña | 104.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Isaac Paredes | 94.7mph | 94.7mph | 36° | 358ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-09 | Byron Buxton | 111.9mph | 111.9mph | 20° | 428ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-09 | Josh Bell | 104.2mph | 104.2mph | 23° | 375ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-09 | Kody Clemens | 98.8mph | 94.7mph | 38° | 346ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-09 | Brooks Lee | 96.3mph | 96.3mph | 23° | 364ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Sam Antonacci | #89 | 50 | Comerica Park | 100.2mph | 28.0° | 393ft |
| 2026-06-15 | Isaac Paredes | #35 | 59 | Minute Maid Park | 94.7mph | 36.0° | 358ft |
| 2026-06-09 | Byron Buxton | #43 | 57 | Comerica Park | 111.9mph | 20.0° | 428ft |
| 2026-06-09 | Kody Clemens | #98 | 48 | Comerica Park | 94.7mph | 38.0° | 346ft |
| 2026-06-09 | Brooks Lee | #167 | 36 | Comerica Park | 96.3mph | 23.0° | 364ft |
| 2026-06-09 | Josh Bell | #202 | 29 | Comerica Park | 104.2mph | 23.0° | 375ft |
| 2026-06-03 | Cedric Mullins | #236 | 24 | Tropicana Field | 104.3mph | 25.0° | 399ft |
| 2026-05-29 | Miguel Vargas | #25 | 66 | Rate Field | 102.3mph | 24.0° | 391ft |
| 2026-05-24 | Gunnar Henderson | #33 | 62 | Camden Yards | 100.8mph | 38.0° | 368.0ft |
| 2026-05-24 | Colton Cowser | #89 | 49 | Camden Yards | 111.5mph | 31.0° | 440.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 170 | 40.1% | +0.7 | 88.1 | 25.9° | 5 |
| Slider | 98 | 23.1% | -1.4 | 82.6 | 7.2° | 1 |
| Cutter | 65 | 15.3% | -3.6 | 78.3 | 12.5° | 0 |
| Splitter | 36 | 8.5% | -0.8 | 90.3 | -2.4° | 0 |
| Sinker | 28 | 6.6% | -1.3 | 84.6 | -8.1° | 0 |
| Curveball | 27 | 6.4% | -3.8 | 83.5 | -8.5° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
75.0%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Jacob Gonzalez | #172 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Drew Romo | #104 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Tristan Peters | #95 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Sam Antonacci | #89 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-20 | Miguel Vargas | #39 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Andrew Benintendi | #32 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Randal Grichuk | #9 | 75 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Colson Montgomery | #6 | 77 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Christian Vázquez | #132 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Jeremy Peña | #122 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Taylor Trammell | #84 | 45 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Cam Smith | #67 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Brice Matthews | #58 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Isaac Paredes | #35 | 59 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-06-15 | Christian Walker | #22 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Luke Keaschall | #228 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Trevor Larnach | #211 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Royce Lewis | #205 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Josh Bell | #202 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-09 | Tristan Gray | #200 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Brooks Lee | #167 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-09 | Kody Clemens | #98 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-09 | Byron Buxton | #43 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-03 | Nick Fortes | #255 | 17 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Chandler Simpson | #244 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Richie Palacios | #242 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Cedric Mullins | #236 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-03 | Ben Williamson | #231 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Victor Mesa Jr. | #155 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Junior Caminero | #39 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Yandy Díaz | #35 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Jonathan Aranda | #24 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Rikuu Nishida | #249 | 13 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Sam Antonacci | #193 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Tristan Peters | #173 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Chase Meidroth | #143 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Andrew Benintendi | #142 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Colson Montgomery | #35 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Drew Romo | #32 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Miguel Vargas | #25 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-29 | Munetaka Murakami | #6 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Leody Taveras | #182 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Taylor Ward | #163 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Blaze Alexander | #155 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Colton Cowser | #89 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-24 | Jackson Holliday | #59 | 57 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Gunnar Henderson | #33 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-24 | Samuel Basallo | #22 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Pete Alonso | #14 | 70 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Adley Rutschman | #12 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |